Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$161
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
190
lifetime
Volume
$25.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$135
Open exposure
$2.09K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-20 18:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
38%
Other
35%
Sports
17% 0% $-1
Crypto
10%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +540 $502 95¢ $513 +$11 06-01 19:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +410 $282 99¢ $406 +$124 06-11 15:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +340 $255 86¢ $294 +$39 05-28 07:50
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +280 $249 96¢ $267 +$18 06-12 05:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +460 $207 36¢ $163 $-44 06-09 11:36
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +240 $149 66¢ $160 +$11 05-28 04:06
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -157 $-148 94¢ $-148 +$0 06-25 12:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +130 $104 86¢ $112 +$8 06-01 07:27
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +252 $35 12¢ $29 $-6 06-04 07:09