Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.54K

Unrealized P&L

+$6.01K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

596

lifetime

Volume

$373.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$627

Open exposure

$134.6K

16 positions

First seen

2026-06-28

last 10-27 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

67% 100% +$2,295

Other

32% 100% +$1,122

Sports

1% 100% +$120

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+61,000	$50,180	92¢	$55.8K	+$5,635	06-30 09:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+22,000	$20,240	92¢	$20.4K	+$110	10-06 10:05
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+19,231	$18,896	98¢	$18.8K	-$98	10-07 04:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	+12,013	$11,931	99¢	$11.9K	-$2	10-23 13:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+10,000	$9,350	94¢	$9.3K	+$0	10-23 13:19
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	+7,559	$7,500	100¢	$7.5K	+$29	10-23 08:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+4,233	$4,050	96¢	$4.1K	+$16	10-23 13:42
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+2,017	$2,008	100¢	$2.0K	+$6	10-27 06:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,822	$1,731	96¢	$1.7K	+$18	10-16 11:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	+1,388	$1,310	94¢	$1.3K	-$12	10-22 10:19
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	Yes	+1,686	$824	64¢	$1.1K	+$264	10-20 05:42
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	+534	$454	92¢	$494	+$39	09-23 23:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	+102	$102	100¢	$102	+$0	10-23 07:48
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+21	$21	100¢	$21	+$0	10-27 08:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	+14	$14	100¢	$14	+$0	10-26 05:19
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+7	$6	86¢	$6	$0	10-23 15:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$51.8K	28,000	28,000	+0	open	—	10-19 11:45
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	23	$50.2K	61,000	0	+61,000	open	—	06-30 09:22
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	22	$30.4K	31,306	0	+31,306	No	+$915	10-04 08:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$20.2K	22,000	0	+22,000	open	—	10-06 10:05
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$18.9K	19,231	0	+19,231	open	—	10-07 04:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	4	$18.6K	15,000	5,000	+10,000	open	—	10-23 13:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	23	$17.0K	17,190	0	+17,190	No	+$233	08-20 08:22
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	44	$14.9K	15,105	0	+15,105	No	+$246	07-28 07:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	9	$11.9K	12,013	0	+12,013	open	—	10-23 13:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	31	$9.4K	4,800	4,800	+0	No	+$169	09-15 07:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	3	$9.1K	4,596	4,596	+0	No	+$45	08-24 08:48
us iran hormuz agreement by october 31	5	$8.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-15 03:31
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026	13	$8.4K	8,724	0	+8,724	open	—	10-23 03:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	18	$7.5K	7,559	0	+7,559	open	—	10-23 08:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	2	$7.3K	7,368	0	+7,368	No	+$67	08-15 08:06
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	4	$7.3K	7,774	0	+7,774	No	+$515	10-10 09:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	15	$6.8K	6,910	0	+6,910	No	+$129	08-10 04:23
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	17	$6.5K	6,526	0	+6,526	No	+$63	08-18 07:13
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	128	$5.7K	2,975	2,924	+51	No	+$202	08-28 10:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	3	$5.6K	2,807	2,807	+0	open	—	10-24 05:59
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	7	$5.2K	5,243	0	+5,243	No	+$68	08-08 14:16
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	38	$5.1K	3,564	1,547	+2,017	open	—	10-27 06:59
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$120	06-29 04:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	4	$4.5K	4,558	0	+4,558	No	+$14	10-15 09:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$4.0K	4,233	0	+4,233	open	—	10-23 13:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	12	$3.6K	2,878	2,878	+0	No	+$302	09-16 18:18
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	11	$3.4K	3,517	0	+3,517	No	+$79	08-07 14:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	2	$3.3K	3,363	0	+3,363	Yes	+$86	10-08 08:14
Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	4	$2.6K	2,595	0	+2,595	Yes	+$3	10-06 09:47
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	25	$2.4K	1,577	1,043	+534	open	—	09-23 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:35:36	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0311da…
10-27 08:19:26	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e92bc…
10-27 08:16:08	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47e7b4…
10-27 08:12:06	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0db5bb…
10-27 08:02:09	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5ab688…
10-27 07:57:14	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe011e5…
10-27 07:52:21	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1bff6a…
10-27 07:45:42	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb35f0…
10-27 07:41:39	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7a2c79…
10-27 07:36:44	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70c5e0…
10-27 07:27:45	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf17d7f…
10-27 07:02:15	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x909d46…
10-27 06:59:32	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x25f58b…
10-27 06:59:26	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7c2f9b…
10-27 06:54:48	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc7c1bf…
10-27 05:47:39	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6c96da…
10-27 05:39:48	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x84cbb2…
10-27 05:34:26	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2fc1c3…
10-27 05:29:03	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe68e3b…
10-27 03:20:17	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbaf5d8…
10-27 03:15:15	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa15c42…
10-27 03:09:35	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc736ed…
