Fatherly-Victim 0x1c708b…2c4c51 Create alert
10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$562
Unrealized P&L
+$186
Hit rate
96.2%
Resolved
171
Trades
1,035
lifetime
Volume
$25.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$3.89K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 20:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Politics
62% 92% +$380
Other
31% 84% +$145
Tech
7% 100% +$36
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$839 26¢ $-1050 -$211 11-07 00:58
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No +496 $479 98¢ $486 +$8 11-10 09:15
Will Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +200 $198 98¢ $197 -$1 11-09 21:09
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +190 $186 99¢ $188 +$2 11-04 19:52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? Yes +283 $130 66¢ $187 +$57 11-07 01:13
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +150 $149 100¢ $150 +$1 09-05 21:22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +150 $144 97¢ $145 +$1 11-12 23:15
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +191 $128 74¢ $140 +$13 11-08 02:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +150 $58 80¢ $121 +$63 08-27 16:41
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +150 $102 78¢ $118 +$16 11-08 02:59
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +12,000 $124 1¢ $114 -$10 11-10 20:58
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028? No +300 $82 33¢ $100 +$19 11-08 02:43
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +95 $97 98¢ $93 -$4 11-15 07:16
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +100 $71 84¢ $84 +$13 11-08 03:00
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026? No +100 $79 81¢ $81 +$2 11-15 20:16
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$80 4¢ $-77 +$3 11-08 02:32
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 -$29 3¢ $68 +$97 11-04 00:35
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,000 $0 2¢ $67 +$67 11-06 00:16
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028? Yes +200 $30 31¢ $62 +$32 11-08 02:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +79 $45 66¢ $51 +$7 11-11 14:56
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2028? No +50 $39 88¢ $44 +$5 11-08 02:47
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +200 $44 20¢ $41 -$3 11-09 21:06
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -40 -$38 95¢ $-38 $0 10-29 17:52
Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +200 $33 18¢ $35 +$2 11-09 21:06
Will Abdul El-Sayed be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +200 $27 15¢ $30 +$3 11-09 21:06
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -30 -$30 99¢ $-30 $0 05-06 06:35
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$30 2¢ $-24 +$6 07-29 01:51
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $20 0¢ $23 +$3 11-07 01:03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -25 -$20 84¢ $-21 -$1 08-27 08:17
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +200 $24 11¢ $21 -$3 11-09 21:07