Realized P&L
+$905
Unrealized P&L
-$458
Hit rate
37.1%
Resolved
58
Trades
155
lifetime
Volume
$8.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$492
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 11-03 03:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Politics
75% 47% +$1,651
Other
13% 30% -$290
Sports
12% 20% -$456
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +383 $100 34¢ $128 +$29 10-29 06:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +786 $218 14¢ $113 -$105 10-29 06:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,814 $113 4¢ $82 -$31 10-29 06:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +300 $96 18¢ $52 -$44 05-18 10:17
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +1,350 $100 2¢ $24 -$76 05-18 11:59
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +412 $24 4¢ $17 -$7 10-29 06:20
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +630 $101 2¢ $15 -$86 05-20 21:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +100 $41 14¢ $14 -$28 04-30 18:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +240 $103 6¢ $13 -$90 05-18 10:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +31 $10 32¢ $10 +$0 11-02 04:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? No +53 $10 16¢ $9 -$1 11-02 04:56
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +143 $10 4¢ $6 -$4 09-09 04:50
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +208 $5 2¢ $4 -$1 10-29 06:18
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +91 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 10-29 06:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +123 $15 1¢ $2 -$13 11-03 03:20