Realized P&L
+$905
Unrealized P&L
-$360
Hit rate
37.1%
Resolved
58
Trades
150
lifetime
Volume
$8.81K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$566
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-29 06:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Politics
75% 47% +$1,651
Other
13% 30% -$290
Sports
12% 20% -$456
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +383 $100 46¢ $174 +$75 10-29 06:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +786 $218 15¢ $119 -$100 10-29 06:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,814 $113 6¢ $109 -$4 10-29 06:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +300 $96 20¢ $58 -$38 05-18 10:17
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +1,350 $100 2¢ $31 -$69 05-18 11:59
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +630 $101 2¢ $15 -$86 05-20 21:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +100 $41 14¢ $14 -$27 04-30 18:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +240 $103 6¢ $13 -$90 05-18 10:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +412 $24 3¢ $13 -$11 10-29 06:20
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +143 $10 4¢ $6 -$4 09-09 04:50
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +208 $5 2¢ $5 +$0 10-29 06:18
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +217 $10 2¢ $5 -$5 09-09 04:50
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +91 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 10-29 06:19