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Realized P&L (30d)
-$45
Unrealized P&L
+$92
Hit rate
12.3%
Resolved (30d)
2
Trades (30d)
163
1,213 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$10.8K
$90.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$75
Open exposure
$84.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 17:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
76% 50% -$1
Sports
14% 65% +$592
Other
11% 0% -$46
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +30,055 $27,605 85¢ $25.6K -$2,013 10-09 05:41
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +17,953 $17,342 95¢ $17.0K -$367 10-08 14:14
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11,267 $10,720 97¢ $10.9K +$226 10-19 05:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5,548 $5,182 97¢ $5.4K +$210 10-18 11:15
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +30,055 $2,525 15¢ $4.5K +$1,938 10-09 10:19
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,648 $4,467 96¢ $4.4K -$18 09-26 08:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,111 $2,803 82¢ $2.6K -$237 10-18 23:17
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,795 $1,669 99¢ $1.8K +$116 10-19 05:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,819 $1,680 94¢ $1.7K +$33 09-02 23:00
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,138 $1,118 99¢ $1.1K +$5 09-29 01:02
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,141 $1,100 98¢ $1.1K +$21 10-20 02:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,005 $983 98¢ $988 +$5 10-10 08:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,014 $959 97¢ $985 +$26 09-20 00:17
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +17,953 $648 5¢ $978 +$331 10-09 08:41
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +988 $964 99¢ $978 +$14 09-30 09:57
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +757 $742 96¢ $725 -$18 09-11 11:00
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +638 $623 98¢ $626 +$3 10-10 04:51
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +658 $619 94¢ $622 +$3 10-15 22:05
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,111 $312 18¢ $546 +$234 10-19 17:31
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +11,267 $537 3¢ $321 -$216 10-19 10:03
New pandemic in 2026? No +319 $305 98¢ $313 +$8 10-17 18:18
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +335 $292 91¢ $305 +$13 08-28 21:50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +273 $268 96¢ $263 -$4 08-21 05:22
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +233 $225 98¢ $228 +$3 08-19 17:28
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,648 $189 4¢ $200 +$11 09-24 17:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +5,548 $353 3¢ $155 -$197 10-20 17:00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,819 $142 6¢ $106 -$36 09-05 12:59
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +658 $43 6¢ $36 -$7 10-20 17:01
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +757 $15 4¢ $32 +$18 09-09 12:23
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +335 $44 9¢ $30 -$13 08-28 02:40