Afraid-Batting 0x7a10bf…e494bc
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
79
Trades
183
lifetime
Volume
$2.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$335
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 10-05 15:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Politics
67% 35% +$74
Other
27% 31% -$46
Sports
6% 37% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +211 $70 41¢ $87 +$17 09-24 22:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +143 $10 42¢ $60 +$50 06-01 13:57
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +667 $40 5¢ $33 -$7 07-13 21:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +47 $20 68¢ $32 +$12 08-23 15:05
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +751 $48 4¢ $26 -$22 10-05 15:19
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +127 $28 18¢ $22 -$6 10-05 13:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +111 $20 20¢ $22 +$2 06-09 18:18
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +23 $10 78¢ $18 +$8 05-28 17:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +148 $19 6¢ $10 -$10 06-09 18:18
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +103 $15 8¢ $8 -$6 06-18 06:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +33 $10 14¢ $5 -$5 05-28 17:52
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +29 $5 15¢ $4 -$1 06-17 22:32
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +129 $20 2¢ $3 -$17 06-11 23:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +83 $10 3¢ $3 -$7 05-28 17:47
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes +60 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 06-18 07:09
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +15 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-28 14:02