Cruel-Tumbler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

143

Trades

378

lifetime

Volume

$35.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-05-17

last 10-30 21:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

64% 40% -$2,393

Crypto

21% 42% +$881

Politics

8% 88% +$455

Sports

7% 20% -$934

Tech

0% 0% -$13

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+500	$20	3¢	$16	-$4	10-27 21:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$6.0K	3,993	3,493	+500	No	+$780	06-01 20:02
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	5	$2.1K	3,500	0	+3,500	Spain	-$2,064	07-14 17:09
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	4	$2.0K	1,165	1,150	+15	Team Falcons	+$108	06-21 18:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	9	$2.0K	1,170	1,170	+0	No	+$360	05-27 03:56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	4	$1.9K	1,807	1,000	+807	Yes	+$717	07-10 20:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	17	$1.7K	41,449	3,689	+37,760	No	-$1,482	07-22 18:34
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	14	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$230	07-09 21:27
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$1.5K	22,462	9,315	+13,147	No	-$599	06-28 11:59
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	2	$1.1K	566	566	+0	Movistar KOI	+$65	05-24 18:36
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	4	$937	2,117	0	+2,117	MOUZ	-$937	08-02 14:26
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	2	$700	981	0	+981	Yes	+$281	07-04 22:25
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$603	900	0	+900	Yes	+$297	06-16 17:41
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PURE (-6.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+6.5)	10	$549	1,360	0	+1,360	Orion Wanderers	-$549	10-07 10:50
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	1	$500	568	0	+568	No	+$68	06-24 21:06
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	9	$445	264	264	+0	No	+$72	06-28 17:58
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	3	$410	1,172	0	+1,172	Legacy	-$410	05-24 10:07
cs2 ts7 og1 2026 07 23 game2	3	$392	700	700	+0	OG	+$302	07-23 19:45
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	2	$344	432	100	+332	MIBR	+$187	10-27 21:30
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	1	$337	688	0	+688	LYON	-$337	10-25 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:10 UTC	2	$323	230	230	+0	Up	+$123	07-21 21:13
cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	8	$319	719	0	+719	Spirit	+$401	06-19 16:55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	4	$313	369	200	+169	Spirit	+$96	06-13 21:05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$296	1,134	0	+1,134	No	-$296	06-30 00:01
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	3	$284	656	0	+656	Yes	+$372	07-04 18:02
cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	8	$279	356	356	+0	Team Falcons	+$51	06-19 23:07
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 9pt5	1	$260	500	0	+500	Under	-$260	07-10 17:10
cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	2	$250	414	0	+414	Spirit	+$164	08-01 12:37
cs2 fal2 100t 2026 07 22	1	$230	304	0	+304	100 Thieves	-$230	07-22 19:19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$215	1,042	1,042	+0	No	+$15	06-09 17:16
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte2	2	$215	172	172	+0	No	+$15	07-03 23:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 21:35:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	Yes	BUY	4,667	0¢	$14	0x70c7c7…
10-30 21:33:33	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	233	6¢	$14	0xfa89ed…
10-28 20:28:11	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x0fd3fe…
10-27 21:39:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xb0b283…
10-27 21:38:17	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	233	9¢	$21	0x99a088…
10-27 21:31:42	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis Academy vs Spirit Academy Black (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	Team Nemesis Academy	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd357f2…
10-27 21:30:14	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	MIBR	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x420607…
10-27 20:13:41	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	MIBR	BUY	432	57¢	$245	0x36f697…
10-25 21:25:11	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	688	49¢	$337	0x6bda17…
10-16 16:29:16	cs2 ast10 mibr 2026 10 16	Astralis	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xda1509…
10-07 10:50:41	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PURE (-6.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+6.5)	PURE	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0x7dd543…
10-07 10:44:27	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PURE (-6.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+6.5)	PURE	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x478de5…
10-07 10:43:03	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PURE (-6.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+6.5)	PURE	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xe111a6…
10-07 10:32:03	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PURE (-6.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+6.5)	PURE	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc0d76c…
10-07 09:05:30	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PURE (-6.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+6.5)	PURE	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe08cd0…
10-07 08:53:24	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PURE (-6.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+6.5)	PURE	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xf40853…
10-07 08:33:03	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PURE (-6.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+6.5)	PURE	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0xc9c681…
10-07 08:31:29	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PURE (-6.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+6.5)	PURE	BUY	115	50¢	$58	0x252b58…
10-07 06:47:23	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PURE (-6.5) vs Orion Wanderers (+6.5)	PURE	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5c1690…
08-02 15:11:17	lol sk g2 2026 08 02 game1	SK Gaming	BUY	722	18¢	$130	0x419c45…
08-02 14:26:00	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xf20e74…
08-02 12:27:17	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	BUY	862	29¢	$250	0xa1bac3…
08-02 11:39:42	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	BUY	150	58¢	$87	0x43dc56…
08-02 10:33:26	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	BUY	650	77¢	$500	0x844924…
08-01 22:40:08	lol c9 dig 2026 08 01	Dignitas	BUY	211	2¢	$4	0xb3ebf1…
