Realized P&L
+$545
Unrealized P&L
+$101
Hit rate
19.2%
Resolved
24
Trades
1,213
lifetime
Volume
$90.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$75
Open exposure
$84.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 17:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
76% 50% -$1
Sports
14% 65% +$592
Other
11% 0% -$46
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +30,055 $27,605 82¢ $24.6K -$2,975 10-09 05:41
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +17,953 $17,342 95¢ $17.1K -$250 10-08 14:14
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11,267 $10,720 98¢ $11.0K +$283 10-19 05:42
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +30,055 $2,525 18¢ $5.4K +$2,900 10-09 10:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5,548 $5,182 97¢ $5.4K +$224 10-18 11:15
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,648 $4,467 96¢ $4.5K +$7 09-26 08:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,111 $2,803 83¢ $2.6K -$231 10-18 23:17
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,795 $1,669 100¢ $1.8K +$118 10-19 05:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,819 $1,680 95¢ $1.7K +$42 09-02 23:00
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,141 $1,100 98¢ $1.1K +$22 10-20 02:24
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,138 $1,118 98¢ $1.1K +$3 09-29 01:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,005 $983 99¢ $994 +$11 10-10 08:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,014 $959 98¢ $990 +$31 09-20 00:17
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +988 $964 99¢ $978 +$14 09-30 09:57
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +17,953 $648 5¢ $862 +$214 10-09 08:41
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +757 $742 95¢ $722 -$20 09-11 11:00
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +638 $623 98¢ $624 +$1 10-10 04:51
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +658 $619 94¢ $622 +$3 10-15 22:05
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,111 $312 17¢ $540 +$228 10-19 17:31
New pandemic in 2026? No +319 $305 98¢ $314 +$9 10-17 18:18
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +335 $292 92¢ $307 +$15 08-28 21:50
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +11,267 $537 2¢ $265 -$272 10-19 10:03
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +273 $268 96¢ $261 -$7 08-21 05:22
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +233 $225 98¢ $229 +$4 08-19 17:28
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,648 $189 4¢ $174 -$15 09-24 17:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +5,548 $353 3¢ $141 -$211 10-20 17:00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,819 $142 5¢ $97 -$45 09-05 12:59
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +658 $43 6¢ $36 -$7 10-20 17:01
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +757 $15 5¢ $34 +$20 09-09 12:23
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +335 $44 8¢ $29 -$15 08-28 02:40