10-27 03:05:56	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9276c1…
10-27 03:04:20	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x938791…
10-27 03:01:23	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe3fb25…
10-27 02:56:26	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1c9573…
10-27 02:36:30	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x09cf6f…
10-27 02:25:59	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4138ff…
10-27 01:41:56	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3a119d…
10-27 01:36:35	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcc2ea3…
10-27 01:30:32	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc633d0…
10-27 01:26:20	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf06ac4…
10-27 01:19:27	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9ccd36…
10-27 01:14:50	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf4be55…
10-27 01:10:45	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4201b1…
10-27 01:06:12	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x52ad46…
10-27 00:59:39	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x104fc7…
10-27 00:54:47	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb603b0…
10-27 00:52:33	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbc8f7e…
10-27 00:48:36	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x624a4a…
10-27 00:42:06	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x651951…
10-27 00:35:15	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x61c3e3…
10-27 00:15:17	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xdeafdc…
10-27 00:15:06	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	650	100¢	$649	0xa41167…
10-27 00:14:05	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	650	100¢	$649	0x993d78…
10-27 00:04:06	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x18c577…
10-26 23:59:14	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x8c1751…
10-26 05:19:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc117b8…
10-24 07:13:53	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x42dae5…
10-24 07:13:14	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,800	100¢	$2,792	0xf79518…
10-24 05:59:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	2,807	100¢	$2,798	0x4f1aed…
10-23 15:14:35	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	740	100¢	$738	0x758582…
10-23 15:11:11	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x19fe19…
10-23 13:42:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	1,114	95¢	$1,058	0x96a02b…
10-23 13:27:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,984	0xe8cf19…
10-23 13:27:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2c486d…
10-23 13:22:56	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0x9f39ca…
10-23 13:19:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	94¢	$4,700	0x7b3697…
10-23 10:08:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0xa9732c…
10-23 10:07:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x0566a9…
10-23 09:20:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	95¢	$4,750	0xb30c0f…
10-23 09:11:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	366	99¢	$364	0x5e4cd4…
10-23 08:50:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	207	99¢	$205	0xf1d99a…
10-23 08:49:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	920	99¢	$914	0xe571b2…
10-23 08:02:24	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7128a8…
10-23 07:59:41	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x69f0af…
10-23 07:59:03	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8af53d…
10-23 07:58:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x74af45…
10-23 07:58:50	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf0f4d7…
10-23 07:58:50	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2c2028…
10-23 07:58:48	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,309	99¢	$3,289	0x8292a9…
10-23 07:52:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,100	99¢	$3,081	0x17c2d1…
10-23 07:48:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x44f5a6…
10-23 07:47:36	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0x4c23ea…
10-23 07:47:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,206	99¢	$5,169	0xac7e91…
10-23 07:46:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xff62b2…
10-23 04:49:23	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0x3a2390…
10-23 03:59:30	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026	No	BUY	2,070	97¢	$2,000	0x85fd32…
10-23 03:49:17	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xc17ffc…
10-22 16:33:41	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	347	99¢	$344	0xa70141…
10-22 10:19:09	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x2b69f5…
10-22 09:08:00	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xa25fbe…
10-22 09:08:00	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	354	93¢	$330	0x563093…
10-21 15:43:57	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026	No	BUY	730	97¢	$707	0x1acbf4…
10-21 07:53:53	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0x84e3fc…
10-21 07:53:53	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	597	86¢	$513	0x3550c4…
10-21 04:28:21	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026	No	BUY	2,351	97¢	$2,274	0x96dc90…
10-20 17:12:57	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe4cebd…
10-20 17:02:06	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x850b90…
10-20 12:47:03	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xcd8b85…
10-20 07:40:10	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x0012b9…
10-20 07:35:19	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026	No	BUY	101	96¢	$98	0x8fccdb…
10-20 05:42:41	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	Yes	SELL	60	65¢	$39	0x91d169…
10-19 19:06:09	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	Yes	SELL	928	65¢	$603	0x7b11e3…
10-19 18:00:06	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	Yes	BUY	1,000	58¢	$582	0xb4824a…
10-19 11:45:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,439	97¢	$2,376	0x1a989f…
10-18 19:58:27	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x0f3589…
10-18 18:04:06	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x6199ab…
10-18 17:07:48	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	468	99¢	$465	0x9b83c6…
10-18 12:57:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x96a805…