Realized P&L
+$25.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.85K
Hit rate
84.1%
Resolved
79
Trades
199,968
lifetime
Volume
$689.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$40.9K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 01:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
51% 74% +$13,644
Sports
24% 53% +$10,694
Politics
21% 43% +$351
Crypto
4% 43% +$1,158
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 1345 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +19,500 $18,088 98¢ $19.1K +$1,012 10-13 13:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7,588 $7,146 97¢ $7.4K +$211 10-23 12:51
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +6,094 $6,048 100¢ $6.1K +$34 11-01 22:46
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +3,000 $2,889 97¢ $2.9K +$27 11-02 02:09
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -400,000 -$2,513 1¢ $-2800 -$287 07-24 10:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +2,000 $1,996 100¢ $2.0K +$0 11-04 01:48
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -99,989 -$700 0¢ $-250 +$450 05-14 11:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50,000 $29 0¢ $225 +$196 11-03 15:20
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,540 $213 12¢ $188 -$25 10-27 03:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +3,461 -$27 1¢ $19 +$46 11-03 09:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +0 -$189 0¢ $0 +$189 10-29 08:06