Realized P&L
-$317
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
226
Trades
958
lifetime
Volume
$5.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$136
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-22 15:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Politics
30% 38% +$131
Crypto
24% 21% -$111
Sports
22% 29% -$53
Other
21% 55% -$297
Tech
4% 67% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +1,525 $50 4¢ $54 +$4 10-22 15:11
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +181 $38 10¢ $17 -$21 08-25 16:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $16 26¢ $14 -$2 10-16 14:27
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -198 -$39 6¢ $-11 +$28 05-29 21:51
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +15 $9 66¢ $10 +$1 09-16 03:11
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +15 $7 56¢ $8 +$2 09-16 03:12
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -93 -$18 6¢ $-5 +$13 05-29 21:50
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 No +10 $4 50¢ $5 +$1 08-25 16:50
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $4 3¢ $3 -$1 08-21 05:12
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +161 $3 1¢ $2 -$1 08-21 03:51
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +65 $2 3¢ $2 -$1 08-21 05:42
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $6 16¢ $2 -$4 08-25 16:51
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -6 -$3 24¢ $-1 +$2 05-29 21:51
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 08-21 04:19
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -50 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 05-29 21:51
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-09 18:08
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-29 21:49