Delicious-Hackwork — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.41K

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

928

Trades

12,851

lifetime

Volume

$2.57M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$200

Open exposure

$18.5K

16 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-27 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 194 days

Categories

Politics

82% 67% +$71,540

Other

17% 54% -$9,271

Sports

1% 58% -$744

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Crypto

0% 0% -$894

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+7,466	$5,734	92¢	$6.8K	+$1,097	10-21 18:25
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	+6,965	$6,281	96¢	$6.7K	+$430	06-01 16:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+1,697	$1,159	92¢	$1.6K	+$411	10-27 04:22
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+10,000	$1,398	15¢	$1.4K	+$52	10-25 02:42
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	+867	$768	94¢	$815	+$47	10-24 18:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+7,466	$1,891	8¢	$635	-$1,256	10-21 18:48
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	Yes	+4,509	$1,555	8¢	$338	-$1,217	09-15 05:24
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+1,697	$126	5¢	$85	-$41	09-15 14:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+446	$46	10¢	$44	-$2	05-06 23:45
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	-$25	100¢	$0	+$25	07-22 09:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$131	98¢	$0	+$131	09-04 22:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+0	-$38	62¢	$0	+$38	10-11 03:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	-0	-$300	74¢	$-0	+$300	10-14 20:06
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	+0	-$1,245	8¢	$0	+$1,245	07-30 22:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	+0	-$100	3¢	$0	+$100	05-24 05:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$49	6¢	$0	+$49	05-06 11:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	50	$56.7K	30,820	30,820	+0	Yes	+$2,503	10-26 02:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	51	$39.7K	20,179	22,444	-2,265	No	+$298	05-07 17:27
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	134	$38.3K	35,787	31,356	+4,430	Yes	-$1,490	04-15 18:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	119	$36.6K	44,509	42,580	+1,929	Yes	-$1,692	04-07 22:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	67	$36.5K	25,951	25,951	+0	No	+$583	04-20 13:57
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	248	$34.5K	63,523	66,734	-3,211	Yes	-$645	02-27 23:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	73	$31.9K	58,091	43,160	+14,931	open	—	10-21 18:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	86	$29.6K	39,481	39,481	+0	Yes	+$2,432	06-15 18:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	63	$29.0K	24,471	24,471	+0	Yes	+$601	03-01 01:29
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	68	$28.3K	29,321	29,321	+0	No	+$2,365	06-14 19:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	95	$27.7K	25,217	24,660	+557	No	+$346	05-18 06:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	148	$26.9K	24,443	24,443	+0	No	+$460	06-19 21:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	103	$23.4K	21,614	21,614	+0	No	-$609	05-24 16:13
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	115	$22.8K	27,421	28,921	-1,500	Yes	-$992	03-06 21:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	19	$22.6K	29,543	29,543	+0	No	-$262	05-25 22:59
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	96	$21.8K	22,501	23,501	-1,000	No	+$1,999	04-15 22:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	85	$21.8K	23,502	23,502	+0	Yes	+$691	06-14 21:19
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	53	$21.0K	21,815	22,665	-850	Yes	-$406	03-19 00:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	40	$20.5K	15,011	15,011	+0	open	—	07-25 09:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	35	$19.4K	21,222	19,222	+2,000	Yes	-$2,852	06-20 20:43
israel closes its airspace by june 8	60	$18.8K	17,654	17,654	+0	No	-$36	06-08 04:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	23	$18.3K	10,836	10,836	+0	open	—	10-23 11:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	24	$18.0K	10,950	10,523	+427	No	+$444	04-17 15:12
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	40	$17.9K	25,146	25,146	+0	Yes	+$41	04-08 16:20
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	96	$17.8K	13,083	13,083	+0	Yes	+$430	07-06 22:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	44	$17.0K	19,468	14,448	+5,020	No	-$471	05-25 21:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	18	$16.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$950	05-17 21:20
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	62	$16.4K	12,500	5,000	+7,500	No	+$584	07-20 13:32
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	36	$15.7K	15,500	15,500	+0	Yes	+$300	04-03 22:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	76	$15.7K	11,141	11,141	+0	Yes	+$584	05-08 19:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:22:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	2,151	93¢	$2,000	0x2ad436…
10-27 03:50:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,100	93¢	$1,023	0x584ed0…
10-27 03:15:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	157	93¢	$146	0xf721e2…
10-27 03:01:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x61ad03…
10-27 01:56:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	885	93¢	$823	0x7e8e10…
10-26 08:05:35	Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	3¢	$7	0x342260…
10-26 02:40:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	8,725	100¢	$8,717	0xfc26b7…
10-26 02:35:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xeec2e9…
10-26 02:34:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x60c3c3…
10-26 02:32:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa9a3ad…
10-26 02:21:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1,512	100¢	$1,510	0x8c1386…
10-26 01:50:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	473	100¢	$473	0x0a1da1…
10-26 01:43:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x4cf613…
10-25 02:42:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	845	14¢	$118	0xedabd3…
10-25 00:17:51	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xc5b2af…
10-24 22:03:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x0df0a7…
10-24 19:32:15	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x454b3c…
10-24 19:06:35	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc1f613…
10-24 18:40:17	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x1f6aa1…
10-24 18:13:03	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x33cd16…
