Realized P&L
+$41.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.69K
Hit rate
41.8%
Resolved
86
Trades
904
lifetime
Volume
$718.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$795
Open exposure
$145.7K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-20 13:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
61% 27% -$34,127
Sports
29% 55% +$84,243
Other
10% 36% -$8,993
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -37,500 -$29,250 92¢ $-34687 -$5,437 05-14 12:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +32,349 $25,847 95¢ $30.8K +$4,933 08-20 13:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +26,682 $24,044 98¢ $26.2K +$2,131 08-20 13:29
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +20,612 $19,393 98¢ $20.1K +$745 07-20 10:57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +15,626 $14,063 93¢ $14.5K +$469 07-20 10:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +4,724 $4,403 94¢ $4.5K +$54 05-18 18:07
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5,909 $2,600 68¢ $4.0K +$1,389 05-17 11:59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +12,388 $4,174 26¢ $3.3K -$891 05-18 15:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -14,494 -$4,101 20¢ $-2826 +$1,275 07-20 10:47
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -8,035 -$2,161 18¢ $-1426 +$735 07-27 18:01
Will Alberta join the US? No +1,423 $1,358 99¢ $1.4K +$44 05-18 11:56
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +1,164 $1,078 97¢ $1.1K +$47 06-09 12:39
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264 No +916 $646 92¢ $838 +$192 07-22 10:55