Realized P&L
-$34.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$124
Hit rate
67.9%
Resolved
86
Trades
714
lifetime
Volume
$277.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$388
Open exposure
$11.1K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 11-12 14:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
88% 55% -$35,738
Other
11% 62% +$1,249
Crypto
0% 50% -$30
Tech
0% 0% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +2,828 $2,460 98¢ $2.8K +$308 10-25 17:06
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,100 86¢ $2.2K +$62 11-12 14:38
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2,000 $1,824 99¢ $2.0K +$149 05-18 10:33
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1,300 $1,027 97¢ $1.3K +$236 06-23 05:19
Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027? No +1,020 $745 74¢ $750 +$5 11-12 14:30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,900 $1,656 10¢ $690 -$966 06-18 17:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +600 $546 99¢ $594 +$48 05-08 22:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +240 $187 98¢ $236 +$48 06-12 05:43
Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026? No +277 $224 82¢ $226 +$1 11-09 17:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +1,026 $287 18¢ $190 -$97 07-24 12:08
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +109 $100 97¢ $105 +$5 10-19 20:06
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? No — +101 $86 95¢ $96 +$10 10-17 23:42
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +2,103 $1,665 2¢ $38 -$1,627 11-09 18:23
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$79 99¢ $0 +$79 06-13 08:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$1,863 11¢ $0 +$1,863 10-22 13:59