(anonymous) 0xecef7a…8275fa
whale 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$346
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
90.0%
Resolved
384
Trades
1,129
lifetime
Volume
$153.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$135
Open exposure
$5.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-26 19:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
79% 92% -$657
Politics
12% 78% +$172
Sports
8% 88% +$107
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$32
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +796 $761 96¢ $763 +$3 10-26 09:53
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +509 $468 90¢ $461 -$8 10-23 08:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +437 $401 92¢ $400 -$2 10-22 20:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +398 $387 96¢ $384 -$3 10-21 03:25
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +410 $377 92¢ $377 +$0 10-12 02:35
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +353 $348 100¢ $352 +$4 10-23 08:32
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +354 $340 97¢ $344 +$4 10-12 02:33
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +328 $313 97¢ $318 +$5 10-12 02:34
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +217 $176 98¢ $213 +$36 10-24 05:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $190 94¢ $187 -$3 10-23 08:23
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +200 $188 92¢ $185 -$3 10-23 05:37
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +164 $158 96¢ $158 $0 10-23 05:38
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +215 $148 66¢ $141 -$7 10-23 08:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +132 $127 96¢ $127 -$1 10-23 05:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +107 $104 98¢ $105 +$0 10-23 05:36
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +100 $95 96¢ $96 +$1 10-23 05:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $90 93¢ $93 +$3 10-23 08:17
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $85 90¢ $90 +$4 10-24 05:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +90 $87 97¢ $87 $0 10-23 05:41
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +80 $72 88¢ $70 -$2 10-23 08:17
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +60 $58 97¢ $58 +$1 10-15 04:28
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +58 $57 98¢ $57 +$0 10-23 05:42
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $54 92¢ $55 +$2 10-15 04:27
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $55 86¢ $52 -$3 10-15 04:26
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +45 $43 97¢ $44 +$0 10-15 04:27
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +45 $38 82¢ $37 -$1 10-26 04:20
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $22 68¢ $20 -$1 10-15 04:02
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +20 $15 64¢ $13 -$2 10-12 02:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 10-26 06:42
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 10-16 15:39