Realized P&L
-$2.23K
Unrealized P&L
-$14.9K
Hit rate
84.5%
Resolved
245
Trades
3,280
lifetime
Volume
$448.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$137
Open exposure
$19.9K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-16 23:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 102 days
Categories
Other
57% 73% -$3,683
Politics
39% 70% +$1,143
Tech
2% 75% +$487
Sports
1% 83% -$146
Crypto
0% 64% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 266 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +12,610 $9,067 41¢ $5.2K -$3,890 10-15 16:33
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +5,000 $4,485 97¢ $4.9K +$387 07-16 18:29
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +4,500 $4,262 98¢ $4.4K +$139 08-04 13:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,800 $1,461 97¢ $1.7K +$286 07-02 17:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +11,829 $6,755 11¢ $1.2K -$5,513 08-15 17:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +950 $762 85¢ $807 +$46 08-19 07:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +500 $400 96¢ $480 +$80 09-30 15:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +6,392 $4,456 3¢ $192 -$4,264 08-17 07:01
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +950 $161 15¢ $142 -$19 08-06 17:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +200 $155 68¢ $135 -$20 08-09 05:22
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +5,000 $440 3¢ $128 -$312 08-05 02:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +200 $140 62¢ $123 -$17 10-05 13:57
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +200 $0 59¢ $118 +$117 08-13 16:47
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +5,000 $215 2¢ $110 -$105 07-31 21:08
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +4,731 $320 1¢ $64 -$257 09-09 07:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1,800 $157 3¢ $53 -$104 05-11 17:54
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +200 $188 23¢ $46 -$142 08-12 17:27
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +200 $76 20¢ $40 -$36 05-06 09:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,744 $169 2¢ $34 -$135 10-16 23:04
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +2,400 $1,222 1¢ $24 -$1,198 09-17 05:11
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +116 $12 4¢ $5 -$7 05-12 03:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$90 98¢ $0 +$90 07-04 15:51
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +0 -$21 6¢ $0 +$21 07-31 12:16