Puzzling-Injoke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,079

lifetime

Volume

$278.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$134

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 05:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

60% 75% +$131

Politics

37% 80% +$8

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 339 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	357	$28.4K	24,263	17,498	+6,765	open	—	08-10 11:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	23	$23.8K	12,918	13,080	-162	open	—	07-31 10:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	40	$16.2K	21,500	8,312	+13,187	open	—	08-11 11:07
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	04-30 06:18
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	45	$11.9K	8,789	8,589	+200	open	—	05-14 14:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	46	$11.0K	10,421	834	+9,587	No	+$119	05-05 06:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$9.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	08-04 00:53
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	26	$9.1K	10,036	0	+10,036	open	—	08-11 07:42
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	273	$8.6K	11,411	2,411	+9,000	open	—	08-04 13:59
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	52	$8.5K	5,251	5,251	+0	open	—	01-31 00:08
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	14	$6.7K	11,000	1,000	+10,000	open	—	08-05 02:18
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	42	$6.0K	6,505	5,755	+750	open	—	08-08 14:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	46	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-18 19:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	38	$5.3K	2,000	4,000	-2,000	open	—	07-04 15:51
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$15	05-03 17:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$4.4K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	05-03 16:28
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?	3	$4.1K	2,000	2,201	-201	open	—	05-03 15:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	7	$3.7K	5,700	3,700	+2,000	open	—	08-11 11:05
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	1	$3.4K	0	3,500	-3,500	open	—	06-21 07:57
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	2	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	08-08 19:08
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	22	$3.2K	5,400	1,525	+3,875	open	—	05-28 18:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	17	$3.1K	2,000	2,430	-430	open	—	01-31 09:44
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?	19	$3.1K	2,617	649	+1,967	open	—	05-20 18:07
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	26	$2.9K	5,819	0	+5,819	open	—	05-26 23:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$2.8K	5,800	0	+5,800	open	—	05-10 11:58
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	30	$2.7K	7,200	7,150	+50	open	—	08-06 20:33
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	18	$2.4K	1,437	1,135	+302	open	—	04-30 18:51
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	11	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-19 13:13
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$2.3K	0	2,400	-2,400	open	—	07-02 17:38
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	23	$2.2K	1,411	1,092	+318	No	$-13	05-08 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:07:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	47¢	$470	0x0ffd21…
08-11 11:05:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	2,000	15¢	$300	0xf06a9f…
08-11 10:46:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	79	97¢	$77	0x67d0b8…
08-11 10:45:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	121	97¢	$117	0xb43b3b…
08-11 07:42:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x830619…
08-11 05:17:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$992	0xa81ea0…
08-10 17:57:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	406	15¢	$61	0x04ed6b…
08-10 17:48:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x8c664d…
08-10 17:06:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	928	15¢	$139	0x7a3def…
08-10 14:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	47¢	$470	0x73fda8…
08-10 11:53:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0xacbb5a…
08-10 11:14:39	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xc6fbe6…
08-10 08:48:51	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x93d7e9…
08-10 08:48:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x724d19…
08-10 08:48:37	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x457a2b…
08-10 08:10:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0x2f45e4…
08-10 07:57:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x9499e3…
08-10 07:43:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	520	85¢	$442	0x9b9974…
08-10 07:35:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	344	85¢	$293	0xc0341e…
08-10 07:14:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,321	90¢	$1,189	0x4336ea…
08-10 07:13:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	440	90¢	$396	0x2e86e5…
08-10 07:13:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	21	85¢	$17	0x2df4b7…
08-10 07:00:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x24ef0a…
08-10 06:57:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x1921eb…
08-10 06:55:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x0529d8…
08-10 06:27:39	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2a3648…
08-10 06:06:10	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	19	88¢	$16	0x66e47f…
08-10 05:23:39	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	666	76¢	$506	0xb730a0…
08-10 05:16:34	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	189	80¢	$151	0x3207b3…
08-10 05:07:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x354c7b…
08-10 05:01:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xbb7de0…
08-10 04:45:45	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xac6ee8…
08-10 04:39:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	92	85¢	$78	0x902727…
08-10 04:38:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	306	80¢	$245	0xe50694…
08-10 04:38:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	120	80¢	$96	0xc267bd…
08-10 04:28:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xcc0fb9…
08-10 03:43:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	683	97¢	$666	0x15a951…
08-10 03:43:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x1671f0…
08-10 03:40:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x62038b…
08-10 03:36:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x56b028…
08-10 03:32:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe126a5…
08-10 03:27:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0xa4865b…
08-10 03:21:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x6deb08…
08-10 03:17:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8b6b8d…
08-10 03:15:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xeddb72…
08-10 03:07:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	35	90¢	$31	0xd08d1f…
08-10 02:39:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x998c3f…
08-09 22:38:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	980	84¢	$823	0x342c23…
08-09 21:32:12	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xc33640…
08-09 21:08:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	206	86¢	$178	0x076b9e…
08-09 21:08:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0x3f71f1…
08-09 18:03:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	500	77¢	$385	0x713880…
08-09 17:46:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,107	91¢	$1,007	0xc34c4a…
08-09 17:40:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3,000	91¢	$2,730	0xdd5015…
08-09 17:13:39	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0xe131f1…
08-09 17:13:24	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	600	89¢	$534	0xbd3871…
08-09 16:03:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x2e2040…
08-09 13:04:07	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x69a139…
08-09 10:57:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0x2f16e9…
08-09 09:15:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xf7a7d3…
08-09 09:01:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	312	86¢	$268	0xe63e03…
08-09 08:56:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	274	86¢	$236	0xa90daa…
08-09 08:39:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x0140ac…
08-09 08:35:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	1,700	79¢	$1,343	0x77bb4e…
08-09 08:31:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x7ea5f3…
08-09 08:30:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	159	86¢	$137	0x2ffdd5…
08-09 07:39:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x2a899b…
08-09 05:22:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x73a1de…
08-08 23:00:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	649	56¢	$364	0x570d24…
08-08 22:52:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	227	56¢	$127	0xdb76ff…
08-08 22:26:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	123	56¢	$69	0x897a3d…
08-08 21:38:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	700	100¢	$696	0xa94628…
08-08 19:28:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	57¢	$1,710	0x7643b2…
08-08 19:08:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	2,000	80¢	$1,602	0x5123d1…
08-08 18:57:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,700	76¢	$1,292	0xbbb09d…
08-08 18:10:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0xea8016…
08-08 17:33:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x771cf1…
08-08 17:29:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	97	58¢	$56	0xe79727…
08-08 17:28:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x30c8d9…
08-08 17:27:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xcbb240…
08-08 17:27:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf8f99e…
08-08 17:26:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	181	58¢	$105	0xf041db…
08-08 17:26:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x7b636d…
08-08 17:26:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xd1d383…
08-08 17:25:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x335f3c…
08-08 17:25:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x64330a…
08-08 17:24:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x278af9…
08-08 17:06:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	2,000	84¢	$1,680	0x4dda86…
08-08 16:05:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	59¢	$590	0xf3b63c…
08-08 14:39:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,000	8¢	$80	0x99e9b4…
08-08 12:39:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x99a470…
08-08 11:45:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xad12cd…
08-08 10:55:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xb5c652…
08-08 10:37:07	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x8a0c56…
08-08 02:03:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	59¢	$1,180	0x6a1f91…
08-07 16:28:37	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xd271b6…
08-07 16:26:24	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x4f34b1…
08-07 13:44:39	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0x96e76b…
08-07 13:17:31	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf08985…
08-07 12:02:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0xe37869…