Flimsy-Blinker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.71K

Unrealized P&L

-$187

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

$103

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-23 18:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

85% 50% +$1,604

Other

15% 20% +$110

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+588	$100	6¢	$38	-$62	05-17 18:39
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+1,250	$100	2¢	$27	-$73	05-17 18:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+142	$50	14¢	$21	-$29	05-17 18:23
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	+770	$40	2¢	$17	-$23	05-22 16:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$1.8K	1,645	1,645	+0	Yes	+$1,470	03-01 04:29
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$800	501	501	+0	Yes	+$200	04-22 18:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$611	463	463	+0	Yes	+$311	03-01 04:31
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	5	$386	11,303	0	+11,303	No	-$386	03-17 21:09
nothing ever happens khamenei	1	$300	855	0	+855	No	+$555	01-31 03:35
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$255	1,791	0	+1,791	No	-$255	03-06 19:35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$240	1,071	0	+1,071	Yes	-$240	03-06 19:37
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	2	$102	791	0	+791	Yes	-$102	02-09 01:49
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1	$100	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	05-17 18:23
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	1	$100	289	0	+289	No	+$189	05-23 18:18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$100	256	0	+256	Yes	+$156	01-31 04:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$100	588	0	+588	open	—	05-17 18:39
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	1	$100	353	0	+353	No	-$100	03-04 20:13
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	151	0	+151	Yes	+$51	01-31 03:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$70	778	0	+778	No	-$70	05-17 18:19
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$70	159	0	+159	No	-$70	01-31 03:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$60	231	0	+231	No	-$60	03-04 20:02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	1	$50	174	0	+174	No	+$124	05-23 18:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1	$50	142	0	+142	open	—	05-17 18:23
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	1	$40	770	0	+770	open	—	05-22 16:50
will iran strike israel on march 2	1	$20	829	0	+829	Yes	-$20	03-02 01:41
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$20	3,333	0	+3,333	No	-$20	02-12 05:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$20	488	0	+488	No	-$20	05-17 18:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 18:18:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	No	BUY	289	35¢	$100	0x9931be…
05-23 18:17:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	174	29¢	$50	0x62fe79…
05-22 16:50:57	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	770	5¢	$40	0x7239b7…
05-17 18:39:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0xfe9316…
05-17 18:23:55	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x1a5199…
05-17 18:23:07	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	142	35¢	$50	0xfe9e28…
05-17 18:20:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	488	4¢	$20	0xd301cf…
05-17 18:19:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	778	9¢	$70	0xa79652…
04-22 18:49:36	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	501	100¢	$500	0xfb922c…
03-17 21:09:21	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	4,030	2¢	$76	0xf33b51…
03-06 19:37:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x1b7264…
03-06 19:35:51	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2,500	3¢	$70	0x81afd4…
03-06 19:35:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	490	10¢	$50	0x8d6937…
03-06 05:06:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	821	24¢	$200	0xeaa26f…
03-06 04:52:41	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2,778	4¢	$100	0xd4f8f6…
03-04 20:13:09	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	Yes	BUY	353	28¢	$100	0xe7a223…
03-04 20:03:33	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	501	60¢	$300	0x2f3a89…
03-04 20:02:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	231	26¢	$60	0x6d7702…
03-04 19:54:03	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	1,680	6¢	$100	0xd445d1…
03-02 01:41:29	will iran strike israel on march 2	No	BUY	829	2¢	$20	0x8ba279…
03-01 04:37:53	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	315	13¢	$40	0x0cef6b…
03-01 04:31:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	463	100¢	$461	0x575464…
03-01 04:29:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1,645	100¢	$1,640	0x313053…
02-28 18:56:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	301	33¢	$100	0xf53923…
02-14 20:57:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	764	4¢	$30	0xe5ef29…
02-12 05:30:21	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	3,333	1¢	$20	0xca350a…
02-09 01:49:03	us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xdc9c6e…
02-07 07:01:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$105	0x5f08a5…
02-06 19:12:15	us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	No	BUY	291	34¢	$100	0xddac05…
02-01 21:28:24	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0xa5d066…
01-31 04:14:24	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x252c2a…
01-31 04:06:36	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	463	32¢	$150	0x3395b2…
01-31 04:05:50	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	381	21¢	$80	0x16560a…
01-31 03:57:12	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0xa7b9ad…
01-31 03:55:50	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	159	44¢	$70	0xf0ed29…
01-31 03:35:42	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	BUY	855	35¢	$300	0x545fe7…