Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$89

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

Trades

714

lifetime

Volume

$277.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$388

Open exposure

$11.0K

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 11-12 14:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Politics

88% 55% -$35,738

Other

11% 62% +$1,249

Crypto

0% 50% -$30

Tech

0% 0% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	+2,828	$2,460	98¢	$2.8K	+$303	10-25 17:06
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,500	$2,100	86¢	$2.1K	+$37	11-12 14:38
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,824	99¢	$2.0K	+$149	05-18 10:33
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+1,300	$1,027	97¢	$1.3K	+$237	06-23 05:19
Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?	No	+1,020	$745	70¢	$719	-$26	11-12 14:30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+6,900	$1,656	10¢	$700	-$956	06-18 17:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+600	$546	99¢	$594	+$48	05-08 22:26
Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	+277	$224	86¢	$237	+$12	11-09 17:33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+240	$187	98¢	$236	+$49	06-12 05:43
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	+1,026	$287	20¢	$200	-$87	07-24 12:08
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	+109	$100	97¢	$105	+$5	10-19 20:06
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+2,103	$1,665	2¢	$40	-$1,625	11-09 18:23
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$79	99¢	$0	+$79	06-13 08:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$1,863	11¢	$0	+$1,863	10-22 13:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	4	$26.7K	28,838	0	+28,838	No	+$2,121	02-22 14:10
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	35	$25.8K	26,070	0	+26,070	No	+$260	02-14 23:23
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	3	$24.4K	26,870	0	+26,870	No	+$2,486	02-18 16:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	29	$18.1K	20,463	20,463	+0	Yes	-$18,052	03-01 07:09
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	16	$16.9K	9,890	9,890	+0	No	-$927	10-22 22:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	15	$13.5K	13,790	0	+13,790	No	+$275	01-31 22:54
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	3	$10.9K	11,200	0	+11,200	No	+$291	02-04 16:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	59	$10.8K	0	11,169	-11,169	No	-$357	05-14 15:53
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$9.7K	9,752	0	+9,752	No	+$68	02-10 13:39
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	16	$9.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$700	02-25 09:41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	36	$8.1K	15,100	15,100	+0	open	—	10-22 13:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$7.1K	7,492	0	+7,492	No	+$361	06-09 16:36
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	13	$6.8K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$182	02-09 11:20
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$5.2K	6,697	0	+6,697	No	+$1,448	03-02 21:55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	2	$4.5K	2,640	2,400	+240	open	—	06-12 05:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$4.4K	5,260	5,260	+0	Yes	-$4,389	03-01 07:12
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	15	$4.1K	6,050	0	+6,050	Yes	-$4,054	02-25 16:36
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	28	$3.6K	1,967	1,967	+0	open	—	06-13 08:11
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	6	$3.5K	3,716	0	+3,716	No	+$174	02-09 17:17
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	45	$3.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	-$3,040	02-25 12:54
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	6	$3.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	-$1,500	04-07 22:48
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	8	$3.0K	3,600	0	+3,600	Yes	-$2,952	02-25 10:24
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	9	$2.5K	2,828	0	+2,828	open	—	10-25 17:06
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	2	$2.3K	2,422	0	+2,422	No	+$94	07-25 15:22
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	3	$2.3K	2,305	0	+2,305	No	+$47	02-09 14:20
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	9	$2.2K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$2,160	02-25 12:01
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	68	$2.1K	81,747	85,100	-3,353	No	-$610	03-20 12:57
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	12	$2.1K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	11-12 14:38
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	1	$2.1K	2,600	0	+2,600	Yes	-$2,080	02-25 10:15
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	2	$1.9K	1,884	0	+1,884	No	+$15	02-04 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 14:38:46	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	531	84¢	$446	0x791dc4…
11-12 14:38:33	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	87	84¢	$73	0x8b1bfc…
11-12 14:33:15	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4184a0…
11-12 14:32:25	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	84¢	$89	0x0c486f…
11-12 14:32:01	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x406ca6…
11-12 14:30:00	Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xfab0f6…
11-12 14:27:09	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x48f5d7…
11-12 14:26:25	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0xdb2041…
11-12 14:25:24	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x48b990…
11-12 14:22:13	Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x372e59…
11-12 14:21:48	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1b594a…
11-12 14:21:09	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	312	84¢	$262	0x1cb3bc…
11-12 14:20:45	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0x3426fe…
11-12 14:19:07	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	326	84¢	$274	0xf7aa95…
11-12 14:18:58	Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	260	73¢	$190	0x9d96af…
11-12 14:17:45	Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xbb5ef4…
11-12 14:15:46	Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x7ade64…
11-12 14:14:28	Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	695	73¢	$507	0x060a2a…
11-12 11:01:37	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x450141…
11-12 11:01:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xddbfcf…
11-12 11:01:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	506	25¢	$127	0x879969…
