Realized P&L
+$890
Unrealized P&L
-$620
Hit rate
37.1%
Resolved
59
Trades
156
lifetime
Volume
$8.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$317
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 11-04 04:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Politics
75% 45% +$1,636
Other
13% 30% -$290
Sports
12% 20% -$456
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +383 $100 22¢ $83 -$16 10-29 06:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +786 $218 9¢ $73 -$146 10-29 06:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,814 $113 3¢ $48 -$65 10-29 06:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +300 $96 11¢ $32 -$64 05-18 10:17
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +1,350 $100 2¢ $20 -$80 05-18 11:59
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +630 $101 2¢ $15 -$85 05-20 21:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +240 $103 5¢ $12 -$91 05-18 10:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +412 $24 2¢ $9 -$15 10-29 06:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +100 $41 8¢ $8 -$32 04-30 18:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +31 $10 20¢ $6 -$4 11-02 04:56
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +91 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 10-29 06:19
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +143 $10 2¢ $3 -$7 09-09 04:50
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +208 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 10-29 06:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? No +58 $11 2¢ $1 -$10 11-04 04:37