Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$398

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 11-04 05:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$2

Politics

41% 100% +$1

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+8	$8	100¢	$8	+$0	11-04 05:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-04 04:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$15	9	6	+3	No	+$0	06-02 18:23
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	4	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$9	9	0	+8	No	+$0	07-04 19:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	10-26 16:36
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	2	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	09-29 18:35
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	07-07 17:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	06-17 02:53
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	11-04 03:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	11-04 05:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$8	7	1	+6	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-15 18:45
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	04-28 13:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-31 15:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	10-25 16:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$0	09-14 18:14
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	3	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	07-21 22:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	06-17 08:42
Trump kiss by May 31?	2	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	05-21 13:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$0	10-26 17:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-27 23:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$7	6	1	+5	No	+$0	05-11 03:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-28 02:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-26 12:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-16 14:24
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-04 21:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	08-28 09:28
Trump out as President by May 31?	5	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-14 00:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	3	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-30 05:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	06-25 00:18
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	4	$6	5	2	+3	No	+$0	09-09 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 05:29:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf99c5c…
11-04 04:58:09	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18f419…
11-04 04:43:19	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x064869…
11-04 04:26:58	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc57a75…
11-04 03:34:42	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc73681…
11-04 03:27:27	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x15450b…
11-04 03:18:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3240dd…
11-03 03:15:55	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x932528…
11-03 03:15:36	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf194a0…
10-31 06:51:10	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc6f83…
10-30 23:39:01	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc7200d…
10-30 23:33:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x40edbb…
10-29 16:48:25	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6d998d…
10-29 12:19:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x16e235…
10-28 19:59:31	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4f12bf…
10-28 17:59:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x676bfb…
10-28 17:59:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf5d20a…
10-28 14:06:01	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x19ee97…
10-26 17:19:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8d1ebb…
10-26 16:36:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x17ca2b…
10-25 16:10:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x70c8d3…
10-24 16:04:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x306ce9…
10-24 12:31:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x014fe8…
10-24 12:31:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6e5f0b…
10-19 12:24:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x319f7a…
10-15 06:14:29	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x628687…
10-12 06:32:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x602c83…
09-30 20:38:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd8e22e…
09-30 20:25:35	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x517479…
09-29 18:35:26	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa3370b…
09-19 06:22:55	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0684e9…
09-16 16:46:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x937116…
09-16 15:50:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ae5f2…
09-14 19:39:28	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8bddc…
09-14 18:14:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf5ad7e…
09-14 16:14:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a7707…
09-12 08:01:15	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6478a…
09-11 06:01:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe6826…
09-10 08:16:46	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9bfce…
09-09 19:25:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xf76f8e…
09-09 11:15:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd6d383…
09-09 02:44:13	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf6500f…
09-09 01:12:01	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa863d3…
09-08 07:25:40	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ec7ad…
09-06 16:52:13	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4dc6f0…
09-06 16:49:33	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfde507…
09-06 01:48:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x54ee23…
09-05 06:03:33	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9b221d…
09-03 10:56:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe000c4…
08-30 03:07:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4cf492…
08-28 09:28:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb68e87…
08-27 06:58:24	Trump out as President by August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe6dfeb…
08-27 03:20:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc7fb0…
08-26 01:42:37	Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb05c3e…
08-22 14:33:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeac2cd…
08-22 11:15:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x79cdc8…
08-19 13:36:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0179ce…
08-11 14:08:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b01f7…
08-10 06:07:19	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd630ed…
08-04 15:03:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf1e09…
08-02 15:56:03	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb9456a…
07-29 20:16:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7679b3…
07-28 02:34:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77b235…
07-27 23:51:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1c4af7…
07-27 22:53:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xd4bca3…
07-27 22:44:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xd11b6d…
07-27 22:42:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xf6c864…
07-27 22:42:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaec202…
07-27 05:39:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x202027…
07-26 20:37:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x67b5d7…
07-25 17:21:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf2d6f…
07-21 22:02:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa89377…
07-20 22:23:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57e2ab…
07-20 21:19:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85179b…
07-19 18:15:52	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac5f8f…
07-19 12:31:37	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa1e4e6…
07-17 07:13:01	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x716ff3…
07-16 14:24:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd7d2c7…
07-14 20:43:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x12c34a…
07-13 14:21:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xd6c374…
07-13 05:59:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x36546e…
07-10 02:31:43	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x69acc3…
07-08 16:53:44	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe4a587…
07-08 16:37:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef3adf…
07-08 04:22:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73db85…
07-08 02:26:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x160193…
07-07 17:27:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x863bb1…
07-04 21:48:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d6552…
07-04 19:46:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb71a17…
07-03 11:42:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9fe552…
07-01 17:14:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1c9707…
07-01 14:25:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbc0569…
07-01 14:07:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x94745a…
06-30 05:19:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47ba06…
06-29 12:51:52	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b7b79…
06-29 09:22:55	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x64a61a…
06-27 21:37:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x82d09c…
06-27 21:08:52	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf42163…
06-27 17:32:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf1edd0…
06-27 14:18:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x6568cb…