Realized P&L (7d)
+$3.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.35K
Hit rate
99.4%
Resolved (7d)
43
Trades (7d)
176
5,355 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$34.8K
$791.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$148
Open exposure
$39.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-07 15:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
49% 68% +$10,500
Politics
49% 85% +$6,043
Sports
1% 47% +$333
Tech
1% 83% -$101
Crypto
0% 86% +$133
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +9,492 $8,674 98¢ $9.3K +$619 11-01 22:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5,089 $4,911 98¢ $5.0K +$58 11-07 12:09
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +3,901 $3,689 98¢ $3.8K +$117 10-29 17:46
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +3,644 $3,529 98¢ $3.6K +$48 11-06 23:24
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,339 $2,030 96¢ $2.3K +$221 11-02 19:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2,300 $2,153 97¢ $2.2K +$74 11-07 12:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +1,750 $1,659 100¢ $1.7K +$89 10-19 19:04
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? No +1,510 $1,457 97¢ $1.5K +$12 10-21 17:35
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,500 $1,440 97¢ $1.5K +$20 10-20 18:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,155 $1,204 97¢ $1.1K -$84 11-06 20:11
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,000 $973 98¢ $982 +$9 10-20 21:46
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +838 $762 88¢ $741 -$21 11-07 15:43
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -687 -$655 99¢ $-680 -$26 06-21 01:26
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +567 $470 100¢ $564 +$94 09-28 19:25
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +574 $542 95¢ $548 +$6 11-02 09:27
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +554 $518 98¢ $541 +$24 11-03 19:41
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +550 $509 95¢ $522 +$14 11-03 15:49
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -400 -$436 98¢ $-393 +$43 11-03 16:43
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +350 $332 96¢ $337 +$4 11-03 18:41
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -281 -$270 97¢ $-272 -$2 09-01 16:37
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +250 $228 97¢ $243 +$16 09-01 21:15
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +259 $231 90¢ $232 +$1 11-07 05:51
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? No +204 $194 96¢ $196 +$2 11-04 06:15
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +228 $180 84¢ $192 +$13 11-03 23:20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +220 $95 63¢ $139 +$44 11-03 01:05
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $45 3¢ $132 +$88 08-22 10:11
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +130 $131 99¢ $128 -$3 11-04 00:25
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,333 $246 2¢ $109 -$137 10-04 02:55
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $82 5¢ $99 +$17 05-25 13:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -44 -$32 100¢ $-44 -$12 09-02 12:32