11-12 11:01:24	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	84	25¢	$21	0x523f66…
11-12 11:00:42	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	590	25¢	$148	0x91724e…
11-12 11:00:40	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,188	25¢	$297	0xae7768…
11-09 18:23:36	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x7be9bd…
11-09 17:33:57	Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0x25ed6d…
11-09 10:53:03	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	349	2¢	$9	0x8ca420…
11-08 23:34:52	Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x047279…
11-08 23:19:22	Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x53b013…
11-08 21:30:10	Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$0	0x027e7c…
11-08 21:30:03	Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	135	78¢	$106	0xafbd09…
10-25 17:06:57	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x2081b1…
10-25 17:02:51	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	87¢	$48	0x182ab3…
10-25 09:41:42	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	2,500	67¢	$1,675	0x896e77…
10-25 06:55:39	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	87¢	$35	0x44a356…
10-25 01:06:53	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$6	0x23db24…
10-25 01:06:35	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x99f409…
10-25 01:06:35	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x0523ac…
10-25 01:06:33	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,542	87¢	$2,212	0xe8230b…
10-25 01:06:33	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x9e7b8b…
10-25 01:06:33	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	87¢	$113	0x6fe9be…
10-22 22:46:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9,890	81¢	$8,011	0xd307a1…
10-22 14:03:21	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	84¢	$57	0xcd06f3…
10-22 14:03:14	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	149	84¢	$125	0x99a74a…
10-22 14:03:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	149	84¢	$125	0x877478…
10-22 14:02:59	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xed3081…
10-22 14:01:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x0049eb…
10-22 13:59:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	992	33¢	$327	0x4c24d4…
10-19 20:44:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	91¢	$1,365	0xa059fa…
10-19 20:06:36	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe4e5bb…
10-19 17:08:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8ff9f4…
10-19 17:08:39	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	379	91¢	$345	0xf371e7…
10-19 15:56:42	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x32fed4…
10-19 15:49:39	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xeca2fc…
10-19 12:57:14	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0x3dceb8…
10-19 12:56:38	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	365	91¢	$332	0xda4f81…
10-17 23:42:23	Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?	No	BUY	101	85¢	$86	0xa5e5cc…
10-17 19:44:23	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0xc103f4…
10-17 19:41:02	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	909	33¢	$300	0x8d3619…
10-17 19:38:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	33¢	$99	0xe20909…
10-17 19:37:08	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,515	33¢	$500	0xd7903c…
10-17 19:36:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,500	33¢	$825	0x154875…
10-17 19:36:47	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,515	33¢	$500	0xd2420a…
10-17 19:35:35	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x05ddaa…
10-17 19:34:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	33¢	$330	0x791d95…
10-17 19:34:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xb4d77e…
10-17 19:34:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,212	33¢	$400	0xf7382d…
10-17 19:34:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,568	33¢	$1,508	0x6cbf30…
10-17 19:34:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	348	33¢	$115	0x3ffb87…
07-25 15:22:54	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	2,319	96¢	$2,229	0xbe42e7…
07-24 12:08:43	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xa34fde…
07-20 19:58:37	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0xcecbdc…
07-20 08:09:49	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xba803b…
07-20 02:07:39	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	65	28¢	$18	0x9f4c6d…
07-20 00:53:27	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	145	28¢	$41	0xdfc389…
07-18 17:51:37	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	230	28¢	$64	0x450fbc…
07-18 06:50:43	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x60bd67…
07-18 04:25:27	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x087f82…
07-16 20:37:38	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0x86921b…
07-16 00:57:19	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	176	98¢	$173	0x042d8a…
07-16 00:54:13	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0x8d62c5…
07-15 21:54:47	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	588	98¢	$578	0x5d9830…
07-15 21:26:04	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x9054f6…
07-15 21:24:28	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	294	98¢	$289	0x8320b8…
07-15 20:29:13	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	588	98¢	$578	0xe5b794…
07-15 18:01:32	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x325ab3…
07-15 14:50:20	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5f09aa…
07-15 13:09:11	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x8be5bd…
07-15 13:05:04	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0xd1fab0…
07-15 07:53:26	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xb02b59…
07-15 03:16:44	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x47e5f4…
07-15 00:08:16	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x5c4579…
07-15 00:08:01	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x566cae…
07-14 22:18:14	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x7b63f0…
07-14 19:23:31	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	33	28¢	$9	0x780d31…
07-14 19:15:52	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x809b1f…
07-06 10:33:56	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x4da152…
07-04 06:57:25	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,055	20¢	$1,011	0x3cd073…
07-04 06:46:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x715e9e…
07-04 04:11:38	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x390060…