08-01 20:19:06	lol c9 dig 2026 08 01	Dignitas	BUY	330	12¢	$38	0x831cc6…
08-01 16:34:53	cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01	Astralis	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xb51e17…
08-01 16:09:39	cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01	Astralis	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x7fbb2f…
08-01 15:54:26	cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01	Astralis	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0xf6f9ac…
08-01 15:49:29	cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01	Astralis	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xb4a616…
08-01 12:37:56	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	Spirit	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xed7825…
08-01 12:34:20	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	Spirit	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0xedc9ba…
08-01 12:17:27	lol gen dk 2026 08 01	Gen.G	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x5f4ee0…
08-01 12:05:53	lol gen dk 2026 08 01	Gen.G	BUY	361	36¢	$130	0xbd880b…
07-31 12:42:17	lol bro2 drx 2026 07 31	HANJIN BRION	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0xb257b1…
07-31 10:21:24	lol bro2 drx 2026 07 31	HANJIN BRION	BUY	324	54¢	$175	0xeec284…
07-30 19:08:36	cs2 pain ast10 2026 07 30	Astralis	BUY	307	57¢	$175	0xba3f47…
07-26 16:54:43	lol mkoi vit 2026 07 26	Movistar KOI	BUY	298	3¢	$9	0x0ba362…
07-26 16:48:45	lol mkoi vit 2026 07 26	Movistar KOI	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xa8296c…
07-26 16:39:16	lol mkoi vit 2026 07 26	Movistar KOI	BUY	141	36¢	$51	0xa58c33…
07-23 20:47:15	cs2 ts7 og1 2026 07 23	OG	SELL	280	41¢	$114	0x444654…
07-23 19:45:48	cs2 ts7 og1 2026 07 23 game2	OG	SELL	700	50¢	$347	0x4b92f4…
07-23 19:05:01	cs2 ts7 og1 2026 07 23 game2	OG	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xbbd90d…
07-23 18:33:13	cs2 ts7 og1 2026 07 23 game2	OG	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xd9650d…
07-23 18:27:49	cs2 ts7 og1 2026 07 23	OG	BUY	990	3¢	$31	0x6d2959…
07-23 18:27:42	cs2 ts7 og1 2026 07 23	OG	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3366d6…
07-23 18:27:21	cs2 ts7 og1 2026 07 23	OG	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6e0938…
07-22 19:19:27	cs2 fal2 100t 2026 07 22	Team Falcons	BUY	304	76¢	$230	0xf0ced5…
07-22 18:34:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	3,157	3¢	$110	0x1e8fbe…
07-21 21:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	230	97¢	$223	0x4b235f…
07-21 21:12:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	230	44¢	$100	0xbb2e76…
07-19 21:18:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x6fd1d1…
07-19 17:33:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0xe3b201…
07-18 22:36:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	91	17¢	$16	0xb17253…
07-18 20:54:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xe4de49…
07-18 20:54:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x385ae5…
07-18 20:54:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x06bbc6…
07-17 20:51:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	309	4¢	$11	0x74a360…
07-17 20:32:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	223	3¢	$8	0x610786…
07-16 22:01:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	7,702	4¢	$346	0x6dd1d5…
07-16 16:37:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	9,331	4¢	$355	0x7bac63…
07-15 18:46:14	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7446fd…
07-15 17:48:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	729	4¢	$27	0xdd21d6…
07-15 17:47:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$1	0x883eb9…
07-15 17:44:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x437286…
07-15 17:42:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x47a51e…
07-14 21:42:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	9,643	4¢	$357	0x5d8570…
07-14 17:09:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	1,000	57¢	$575	0x5cb70b…
07-14 17:01:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4,008	4¢	$148	0xd94a00…
07-14 13:09:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	500	59¢	$296	0xb98eb6…
07-13 22:02:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5,992	4¢	$222	0x42d242…
07-13 22:02:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	500	60¢	$298	0x226597…
07-13 21:45:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$72	0x6f59bc…
07-13 20:48:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	1,000	60¢	$598	0xc665e6…
07-11 23:28:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x09d275…
07-11 23:13:19	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x620c83…
07-10 22:02:34	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xa0d411…
07-10 20:53:41	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	1,000	91¢	$910	0x9e4709…
07-10 20:30:38	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	440	45¢	$200	0x343ad3…
07-10 19:42:47	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	693	58¢	$400	0x53b58d…
07-10 18:50:16	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte3	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$12	0xeed97e…
07-10 18:33:32	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	675	59¢	$400	0xa1c765…
07-10 17:11:56	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 11pt5	Over	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xcef2c4…
07-10 17:11:43	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe27c37…
07-10 17:10:44	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0x87f070…
07-09 21:27:05	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	386	85¢	$328	0x357823…
07-09 21:27:04	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0xc41b3f…
07-09 21:27:04	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x136ea5…
07-09 21:27:02	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x87a11d…
07-09 21:27:01	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	580	85¢	$493	0x585d9d…
07-09 01:19:26	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	194	62¢	$120	0x0f5306…
07-09 01:19:10	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	578	62¢	$358	0xdf7698…
07-09 01:18:32	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	80	62¢	$49	0x0e4cf1…
07-09 01:17:56	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x24df8b…
07-09 01:17:13	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x2bd529…
07-09 01:16:43	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xddc1cf…
07-09 01:16:43	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x9d8381…
07-09 01:16:31	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	74	62¢	$46	0x0f0902…
07-09 01:16:16	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0x5dc0ad…
07-09 00:26:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,230	4¢	$50	0x613211…