Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$397

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$77.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.12K

Open exposure

$2.38K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 11-02 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

46% 100% +$257

Politics

42% 100% +$122

Tech

6% 100% +$5

Sports

3% 100% +$5

Crypto

3% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+2,519	$2,393	94¢	$2.4K	-$13	11-02 17:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$2.4K	2,519	+2,519	open	—	11-02 17:41
will the us confirm that aliens exist by october 31 396	1	$2.4K	2,397	+2,397	No	+$24	10-15 01:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$2.4K	2,374	+2,374	No	+$9	09-18 19:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2.4K	2,364	+2,364	No	+$12	09-11 10:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	1	$2.3K	2,353	+2,353	No	+$5	08-28 21:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$2.3K	2,349	+2,349	No	+$16	07-25 17:04
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	1	$2.3K	2,332	+2,332	Yes	+$5	07-21 03:18
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	1	$2.3K	2,325	+2,325	No	+$63	07-10 14:55
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$2.3K	2,265	+2,265	Yes	+$5	07-08 02:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$2.3K	2,260	+2,260	No	+$5	07-04 05:34
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	1	$2.2K	2,251	+2,251	No	+$5	06-21 20:12
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	1	$2.2K	2,247	+2,247	No	+$4	06-18 20:10
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	1	$2.2K	2,242	+2,242	Yes	+$4	06-17 22:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$2.2K	2,237	+2,237	Yes	+$11	06-15 01:42
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	1	$2.2K	2,224	+2,224	Yes	+$2	06-12 04:45
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$2.2K	2,222	+2,222	Yes	+$4	06-08 01:50
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$2.2K	2,217	+2,217	Yes	+$4	06-05 17:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.2K	2,213	+2,213	No	+$9	06-02 05:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$2.2K	2,204	+2,204	No	+$7	05-23 21:18
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2.2K	2,197	+2,197	No	+$11	05-20 23:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$2.2K	2,167	+2,167	No	+$15	05-11 06:03
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$2.1K	2,152	+2,152	No	+$2	05-06 22:15
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$2.1K	2,150	+2,150	Yes	+$13	05-02 05:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$2.1K	2,137	+2,137	No	+$47	04-18 15:51
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$2.1K	2,090	+2,090	Yes	+$2	04-14 19:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$2.1K	2,088	+2,088	Yes	+$2	04-09 17:49
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$2.1K	2,086	+2,086	Yes	+$6	04-06 04:06
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	13	$2.1K	2,080	+2,080	No	+$10	03-19 10:38
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$2.1K	2,069	+2,069	Yes	+$6	03-15 02:08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$2.1K	2,063	+2,063	Yes	+$2	03-12 21:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 17:41:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,519	95¢	$2,393	0xb886a7…
10-15 01:39:26	will the us confirm that aliens exist by october 31 396	No	BUY	2,397	99¢	$2,373	0xc84144…
09-18 19:58:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	2,374	100¢	$2,365	0xc1cc3b…
09-11 10:43:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,364	100¢	$2,353	0x22cb3a…
08-28 21:42:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	2,353	100¢	$2,349	0xd90fb5…
07-25 17:04:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	831	99¢	$826	0x2e9910…
07-25 16:31:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0c28d5…
07-25 16:21:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0x463d96…
07-25 16:03:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	517	99¢	$513	0xe1a010…
07-21 03:18:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2,332	100¢	$2,327	0x6225d5…
07-10 14:55:16	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	2,325	97¢	$2,262	0x4ca169…
07-08 02:37:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2,265	100¢	$2,260	0x796d36…
07-04 05:34:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,260	100¢	$2,256	0x4c3894…
06-25 21:13:17	Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,220	100¢	$1,218	0x205b39…
06-25 21:12:58	Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0xf57d7d…
06-25 21:12:50	Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xd5e795…
06-25 21:12:16	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8f8e71…
06-25 21:11:49	Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	629	100¢	$628	0x86058c…
06-21 20:12:26	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	2,251	100¢	$2,247	0x889ae3…
06-18 20:10:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	2,247	100¢	$2,242	0xf5c5fc…
06-17 22:42:11	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	2,242	100¢	$2,238	0xcd76d4…
06-15 01:42:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,237	99¢	$2,226	0xc33742…
06-12 19:38:00	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	405	100¢	$404	0x0faa9e…
06-12 19:37:36	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa634e2…
06-12 19:37:30	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	1,722	100¢	$1,720	0x8d518b…
06-12 04:45:58	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,224	100¢	$2,222	0x5c8243…
06-08 01:50:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,222	100¢	$2,217	0x3151ba…
06-05 17:35:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	2,217	100¢	$2,213	0x4b80e9…
06-02 05:31:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,213	100¢	$2,204	0xd5e219…
05-23 21:18:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2,204	100¢	$2,198	0x405a3a…
05-20 23:03:45	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,739	100¢	$1,730	0x62316f…
05-20 23:02:55	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	458	100¢	$456	0xc8b710…
05-11 06:03:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2,167	99¢	$2,152	0xa1139b…
05-06 22:15:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	2,152	100¢	$2,150	0x0bc6b0…
05-02 05:46:28	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,150	99¢	$2,137	0x170fd3…
04-18 15:51:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	2,137	98¢	$2,090	0x6cfdc3…
04-14 19:38:24	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,090	100¢	$2,088	0xe4f30d…
04-09 17:49:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2,088	100¢	$2,086	0x6805e3…
04-06 04:06:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x805c7d…
04-06 04:04:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x8484aa…
04-06 04:02:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb5212f…
04-06 04:02:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe93037…
04-06 04:02:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	467	100¢	$465	0xdb272c…
04-06 04:01:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbba8b6…
04-06 04:01:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	415	100¢	$414	0x2bd73e…
03-19 10:38:59	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	734	100¢	$730	0x883768…
03-19 10:07:59	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x9decfe…
03-19 10:07:09	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb09829…
03-19 09:39:53	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	506	100¢	$503	0x32d488…
03-19 08:58:57	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x3d057b…
03-19 08:49:23	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x58af0b…
03-19 08:16:45	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x235ff4…
03-19 07:45:29	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xed7a36…
03-19 07:12:59	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7d352c…
03-19 06:43:21	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcdcb8f…
03-19 06:17:29	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	237	100¢	$236	0xa5ba5a…
03-19 06:15:59	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x34fe08…
03-19 05:47:07	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xb31e41…
03-15 02:08:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,069	100¢	$2,063	0x45a8e5…
03-12 21:53:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,971	100¢	$1,969	0xfb189d…
03-12 21:53:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x103983…
03-08 17:22:31	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	295	99¢	$293	0x9830fc…
03-08 17:21:11	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x545780…
03-08 17:05:07	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0xf20f3d…
03-08 16:58:17	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x6a4d8c…
03-08 16:26:19	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,123	99¢	$1,115	0xb3b6a6…
03-05 21:22:31	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,450	100¢	$1,447	0xd154c0…
03-05 21:07:59	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	597	100¢	$595	0x3f2e5a…
02-14 05:04:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,042	97¢	$1,983	0xba129d…