Realized P&L
+$589
Unrealized P&L
+$135
Hit rate
23.2%
Resolved
22
Trades
1,213
lifetime
Volume
$90.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$75
Open exposure
$86.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 17:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
76% 0% -$1
Sports
14% 65% +$592
Other
11% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +30,055 $27,605 86¢ $25.8K -$1,803 10-09 05:41
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +17,953 $17,342 98¢ $17.6K +$297 10-08 14:14
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11,267 $10,720 96¢ $10.8K +$86 10-19 05:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5,548 $5,182 94¢ $5.2K +$5 10-18 11:15
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,648 $4,467 96¢ $4.5K +$0 09-26 08:47
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +30,055 $2,525 14¢ $4.3K +$1,728 10-09 10:19
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,111 $2,803 91¢ $2.8K +$18 10-18 23:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +1,795 $1,609 100¢ $1.8K +$177 09-10 08:04
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,819 $1,680 94¢ $1.7K +$28 09-02 23:00
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,795 $1,669 95¢ $1.7K +$34 10-19 05:01
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,141 $1,100 98¢ $1.1K +$18 10-20 02:24
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,138 $1,118 98¢ $1.1K -$1 09-29 01:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,005 $983 98¢ $986 +$3 10-10 08:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,014 $959 97¢ $982 +$23 09-20 00:17
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +988 $964 99¢ $977 +$13 09-30 09:57
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +757 $742 97¢ $736 -$6 09-11 11:00
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +638 $623 98¢ $624 +$2 10-10 04:51
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +658 $619 92¢ $609 -$10 10-15 22:05
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +11,267 $537 4¢ $462 -$75 10-19 10:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +5,548 $353 6¢ $361 +$8 10-20 17:00
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +17,953 $648 2¢ $314 -$333 10-09 08:41
New pandemic in 2026? No +319 $305 96¢ $307 +$3 10-17 18:18
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +335 $292 90¢ $304 +$12 08-28 21:50
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,111 $312 9¢ $291 -$21 10-19 17:31
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +273 $268 97¢ $265 -$3 08-21 05:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +259 $225 92¢ $239 +$14 08-18 19:12
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +233 $225 97¢ $226 +$1 08-19 17:28
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,648 $189 4¢ $181 -$8 09-24 17:31
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,819 $142 6¢ $112 -$30 09-05 12:59
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,795 $135 5¢ $92 -$43 10-19 22:33