Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$150
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
187
lifetime
Volume
$25.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$134
Open exposure
$4.59K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-25 12:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
38%
Other
34%
Sports
17% 0% $-1
Crypto
10%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +703 $560 100¢ $700 +$140 06-13 15:02
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -520 $-514 100¢ $-519 $-5 06-06 20:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -520 $-517 100¢ $-519 $-3 06-15 16:55
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +540 $502 94¢ $510 +$8 06-01 19:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +340 $275 86¢ $291 +$16 06-11 15:41
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +340 $255 86¢ $291 +$36 05-28 07:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +410 $282 70¢ $285 +$3 06-11 15:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +260 $252 100¢ $260 +$8 06-04 18:47
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +280 $249 92¢ $256 +$7 06-12 05:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +460 $207 44¢ $202 $-5 06-09 11:36
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +170 $158 100¢ $170 +$11 06-02 18:55
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +240 $149 66¢ $160 +$11 05-28 04:06
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -157 $-148 94¢ $-147 +$2 06-25 12:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +130 $104 88¢ $114 +$10 06-01 07:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +100 $93 100¢ $100 +$7 05-27 22:05
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +252 $35 24¢ $62 +$26 06-04 07:09
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes +300 $123 $1 $-122 06-04 21:06