Realized P&L
+$13.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$503
Hit rate
95.9%
Resolved
444
Trades
5,104
lifetime
Volume
$735.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$144
Open exposure
$41.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-24 08:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Other
50% 68% +$10,568
Politics
48% 85% +$2,758
Tech
1% 82% -$104
Sports
1% 47% +$333
Crypto
0% 83% +$119
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +4,000 $3,956 98¢ $3.9K -$48 10-20 20:52
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +3,937 $3,446 97¢ $3.8K +$378 10-19 20:54
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +3,959 $3,600 95¢ $3.8K +$169 10-20 13:41
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +3,567 $3,375 95¢ $3.4K +$23 10-21 03:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3,000 $2,770 92¢ $2.8K +$5 10-20 23:38
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,361 $2,205 96¢ $2.3K +$71 10-20 20:36
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,247 $2,161 98¢ $2.2K +$36 09-27 10:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +1,750 $1,659 100¢ $1.7K +$86 10-19 19:04
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +1,655 $1,572 96¢ $1.6K +$8 10-22 11:55
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,500 $1,440 96¢ $1.4K +$4 10-20 18:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,495 $1,434 96¢ $1.4K +$1 10-21 08:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,550 $1,291 92¢ $1.4K +$128 09-05 01:17
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,400 $1,410 56¢ $1.3K -$72 09-27 16:20
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,700 $1,271 74¢ $1.3K -$5 10-03 12:52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,076 $1,013 98¢ $1.0K +$36 06-25 11:48
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $997 100¢ $998 +$0 10-20 14:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $910 97¢ $970 +$60 10-20 22:30
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,000 $973 96¢ $958 -$15 10-20 21:46
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,515 $1,277 62¢ $947 -$331 09-24 11:08
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1,000 $910 90¢ $905 -$5 10-22 19:35
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -687 -$655 99¢ $-679 -$24 06-21 01:26
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +567 $470 87¢ $492 +$22 09-28 19:25
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $450 92¢ $458 +$8 10-21 21:09
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +365 $333 86¢ $312 -$20 10-21 13:19
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +300 $279 92¢ $274 -$4 10-20 21:42
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -281 -$270 95¢ $-267 +$3 09-01 16:37
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +250 $228 97¢ $242 +$14 09-01 21:15
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +248 $231 96¢ $237 +$5 10-02 03:42
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,333 $246 2¢ $133 -$113 10-04 02:55
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $45 3¢ $128 +$83 08-22 10:11