Realized P&L
+$115.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.94K
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
231
Trades
7,576
lifetime
Volume
$2.29M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$303
Open exposure
$38.6K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 20:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Politics
51% 36% +$65,558
Other
43% 45% +$21,353
Sports
6% 53% +$36,151
Crypto
0% 17% -$7,647
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +12,000 $11,279 95¢ $11.4K +$103 10-07 15:15
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +9,995 $9,675 98¢ $9.8K +$90 10-16 20:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +4,000 $3,560 94¢ $3.7K +$180 07-17 17:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -19,341 -$4,778 18¢ $-3481 +$1,296 10-06 16:17
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,273,507 $2,547 0¢ $3.2K +$637 10-11 14:04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7,000 -$1,766 16¢ $-1088 +$678 10-18 21:48
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +1,459 $1,167 71¢ $1.0K -$131 10-10 20:33
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +4,531 $21 18¢ $816 +$795 10-07 09:27
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +4,692 $563 16¢ $774 +$211 10-03 01:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,000 $340 17¢ $670 +$330 06-09 16:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +4,728 $793 8¢ $402 -$392 07-22 13:58
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -7,682 -$484 5¢ $-357 +$127 09-15 07:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +17,723 $2,021 2¢ $354 -$1,667 10-16 04:41
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,005 $260 2¢ $350 +$90 10-16 01:03
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +5,000 $300 6¢ $325 +$25 10-14 09:40
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,905 $169 7¢ $283 +$114 10-12 17:15
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +32,000 $241 1¢ $240 -$1 10-24 07:21
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $160 1¢ $145 -$15 05-22 03:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -4,000 -$156 3¢ $-102 +$54 09-15 07:51
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $80 0¢ $70 -$10 10-09 17:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? Yes +677 $296 1¢ $4 -$293 10-21 21:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +0 -$402 66¢ $0 +$402 10-29 20:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +0 -$312 52¢ $0 +$312 10-29 17:45