Afraid-Batting 0x7a10bf…e494bc
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
123
lifetime
Volume
$1.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$120
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-13 21:12
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68% — —
Other
29% — —
Sports
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +667 $40 5¢ $33 $-7 07-13 21:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +111 $20 29¢ $32 +$12 06-09 18:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +148 $19 10¢ $14 $-5 06-09 18:18
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +23 $10 56¢ $13 +$3 05-28 17:54
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +129 $20 8¢ $11 $-9 06-11 23:40
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +29 $5 28¢ $8 +$3 06-17 22:32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +83 $10 6¢ $5 $-5 05-28 17:47
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes +60 $5 4¢ $2 $-3 06-18 07:09
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +15 $1 5¢ $1 $-0 05-28 14:02