Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.02K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.39K
Hit rate
96.3%
Resolved (90d)
89
Trades (90d)
865
5,592 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$206.1K
$850.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$152
Open exposure
$52.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-15 07:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Other
50% 68% +$10,845
Politics
47% 85% +$6,125
Tech
1% 83% -$101
Sports
1% 50% +$320
Crypto
1% 88% +$178
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +7,760 $6,968 98¢ $7.6K +$664 11-12 16:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +6,089 $5,883 98¢ $6.0K +$87 11-14 21:56
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +4,653 $4,514 98¢ $4.6K +$58 11-09 23:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +4,355 $4,173 99¢ $4.3K +$121 11-13 00:28
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +4,011 $3,797 98¢ $3.9K +$146 11-15 03:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +3,420 $3,310 99¢ $3.4K +$88 11-14 21:27
Trump out as President before 2027? No +3,231 $3,213 97¢ $3.1K -$68 11-09 13:26
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +2,855 $2,768 95¢ $2.7K -$50 11-13 18:58
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,339 $2,030 98¢ $2.3K +$270 11-02 19:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,700 $1,660 98¢ $1.7K +$13 11-09 12:34
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? No +1,510 $1,457 98¢ $1.5K +$20 10-21 17:35
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,500 $1,440 98¢ $1.5K +$25 10-20 18:08
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +1,225 $1,139 94¢ $1.2K +$12 11-15 07:10
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,090 $1,058 98¢ $1.1K +$11 11-09 21:33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,055 $976 94¢ $989 +$12 11-08 23:26
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited? No +1,000 $963 96¢ $958 -$6 11-11 19:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $875 86¢ $865 -$10 11-14 20:33
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -687 -$655 99¢ $-683 -$28 06-21 01:26
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +574 $542 96¢ $551 +$9 11-02 09:27
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? Yes +525 $508 96¢ $503 -$5 11-13 13:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +804 $457 62¢ $503 +$45 11-13 06:08
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +500 $416 86¢ $432 +$17 11-12 21:17
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +443 $415 94¢ $415 +$0 11-13 13:01
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -400 -$436 99¢ $-394 +$42 11-03 16:43
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +350 $332 97¢ $340 +$8 11-03 18:41
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $505 32¢ $325 -$180 09-28 22:19
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -281 -$270 97¢ $-272 -$3 09-01 16:37
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? No +204 $194 98¢ $200 +$6 11-04 06:15
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? No +240 $156 82¢ $195 +$40 11-04 01:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +220 $95 64¢ $140 +$45 11-03 01:05