Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.28K

Unrealized P&L

+$292

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

Trades

366

lifetime

Volume

$49.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$134

Open exposure

$4.74K

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-26

last 10-28 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

94% 66% -$2,364

Tech

6% 67% +$82

Crypto

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+4,704	$4,153	95¢	$4.5K	+$316	10-27 10:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+1,015	$220	20¢	$198	-$22	10-23 05:53
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes		+62	$51	78¢	$48	-$3	10-25 07:20
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+125	$20	16¢	$21	+$1	10-27 07:41
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	—	+5	$4	74¢	$4	+$0	10-28 08:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$7.3K	4,131	4,131	+0	Yes	+$905	09-16 18:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	10	$4.8K	10,025	10,025	+0	No	-$1,145	09-16 18:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	17	$4.7K	5,018	313	+4,704	open	—	10-27 10:10
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$4.0K	4,022	0	+4,022	Yes	+$22	08-31 12:40
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 12?	36	$3.0K	1,556	1,556	+0	Yes	+$125	09-12 18:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 12?	9	$2.3K	1,189	1,189	+0	Yes	+$87	09-12 10:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 12?	13	$2.1K	1,076	1,076	+0	Yes	+$13	09-13 01:50
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	12	$2.0K	1,326	1,326	+0	No	+$15	09-12 14:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,064	1,064	+0	Yes	-$11	08-30 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 12?	12	$1.9K	1,009	1,009	+0	Yes	+$66	09-12 10:14
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	4	$1.5K	1,711	0	+1,711	No	-$1,535	09-18 02:06
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	4	$1.5K	1,554	0	+1,554	Yes	+$54	09-11 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 13?	14	$1.4K	710	710	-0	Yes	+$7	09-13 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 13?	19	$1.3K	666	666	+0	Yes	+$5	09-13 10:57
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 12?	10	$1.0K	539	539	+0	Yes	+$5	09-12 14:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11?	4	$910	976	0	+976	Yes	+$66	09-11 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 13?	8	$903	460	460	+0	Yes	+$13	09-13 10:57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 13?	3	$762	384	384	+0	Yes	+$4	09-13 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	3	$690	351	351	+0	Yes	+$10	09-12 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 12?	6	$615	717	717	+0	No	-$585	09-12 08:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	14	$499	612	0	+612	No	-$499	09-13 07:42
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	3	$468	292	292	+0	Yes	+$88	09-11 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 12?	2	$406	206	206	+0	Yes	+$6	09-12 10:16
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	3	$404	249	249	+0	No	+$4	09-17 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 12?	9	$350	178	178	+0	Yes	+$6	09-12 17:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 11?	2	$301	157	157	+0	Yes	+$9	09-11 13:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	6	$240	1,048	33	+1,015	open	—	10-23 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 12?	2	$203	103	103	+0	Yes	+$3	09-12 10:16
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	2	$149	123	62	+62	open	—	10-25 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 13?	8	$148	93	93	+0	Yes	+$12	09-13 12:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:05:35	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x33ac00…
10-28 08:03:31	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x6c001d…
10-28 08:03:01	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x3c093d…
10-28 05:46:20	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb8fe29…
10-28 05:46:19	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x52604a…
10-27 10:10:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0x9cf45d…
10-27 08:30:32	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0xbfb84c…
10-27 07:49:48	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x368268…
10-27 07:47:02	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x779370…
10-27 07:45:39	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xf84465…
10-27 07:41:08	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xa4591d…
10-27 07:38:50	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x1d0ae2…
10-27 02:31:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	852	94¢	$800	0x8dce8a…
10-26 06:29:24	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xec639e…
10-26 06:29:17	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x441bb7…
10-26 06:29:08	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xeb1bfc…
10-26 06:25:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x6ca8c5…
10-26 06:23:17	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	0¢	$0	0xe076ef…
10-26 06:18:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x26bdb1…
10-26 06:16:35	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x79b64c…
10-26 06:09:51	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x6c1e8a…
10-26 03:11:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	94¢	$189	0xd6a5a8…
10-26 03:09:00	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd63197…
10-26 03:08:53	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x211609…
10-25 09:13:08	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x048aa7…
10-25 09:13:00	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2921c4…
10-25 09:12:50	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0ca5ff…
10-25 09:12:15	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa304d9…
10-25 09:11:08	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc7f992…
