Realized P&L
-$1.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$50
Hit rate
46.0%
Resolved
290
Trades
4,257
lifetime
Volume
$37.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$6.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 10-30 09:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Politics
49% 30% -$177
Other
43% 35% -$737
Tech
4% 29% -$83
Crypto
2% 25% +$56
Sports
2% 30% -$87
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 1303 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,558 $1,276 67¢ $1.7K +$426 10-27 21:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,623 $1,154 60¢ $966 -$188 10-25 00:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,558 $1,145 33¢ $856 -$290 10-28 07:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,623 $562 40¢ $657 +$95 10-28 07:11
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +485 $435 99¢ $479 +$44 10-23 10:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +435 $327 70¢ $302 -$25 10-25 09:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +326 $267 81¢ $264 -$4 10-25 22:06
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +212 $195 95¢ $202 +$7 10-23 14:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +192 $153 77¢ $149 -$5 10-24 06:12
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +197 $131 70¢ $138 +$7 10-27 08:40
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +105 $86 94¢ $98 +$12 10-29 12:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +98 $90 91¢ $90 +$0 10-24 06:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +125 $74 66¢ $82 +$8 10-23 11:05
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +100 $62 64¢ $64 +$2 10-25 14:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +70 $62 88¢ $62 -$1 10-23 09:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +151 $61 30¢ $46 -$15 10-25 12:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +125 $57 34¢ $43 -$14 10-24 16:35
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +53 $15 70¢ $37 +$22 10-27 12:11
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +22 $22 98¢ $22 $0 10-24 06:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +22 $21 96¢ $21 +$0 10-24 06:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes -175 -$14 12¢ $-21 -$7 10-24 19:43
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +445 $43 5¢ $21 -$22 10-23 19:14
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +18 $7 99¢ $18 +$10 10-24 07:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes -189 $16 9¢ $-16 -$32 10-24 14:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +56 $13 23¢ $13 $0 10-25 15:33
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $11 75¢ $11 +$0 10-27 14:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes -265 -$12 4¢ $-9 +$2 10-24 14:56
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $12 5¢ $9 -$3 07-10 13:49
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,628 -$8 1¢ $9 +$17 10-30 12:22
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +22 $7 36¢ $8 +$1 10-24 06:00