10-24 16:43:39	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4,108	14¢	$575	0x349263…
10-24 16:04:45	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5,000	14¢	$700	0xcd9e46…
10-24 15:05:27	Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x0ae0b8…
10-24 15:04:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe134bb…
10-24 15:04:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xcc0552…
10-24 13:22:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x9fb6a2…
10-24 00:48:39	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x46b708…
10-23 22:34:05	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	333	88¢	$293	0xbbebbe…
10-23 22:31:23	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x1517c8…
10-23 22:25:44	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xad4206…
10-23 22:20:05	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x52a830…
10-23 20:48:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,500	97¢	$1,454	0xc78938…
10-23 20:47:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,500	97¢	$1,455	0x26d69e…
10-23 20:46:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xcc918e…
10-23 20:46:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	2,500	97¢	$2,422	0xbc2f79…
10-23 20:44:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,475	97¢	$1,425	0xa85302…
10-23 20:35:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$962	0x372877…
10-23 20:34:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x71114c…
10-23 20:31:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	873	97¢	$847	0x18e4d1…
10-23 20:29:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x96f551…
10-23 20:28:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,445	97¢	$1,405	0xe5e8b5…
10-23 20:24:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$976	0x367cda…
10-23 20:21:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x665e5b…
10-23 20:20:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	122	97¢	$118	0xe98613…
10-23 20:02:27	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9,856	17¢	$1,676	0x8b0f51…
10-23 20:02:11	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	19¢	$7	0xd7425a…
10-23 20:01:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	848	21¢	$175	0xc2afc1…
10-23 20:01:38	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	852	21¢	$179	0x8b30cb…
10-23 17:37:45	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,091	46¢	$505	0xa34167…
10-23 13:17:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x0836b4…
10-23 13:14:29	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	35¢	$19	0xcad03d…
10-23 13:13:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	258	35¢	$90	0x76580b…
10-23 11:29:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	172	93¢	$160	0x47a38e…
10-22 20:27:09	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,647	34¢	$1,240	0x00021f…
10-22 20:26:29	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0xdc41a4…
10-22 20:26:29	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xcc4096…
10-22 20:26:27	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,323	34¢	$450	0xf3b586…
10-22 19:29:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1,447	99¢	$1,428	0x249ec6…
10-22 19:17:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1,380	98¢	$1,358	0xba8873…
10-22 19:13:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	231	98¢	$227	0xe7be0c…
10-22 18:31:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	2,343	93¢	$2,179	0x0309ce…
10-22 17:05:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	941	83¢	$781	0x690e5c…
10-22 15:58:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1,611	98¢	$1,574	0x98b3ef…
10-22 13:01:18	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	27¢	$1,350	0x756917…
10-22 11:19:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1,074	96¢	$1,027	0xa1a837…
10-22 11:18:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1,432	96¢	$1,369	0x6e5ff1…
10-22 11:17:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xffcd35…
10-22 11:09:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x5eb270…
10-22 11:05:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x17d643…
10-22 06:34:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x1a4118…
10-22 06:24:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x019e94…
10-21 22:02:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	1,500	83¢	$1,249	0xc228a5…
10-21 21:17:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	1,500	77¢	$1,155	0x238ff1…
10-21 21:06:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	276	79¢	$218	0x6f4d6a…
10-21 20:56:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	3,926	83¢	$3,259	0x6ec309…
10-21 20:55:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0x95883b…
10-21 20:51:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	471	83¢	$391	0x964709…
10-21 20:50:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x5b40f2…
10-21 20:50:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	533	83¢	$443	0xece565…
10-21 20:42:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	1,554	84¢	$1,305	0x9ac896…
10-21 20:42:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0c0507…
10-21 20:42:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x15f23b…
10-21 20:42:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x893fac…
10-21 20:41:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x4b7876…
10-21 20:37:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xe6cadf…
10-21 20:37:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	105	84¢	$88	0xedeeda…
10-21 20:36:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,500	89¢	$1,329	0x4aa1e6…
10-21 20:36:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	2,947	87¢	$2,578	0x48073a…
10-21 20:36:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	2,000	89¢	$1,772	0x110125…
10-21 20:34:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x1f5607…
10-21 20:34:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,130	89¢	$1,003	0x2a4b56…
10-21 20:32:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	4,000	87¢	$3,464	0xd3a033…
10-21 20:24:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1,888	82¢	$1,538	0x5813a1…
10-21 20:24:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1,478	82¢	$1,204	0x26e43c…
10-21 20:24:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	57	82¢	$47	0xe9903b…
10-21 20:23:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	86	82¢	$71	0x131cb1…
10-21 20:19:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	3,508	79¢	$2,772	0x8092b9…
10-21 20:00:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	218	78¢	$170	0x0a93e8…
10-21 19:56:50	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,336	9¢	$120	0x2e6b46…
10-21 19:55:38	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	103	9¢	$9	0xa3d162…