Realized P&L (7d)
+$2.41K
Unrealized P&L
+$523
Hit rate
94.7%
Resolved (7d)
83
Trades (7d)
732
2,036 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$78.6K
$243.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$8.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-06 15:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
68% 90% +$848
Politics
24% 89% +$1,156
Sports
7% 85% +$81
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 376 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms? Yes +999 $692 99¢ $989 +$296 11-06 13:53
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +843 $727 86¢ $729 +$2 11-06 12:22
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +695 $693 100¢ $694 +$1 11-06 13:50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +873 $463 74¢ $646 +$183 11-05 11:53
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +609 $600 100¢ $608 +$8 11-06 12:41
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +357 $327 100¢ $356 +$29 11-06 15:17
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? No +370 $322 84¢ $311 -$11 11-06 10:04
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9? No +300 $282 96¢ $288 +$6 11-06 05:18
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +300 $281 90¢ $272 -$10 10-27 01:42
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? Yes +266 $247 96¢ $255 +$8 11-06 10:17
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +257 $245 93¢ $240 -$5 11-05 16:45
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +291 $241 81¢ $236 -$5 11-05 03:04
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes +243 $219 96¢ $233 +$14 11-05 01:43
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027? No +264 $238 85¢ $225 -$12 11-05 19:34
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026? No +241 $235 89¢ $214 -$21 11-06 05:04
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +210 $193 92¢ $192 -$1 11-06 12:18
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? No +435 $187 44¢ $189 +$2 11-06 10:16
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +235 $201 80¢ $188 -$13 11-06 12:02
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +188 $177 96¢ $181 +$4 11-05 16:35
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? Yes +169 $149 99¢ $168 +$19 11-04 07:13
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +164 $158 98¢ $160 +$2 10-23 05:38
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +168 $153 92¢ $155 +$2 11-06 04:10
Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? No +158 $149 94¢ $149 $0 11-04 03:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +150 $142 97¢ $146 +$4 11-04 13:35
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +147 $139 96¢ $142 +$2 11-04 04:49
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? Yes +135 $133 99¢ $134 +$1 11-05 02:10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +132 $127 98¢ $129 +$2 10-23 05:37
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +133 $122 94¢ $126 +$4 10-29 02:30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +160 $113 78¢ $124 +$11 11-06 05:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +120 $115 97¢ $117 +$2 11-03 02:54