Realized P&L
-$1.93K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.38K
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
9,476
lifetime
Volume
$1.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$199
Open exposure
$10.3K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 06-30 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
85% 67% $-1,584
Other
14% 0% $-347
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +3,500 $3,174 100¢ $3.5K +$323 06-16 07:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3,250 $-2,658 86¢ $-2812 $-154 06-19 20:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -1,500 $-1,758 100¢ $-1496 +$262 06-19 20:36
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,000 $913 94¢ $940 +$27 06-01 16:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $772 80¢ $805 +$33 06-21 13:03
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -361 $-407 100¢ $-360 +$47 06-07 19:23
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -300 $-317 99¢ $-297 +$20 06-08 03:27
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes -83 $-103 30¢ $-25 +$78 06-20 19:28
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No -13 $-11 90¢ $-12 $-0 06-18 20:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -2,000 $-862 $-9 +$853 06-28 21:01
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -110 $-11 $-8 +$3 06-18 20:24
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +6 $-374 100¢ $6 +$380 06-07 19:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -2,095 $-94 $-6 +$88 06-15 23:27
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? Yes +475 $29 $4 $-25 06-19 11:36
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? Yes +2,007 $4 $4 $-0 06-29 09:35
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes -565 $-31 $-3 +$28 06-07 21:08
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes -72 $579 $-0 $-579 06-21 19:19