Realized P&L
+$874
Unrealized P&L
+$72
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
3,496
lifetime
Volume
$498.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$143
Open exposure
$12.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-17 20:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
60% 100% +$856
Politics
38% 100% +$18
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 240 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +3,322 $3,105 95¢ $3.2K +$51 07-08 09:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,625 $-2,303 94¢ $-2481 $-178 06-11 20:23
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,904 $1,639 94¢ $1.8K +$158 07-05 16:31
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +1,704 $1,612 96¢ $1.6K +$20 07-17 20:51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,076 $1,013 96¢ $1.0K +$15 06-25 11:48
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1,060 $-1,037 95¢ $-1011 +$26 07-03 10:41
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -500 $-473 97¢ $-485 $-12 06-21 01:26
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +500 $465 94¢ $468 +$2 06-18 18:17
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +500 $220 46¢ $232 +$12 06-25 13:06
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +250 $225 92¢ $231 +$6 06-21 12:59
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +100 $88 94¢ $94 +$6 06-21 15:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -263 $-32 28¢ $-72 $-41 06-18 18:48
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -72 $-35 46¢ $-33 +$2 06-20 01:58
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes -60 $-7 $-3 +$4 06-21 13:40