Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

19.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$307

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$25

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-16

last 10-26 05:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

46% 29% +$23

Sports

21% 33% +$12

Politics

16% 0% -$50

Crypto

10% 0% -$32

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	+42	$10	26¢	$11	+$1	10-17 20:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+227	$10	2¢	$5	-$5	10-17 19:49
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Yes	+111	$10	4¢	$5	-$5	10-17 02:09
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+290	$20	1¢	$4	-$16	10-19 04:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Commanders vs. 49ers	3	$35	159	+159	49ers	-$35	10-19 21:45
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$30	300	+300	No	-$30	10-17 19:57
Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-10-17?	1	$20	46	+46	Yes	+$26	10-17 02:03
Chiefs vs. Seahawks	1	$20	48	+48	Seahawks	-$20	10-25 22:22
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$20	167	+167	T1	-$20	10-26 05:53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	1	$20	87	+87	Yes	+$67	10-19 16:54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	1	$20	769	+769	No	-$20	10-17 03:36
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	2	$20	290	+290	open	—	10-19 04:57
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	1	$20	133	+133	No	-$20	10-19 22:45
will bitcoin dip to 80k october 12 18 2026 from october 15	1	$18	68	+68	No	-$18	10-17 17:42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	1	$15	52	+52	No	-$15	10-19 16:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$10	1,572	+1,572	No	-$10	10-17 19:48
Cardinals vs. Rams	1	$10	77	+77	Cardinals	+$67	10-18 20:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$10	227	+227	open	—	10-17 19:49
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	1	$10	111	+111	open	—	10-17 02:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	1	$10	42	+42	open	—	10-17 20:06
will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 16 2026	1	$8	224	+224	No	-$8	10-16 22:23
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-19?	1	$5	15	+15	No	-$5	10-19 16:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:40 UTC	1	$5	12	+12	Down	-$5	10-17 17:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 05:53:51	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xbd72ce…
10-25 22:22:27	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x3214c3…
10-19 22:45:51	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xec016c…
10-19 21:45:31	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe1e921…
10-19 21:36:48	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x2cb541…
10-19 16:58:05	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x7844fe…
10-19 16:54:29	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x0e901a…
10-19 16:53:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x5fffbe…
10-19 16:36:24	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x517a71…
10-19 04:57:11	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0xf1fd57…
10-19 04:56:00	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	6¢	$10	0xa56a6b…
10-18 20:05:00	Cardinals vs. Rams	Cardinals	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x95398d…
10-17 20:06:30	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x4317f9…
10-17 19:57:18	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x3f5c02…
10-17 19:49:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0x2105eb…
10-17 19:48:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,572	1¢	$10	0xf01fd9…
10-17 17:42:36	will bitcoin dip to 80k october 12 18 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	68	27¢	$18	0xce67ed…
10-17 17:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7a8966…
10-17 03:36:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	769	3¢	$20	0x7ddb02…
10-17 02:13:29	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xf8f5d9…
10-17 02:09:06	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x360d0f…
10-17 02:03:47	Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0xa8690b…
10-16 22:23:11	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	224	4¢	$8	0xe2d2b8…