Realized P&L
+$115.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.15K
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved
232
Trades
7,613
lifetime
Volume
$2.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$302
Open exposure
$39.0K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-31 20:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Politics
51% 36% +$65,558
Other
43% 44% +$21,057
Sports
6% 53% +$36,151
Crypto
0% 17% -$7,647
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +12,000 $11,279 95¢ $11.4K +$115 10-07 15:15
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +9,995 $9,675 98¢ $9.8K +$105 10-16 20:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +4,000 $3,560 94¢ $3.8K +$220 07-17 17:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -19,341 -$4,778 18¢ $-3385 +$1,393 10-06 16:17
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,273,507 $2,547 0¢ $1.9K -$637 10-11 14:04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7,000 -$1,766 15¢ $-1068 +$699 10-18 21:48
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +1,459 $1,167 72¢ $1.1K -$109 10-10 20:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +3,495 $617 29¢ $996 +$379 10-31 21:19
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +4,531 $21 18¢ $816 +$795 10-07 09:27
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +4,692 $563 16¢ $774 +$211 10-03 01:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +2,232 $781 34¢ $770 -$11 10-30 15:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,000 $340 17¢ $662 +$322 06-09 16:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +4,728 $793 8¢ $402 -$392 07-22 13:58
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -7,682 -$484 5¢ $-357 +$127 09-15 07:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? Yes +4,500 $360 8¢ $337 -$22 10-30 22:24
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,005 $260 2¢ $330 +$70 10-16 01:03
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +5,000 $300 6¢ $325 +$25 10-14 09:40
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,905 $169 7¢ $269 +$101 10-12 17:15
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +32,000 $241 1¢ $240 -$1 10-24 07:21
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $160 1¢ $145 -$15 05-22 03:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -4,000 -$156 2¢ $-86 +$70 09-15 07:51
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $80 0¢ $70 -$10 10-09 17:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +0 -$402 66¢ $0 +$402 10-29 20:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +0 -$312 45¢ $0 +$312 10-29 17:45