Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$274
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
1,213 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$90.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$75
Open exposure
$86.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 17:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
76% 0% -$1
Sports
14% 65% +$592
Other
11% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +30,055 $27,605 84¢ $25.4K -$2,224 10-09 05:41
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +17,953 $17,342 96¢ $17.2K -$170 10-08 14:14
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11,267 $10,720 96¢ $10.9K +$147 10-19 05:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5,548 $5,182 96¢ $5.3K +$116 10-18 11:15
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +30,055 $2,525 16¢ $4.7K +$2,149 10-09 10:19
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,648 $4,467 96¢ $4.5K -$9 09-26 08:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,111 $2,803 90¢ $2.8K -$18 10-18 23:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +1,795 $1,609 100¢ $1.8K +$183 09-10 08:04
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,795 $1,669 99¢ $1.8K +$107 10-19 05:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,819 $1,680 94¢ $1.7K +$39 09-02 23:00
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,138 $1,118 98¢ $1.1K +$4 09-29 01:02
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,141 $1,100 98¢ $1.1K +$17 10-20 02:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,005 $983 98¢ $984 +$1 10-10 08:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,014 $959 97¢ $982 +$23 09-20 00:17
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +988 $964 99¢ $978 +$14 09-30 09:57
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +17,953 $648 4¢ $781 +$133 10-09 08:41
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +757 $742 97¢ $731 -$11 09-11 11:00
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +638 $623 98¢ $629 +$6 10-10 04:51
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +658 $619 94¢ $616 -$3 10-15 22:05
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +11,267 $537 4¢ $400 -$137 10-19 10:03
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,111 $312 10¢ $327 +$14 10-19 17:31
New pandemic in 2026? No +319 $305 98¢ $313 +$8 10-17 18:18
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +335 $292 90¢ $304 +$12 08-28 21:50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +273 $268 97¢ $265 -$3 08-21 05:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +5,548 $353 4¢ $250 -$103 10-20 17:00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +259 $225 94¢ $245 +$19 08-18 19:12
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +233 $225 96¢ $224 -$1 08-19 17:28
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,648 $189 4¢ $191 +$1 09-24 17:31
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,819 $142 6¢ $101 -$41 09-05 12:59
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +658 $43 6¢ $43 $0 10-20 17:01