Realized P&L
+$61.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$766
Hit rate
71.0%
Resolved
929
Trades
12,859
lifetime
Volume
$2.59M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$201
Open exposure
$16.7K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-28 01:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Politics
82% 67% +$72,650
Other
17% 54% -$9,271
Sports
1% 58% -$744
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Crypto
0% 0% -$894
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +7,466 $5,734 96¢ $7.1K +$1,395 10-21 18:25
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +6,965 $6,281 95¢ $6.6K +$353 06-01 16:46
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +10,000 $1,398 14¢ $1.3K -$48 10-25 02:42
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +867 $768 97¢ $841 +$73 10-24 18:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +7,466 $1,891 4¢ $336 -$1,555 10-21 18:48
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +4,509 $1,555 6¢ $248 -$1,307 09-15 05:24
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,697 $126 6¢ $93 -$32 09-15 14:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +446 $46 10¢ $43 -$3 05-06 23:45
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 -$25 100¢ $0 +$25 07-22 09:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$131 99¢ $0 +$131 09-04 22:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +0 -$38 64¢ $0 +$38 10-11 03:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -0 -$300 54¢ $-0 +$300 10-14 20:06
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +0 -$1,245 7¢ $0 +$1,245 07-30 22:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +0 -$100 3¢ $0 +$100 05-24 05:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$49 6¢ $0 +$49 05-06 11:38