Realized P&L
+$874
Unrealized P&L
+$339
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,758
lifetime
Volume
$422.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$153
Open exposure
$14.5K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-09 23:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
61% 100% +$856
Politics
37% 100% +$18
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 240 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +3,904 $3,531 91¢ $3.5K +$3 06-09 17:35
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +3,310 $3,004 100¢ $3.3K +$302 06-09 23:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,500 $-1,290 86¢ $-1298 $-8 05-29 12:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,310 $1,197 90¢ $1.2K $-12 06-08 10:30
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1,233 $-1,191 94¢ $-1165 +$26 06-04 07:14
Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +995 $988 100¢ $992 +$4 05-29 11:44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -578 $-558 96¢ $-554 +$4 06-09 20:34
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +500 $485 99¢ $493 +$8 06-09 14:19
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -400 $-396 100¢ $-398 $-3 06-02 17:33
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? Yes -401 $-373 92¢ $-371 +$3 06-05 00:07
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -320 $-320 100¢ $-320 +$0 06-08 10:07
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +300 $294 97¢ $292 $-2 06-09 18:47
Will Butch Ware advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +274 $273 100¢ $274 +$1 05-28 12:06
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +200 $199 100¢ $199 +$0 05-28 12:07
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No -116 $-114 100¢ $-116 $-3 05-31 03:49
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +39 $23 100¢ $39 +$15 06-09 00:39
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 05-29 11:45