Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$455

Unrealized P&L

-$301

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

316

Trades

934

lifetime

Volume

$52.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$487

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-16 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 62% +$1,180

Politics

5% 12% +$6

Other

2% 24% -$720

Sports

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes		+21,188	$788	2¢	$487	-$301	10-16 20:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:45 UTC	4	$1.3K	700	699	+1	Up	+$0	02-24 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 15:30 UTC	4	$882	450	450	+0	Up	+$9	02-19 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 16:35 UTC	7	$862	500	498	+2	Down	+$31	02-19 16:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:15 UTC	8	$860	450	450	+0	Down	+$10	02-24 16:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$846	600	600	+0	Yes	+$246	02-28 19:31
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	19	$788	21,188	0	+21,188	open	—	10-16 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:05 UTC	5	$788	400	400	+0	Up	+$4	02-20 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:55 UTC	2	$788	400	400	+0	Down	+$4	02-28 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 22:10 UTC	2	$787	400	400	+0	Up	+$5	02-25 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 22:45 UTC	2	$776	400	400	+0	Up	+$1	02-21 22:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 22:30 UTC	1	$725	747	0	+747	Up	+$22	02-06 22:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 22:15 UTC	2	$714	725	0	+725	Up	+$10	02-06 22:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC	2	$699	400	400	+0	Up	-$76	02-28 12:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:15 UTC	5	$647	479	453	+26	Down	-$15	02-10 21:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 22:00 UTC	5	$619	717	0	+717	Up	+$98	02-06 22:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:40 UTC	2	$616	350	347	+3	Up	+$74	02-24 21:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:30 UTC	4	$599	881	0	+881	Down	+$24	02-06 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:25 UTC	6	$591	300	300	+0	Down	+$3	02-24 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 22:30 UTC	3	$591	300	300	+0	Down	+$3	02-21 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:35 UTC	2	$591	300	300	+0	Up	+$3	02-24 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:35 UTC	3	$591	300	300	+0	Up	+$3	02-24 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 12:10 UTC	2	$591	300	300	+0	Up	+$3	02-24 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:30 UTC	2	$591	300	300	+0	Down	+$3	02-24 16:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 15:25 UTC	2	$588	300	300	+0	Down	+$6	02-19 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:40 UTC	6	$588	300	300	+0	Up	+$6	02-24 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:55 UTC	2	$588	300	300	+0	Up	+$6	02-24 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:50 UTC	2	$585	300	300	+0	Up	+$9	02-20 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:45 UTC	2	$585	300	300	+0	Up	+$9	02-20 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 22:40 UTC	2	$583	300	300	+0	Down	+$11	02-21 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:45 UTC	10	$581	314	313	+1	Down	+$19	02-11 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 20:14:41	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	878	3¢	$25	0x3474d4…
10-16 20:12:57	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,680	3¢	$187	0xd02a53…
10-16 20:12:24	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$52	0x6746c0…
09-02 20:42:37	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	4¢	$6	0x74363b…
09-02 20:41:13	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	4¢	$16	0x2839b6…
09-02 20:40:48	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	390	4¢	$16	0xb7ea01…
09-02 20:40:33	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$16	0xf1e773…
09-02 20:40:22	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x3eb4b0…
09-02 20:39:43	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x527165…
09-02 20:39:27	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0xa80365…
09-02 20:39:04	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$15	0x0b9b2b…
09-02 20:37:52	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	4¢	$9	0x0eef89…
09-02 20:29:49	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,040	4¢	$75	0x395591…
09-02 20:28:54	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$21	0xa02485…
09-02 20:26:13	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x7e624e…
09-02 20:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xaeb947…
09-02 20:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x393745…
09-02 20:17:54	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	780	3¢	$27	0x438d46…
07-10 23:18:32	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x532262…
07-10 23:17:08	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,881	4¢	$81	0x0e9fcf…
07-10 22:51:38	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	107	6¢	$7	0x7d87f0…
05-27 21:26:14	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,680	6¢	$174	0x8a80a8…
05-27 21:09:42	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$3	0x4e5a08…
05-27 21:08:35	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,300	0¢	$3	0x0d1307…
04-22 22:07:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$6	0x06a1dc…
04-01 17:22:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	270	0¢	$0	0xd5765f…
03-30 22:29:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	270	5¢	$13	0xc9d18d…
03-30 22:11:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	212	5¢	$11	0x00bd4e…
03-30 22:10:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0x4aff77…
03-30 22:09:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	244	6¢	$14	0x1fecac…
