Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.96K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.32K
Hit rate
96.3%
Resolved (90d)
84
Trades (90d)
828
5,551 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$187.1K
$830.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$150
Open exposure
$57.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-13 21:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 129 days
Categories
Other
49% 68% +$10,866
Politics
48% 85% +$6,031
Tech
1% 83% -$101
Sports
1% 47% +$333
Crypto
1% 88% +$178
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +7,760 $6,968 98¢ $7.6K +$675 11-12 16:22
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +7,000 $6,853 99¢ $6.9K +$52 11-13 17:38
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +4,653 $4,514 98¢ $4.6K +$58 11-09 23:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +4,355 $4,173 99¢ $4.3K +$121 11-13 00:28
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +4,003 $3,788 98¢ $3.9K +$152 11-10 22:21
Trump out as President before 2027? No +3,231 $3,213 98¢ $3.2K -$60 11-09 13:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +3,089 $2,947 98¢ $3.0K +$91 11-09 01:10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3,105 $2,908 91¢ $2.8K -$86 11-09 19:16
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +2,855 $2,768 96¢ $2.7K -$19 11-13 18:58
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,339 $2,030 98¢ $2.3K +$272 11-02 19:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +2,220 $2,121 98¢ $2.2K +$62 11-11 03:47
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,700 $1,660 98¢ $1.7K +$12 11-09 12:34
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? No +1,510 $1,457 98¢ $1.5K +$18 10-21 17:35
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,500 $1,440 98¢ $1.5K +$27 10-20 18:08
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,090 $1,058 98¢ $1.1K +$7 11-09 21:33
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +1,077 $1,002 94¢ $1.0K +$10 11-13 13:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,055 $976 94¢ $987 +$11 11-08 23:26
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited? No +1,000 $963 96¢ $958 -$6 11-11 19:32
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -687 -$655 99¢ $-683 -$28 06-21 01:26
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +574 $542 97¢ $554 +$12 11-02 09:27
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? Yes +525 $508 95¢ $500 -$8 11-13 13:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +804 $457 62¢ $495 +$37 11-13 06:08
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +443 $415 94¢ $415 +$0 11-13 13:01
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +500 $416 80¢ $402 -$13 11-12 21:17
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -400 -$436 99¢ $-394 +$42 11-03 16:43
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +350 $332 97¢ $340 +$7 11-03 18:41
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $505 33¢ $330 -$175 09-28 22:19
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -281 -$270 97¢ $-272 -$2 09-01 16:37
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? No +204 $194 98¢ $200 +$6 11-04 06:15
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? No +240 $156 82¢ $195 +$40 11-04 01:52