10-25 09:09:29	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x108f24…
10-25 07:20:00	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	79¢	$49	0x815846…
10-25 07:15:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	523	96¢	$500	0xbb644a…
10-25 07:11:06	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xd54d53…
10-25 07:05:54	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x9aa3d7…
10-23 05:53:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x7bc12c…
10-23 05:50:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x14929c…
10-23 02:22:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	375	24¢	$90	0xd4b83d…
10-22 10:22:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xd80495…
10-22 10:21:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0xb0dd1f…
10-22 10:19:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x430ea2…
10-21 11:04:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0x512e5e…
10-21 10:11:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x376435…
10-20 07:31:04	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x950d55…
10-15 07:52:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x8ab822…
10-15 07:24:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	107	74¢	$79	0x15f176…
10-15 07:06:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0x70398d…
10-15 03:08:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xa0a954…
10-15 02:37:31	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xf9f5f2…
10-15 02:37:19	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0xa794cf…
10-14 03:00:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xd4ffd0…
10-13 07:39:47	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x4f3bca…
10-13 07:13:13	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7c344a…
10-13 06:41:11	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xf1d58e…
10-10 16:45:03	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4b8e70…
10-10 16:43:24	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x5179a1…
10-10 10:30:37	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x6c57a0…
10-10 05:48:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x783691…
10-10 05:37:27	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8e04fd…
10-10 05:37:15	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	1¢	$1	0x43445b…
10-10 01:53:13	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8e5311…
10-10 01:52:56	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe1b69c…
10-09 16:51:01	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x9fed7d…
10-09 12:28:43	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x699e75…
10-09 12:15:39	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0be900…
10-09 12:14:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xd7a8c0…
10-09 10:27:10	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x342eac…
10-09 06:15:22	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x30b1a8…
10-09 06:11:10	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x3268ae…
10-09 05:51:32	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x5b21cd…
10-09 05:15:42	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x9703b3…
10-09 05:15:41	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x017d2f…
10-06 12:07:33	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	57	80¢	$46	0xfe8a30…
10-06 12:07:21	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Team Falcons	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x383bf1…
10-06 10:28:33	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xa96a8d…
10-06 10:21:37	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe63450…
10-06 10:21:04	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xdfcacb…
10-06 10:19:48	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xef57c9…
10-05 15:42:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	157	78¢	$122	0x558113…
10-05 15:40:41	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 10 05	Spirit	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xfa69ed…
10-05 15:40:31	cs2 m80 tyloo 2026 10 05	M80	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x588ef8…
10-05 15:19:32	Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	M80	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x75a40a…
10-05 15:11:10	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 10 05	Spirit	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xda74f9…
10-05 15:08:35	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xeb5db1…
10-04 16:37:49	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	Vitality	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xaa78f2…
10-03 14:38:08	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xf15da5…
10-03 13:43:44	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x49f33a…
10-03 13:07:51	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x148006…
10-03 12:30:35	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0xee5c7c…
10-03 12:30:20	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Vitality	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x8d8992…
10-03 10:37:59	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x35f903…
10-03 10:37:27	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1db729…
10-03 10:36:36	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Team Falcons	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xfaeb03…
10-03 08:32:26	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x3c97e7…
10-03 08:31:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	157	82¢	$128	0xd82266…
09-18 02:06:48	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	220	64¢	$141	0x170a9c…
09-17 15:14:57	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x315bae…
09-17 15:11:40	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	428	92¢	$394	0xec97dc…
09-17 13:20:45	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4c88b3…
09-17 12:45:34	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	22	89¢	$19	0x9170f7…
09-17 12:41:13	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0x0eebff…