Realized P&L (90d)
+$15.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.18K
Hit rate
99.0%
Resolved (90d)
23
Trades (90d)
11,071
200,269 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$153.5K
$674.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$42.8K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 01:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
51% 74% +$13,644
Sports
23% 56% +$10,764
Politics
22% 50% +$355
Crypto
4% 43% +$1,158
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 1190 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +19,500 $18,088 99¢ $19.2K +$1,149 10-13 13:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7,588 $7,146 98¢ $7.4K +$295 10-23 12:51
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5,000 $4,856 97¢ $4.9K +$12 11-09 11:35
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +2,954 $2,876 99¢ $2.9K +$38 11-09 18:24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +3,000 $2,889 93¢ $2.8K -$94 11-02 02:09
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -400,000 -$2,513 1¢ $-2600 -$87 07-24 10:27
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? No +2,634 $2,439 97¢ $2.6K +$122 11-10 19:18
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,540 $213 14¢ $209 -$4 10-27 03:12
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -99,989 -$700 0¢ $-150 +$550 05-14 11:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -1,455 -$21 0¢ $-5 +$16 11-12 18:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +0 -$189 0¢ $0 +$189 10-29 08:06