03-29 22:03:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xa17f5e…
03-29 22:03:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0xdef7a0…
03-29 21:58:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	854	3¢	$23	0x2a37e6…
03-29 21:57:48	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	146	3¢	$4	0xde30dc…
03-29 21:52:34	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,035	1¢	$12	0x71012d…
03-29 21:51:32	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	2,706	0¢	$3	0xbba3ba…
03-27 17:14:43	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	255	6¢	$15	0x2de939…
03-27 16:53:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0x8f47f9…
03-27 16:53:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	600	7¢	$42	0x4e8255…
03-25 22:58:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	900	7¢	$63	0x0af8a4…
03-25 22:57:15	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0xda76b5…
03-25 22:56:05	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x69f16a…
03-25 22:42:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	600	8¢	$48	0xe1fc88…
03-25 22:40:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x181f67…
03-25 21:43:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	900	9¢	$81	0x90ce3a…
03-25 21:42:03	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	550	3¢	$18	0x412f8d…
03-25 21:34:37	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xf308f6…
03-25 21:29:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xbbf23e…
03-25 21:29:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xf31d20…
03-25 21:29:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x808155…
03-25 21:25:15	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	160	3¢	$5	0xaef342…
03-25 21:24:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x179f21…
03-25 21:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x16a9f9…
03-25 21:21:01	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	230	3¢	$7	0x549548…
03-25 21:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x52073b…
03-25 21:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x04c063…
03-05 21:22:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	680	4¢	$24	0x331e8f…
03-05 21:20:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x9f6c40…
03-03 23:26:35	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	SELL	362	3¢	$12	0x1a82c9…
03-03 23:26:11	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0xaf8148…
03-02 19:07:55	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	221	11¢	$24	0x6731b9…
03-02 18:57:27	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe0d7b2…
03-02 18:55:47	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	226	10¢	$23	0xe168f9…
03-01 21:41:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	895	27¢	$240	0xddd16e…
03-01 21:41:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	105	27¢	$28	0x145808…
03-01 19:52:45	will iran strike a gulf state on march 1	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x7896f8…
03-01 19:50:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	320	26¢	$82	0xd43fcc…
03-01 19:48:31	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	600	10¢	$59	0xf87805…
03-01 19:46:25	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0xef6349…
02-28 19:43:11	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xc0906d…
02-28 19:37:49	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x65173c…
02-28 19:31:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xc3a3bd…
02-28 19:30:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0xb52527…
02-28 19:30:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	464	91¢	$422	0x9b7e27…
02-28 19:30:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x593cf5…
02-28 19:30:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	70	91¢	$64	0x784dcd…
02-28 19:00:23	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x3fc801…
02-28 18:58:49	will iran strike a gulf state on march 1	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x371328…
02-28 12:07:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	400	28¢	$111	0xf12db3…
02-28 12:03:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	400	78¢	$311	0x8280f5…
02-28 12:02:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0xde4188…
02-28 11:59:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:55 UTC	Down	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0x7ec37d…
02-28 11:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0xf0b225…
02-28 11:56:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0xe72504…
02-28 11:49:51	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	SELL	1,178	2¢	$18	0x4c3fa0…
02-28 11:49:45	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x022bb4…
02-25 22:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0x1e17db…
02-25 22:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	400	98¢	$391	0x6a2fd0…
02-24 21:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x117012…
02-24 21:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x346c80…
02-24 21:49:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	399	87¢	$346	0x4c9f44…
02-24 21:48:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	400	87¢	$350	0xed25a5…
02-24 21:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:40 UTC	Up	SELL	347	99¢	$344	0x05788d…
02-24 21:44:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	350	78¢	$272	0x162fcb…
02-24 21:38:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0xde7459…
02-24 21:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0xba8724…
02-24 21:28:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x6cb865…
02-24 21:28:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xbcbdfa…
02-24 21:28:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	158	98¢	$155	0x5dc9fa…
02-24 21:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0xdb779f…