Realized P&L (7d)
+$3.30K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.66K
Hit rate
99.5%
Resolved (7d)
43
Trades (7d)
163
5,333 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$29.5K
$782.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$147
Open exposure
$35.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-04 06:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Politics
49% 85% +$6,043
Other
49% 68% +$10,564
Sports
1% 47% +$333
Tech
1% 83% -$101
Crypto
0% 86% +$133
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +9,492 $8,674 98¢ $9.3K +$609 11-01 22:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +4,695 $4,528 98¢ $4.6K +$66 11-03 08:07
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +3,901 $3,689 98¢ $3.8K +$117 10-29 17:46
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,339 $2,030 98¢ $2.3K +$251 11-02 19:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +1,750 $1,659 100¢ $1.7K +$88 10-19 19:04
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? No +1,510 $1,457 97¢ $1.5K +$11 10-21 17:35
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,500 $1,440 97¢ $1.5K +$20 10-20 18:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +1,500 $1,380 96¢ $1.4K +$67 11-03 12:01
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,000 $973 98¢ $982 +$9 10-20 21:46
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,000 -$880 97¢ $-966 -$86 11-02 13:37
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $850 95¢ $949 +$99 11-02 02:35
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +850 $642 98¢ $829 +$187 11-02 08:25
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -687 -$655 99¢ $-680 -$25 06-21 01:26
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +653 $610 98¢ $643 +$32 10-30 18:52
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +567 $470 100¢ $565 +$95 09-28 19:25
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +574 $542 96¢ $550 +$8 11-02 09:27
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +554 $518 97¢ $536 +$19 11-03 19:41
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +550 $509 94¢ $520 +$11 11-03 15:49
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -400 -$436 98¢ $-393 +$43 11-03 16:43
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +350 $332 96¢ $337 +$4 11-03 18:41
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -281 -$270 97¢ $-272 -$2 09-01 16:37
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +250 $228 97¢ $243 +$15 09-01 21:15
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +228 $180 90¢ $205 +$25 11-03 23:20
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? No +204 $194 96¢ $196 +$2 11-04 06:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +220 $95 64¢ $142 +$47 11-03 01:05
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +130 $131 98¢ $128 -$3 11-04 00:25
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $45 3¢ $128 +$83 08-22 10:11
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,333 $246 2¢ $120 -$126 10-04 02:55
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $82 4¢ $89 +$7 05-25 13:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -44 -$32 99¢ $-44 -$12 09-02 12:32