Afraid-Batting 0x7a10bf…e494bc
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
68
lifetime
Volume
$756
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$152
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-09 18:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
69% — —
Other
31% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +2,566 $45 2¢ $45 $-0 06-08 03:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +111 $20 18¢ $21 +$1 06-09 18:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +148 $19 12¢ $19 $-1 06-09 18:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +721 $15 2¢ $12 $-3 06-08 03:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +23 $10 50¢ $12 +$2 05-28 17:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +329 $15 3¢ $10 $-5 06-08 03:10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +83 $10 11¢ $9 $-1 05-28 17:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +7 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 06-01 08:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +17 $5 32¢ $5 +$0 06-01 08:33
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +48 $10 10¢ $5 $-5 05-28 17:53
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +111 $5 4¢ $4 $-1 06-08 03:09
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +73 $5 4¢ $3 $-2 06-08 03:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +18 $3 9¢ $2 $-1 06-08 03:29
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +15 $1 5¢ $1 $-0 05-28 14:02