Detailed-Poison — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$361

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,824

lifetime

Volume

$5.63M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.09K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 08-09 21:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

59% 50% +$270

Other

35% 100% +$91

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	42	$826.5K	549,809	528,123	+21,686	open	—	08-03 12:04
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	44	$484.2K	226,209	263,454	-37,244	open	—	05-30 02:18
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	116	$383.1K	225,862	161,707	+64,155	open	—	05-21 15:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$304.0K	305,790	0	+305,790	open	—	06-03 17:34
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$276.3K	277,400	33	+277,367	open	—	04-08 20:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$274.7K	276,324	0	+276,324	open	—	04-01 00:09
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	86	$274.3K	275,450	0	+275,450	open	—	03-14 23:42
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	141	$272.8K	275,781	662	+275,119	open	—	02-28 16:29
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$272.2K	273,000	0	+273,000	open	—	04-29 22:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	149	$271.4K	273,290	0	+273,290	open	—	04-23 15:30
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	95	$265.8K	274,815	1,800	+273,015	open	—	01-23 14:47
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	81	$178.9K	180,319	0	+180,319	open	—	05-14 22:24
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	111	$171.8K	175,089	0	+175,089	open	—	07-30 05:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	15	$140.9K	135,160	6,660	+128,500	open	—	06-25 23:26
Trump out as President by June 30?	51	$137.3K	137,893	0	+137,893	open	—	06-23 22:06
new stranger things episode released by july 31	53	$129.7K	65,230	65,230	+0	open	—	07-28 02:53
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	35	$101.6K	103,254	0	+103,254	open	—	06-15 19:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	129	$100.8K	41,771	63,846	-22,075	open	—	07-01 19:38
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$90.9K	91,000	0	+91,000	No	+$91	05-13 01:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$77.2K	77,477	0	+77,477	Yes	+$310	05-09 18:42
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	22	$70.2K	51,759	19,758	+32,001	open	—	05-21 09:03
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	21	$60.1K	29,652	31,883	-2,231	open	—	05-21 06:45
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	1	$56.2K	56,225	0	+56,225	open	—	05-15 02:42
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	24	$52.9K	53,156	0	+53,156	open	—	06-22 05:33
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	22	$45.8K	48,650	0	+48,650	open	—	07-13 04:18
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	86	$33.4K	38,433	0	+38,433	open	—	08-09 21:25
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	11	$31.2K	32,768	0	+32,768	open	—	06-29 10:35
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	27	$29.4K	29,688	0	+29,688	open	—	05-24 00:25
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	36	$27.7K	28,278	0	+28,278	open	—	05-25 03:35
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	22	$27.2K	9,475	18,000	-8,525	open	—	05-25 03:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 21:25:52	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	72	88¢	$63	0xd8f135…
08-09 17:48:34	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x6b22f6…
08-09 04:49:13	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x8a276f…
08-07 09:53:18	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	423	88¢	$372	0x525438…
08-06 12:38:00	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	52	72¢	$38	0x323fe4…
08-06 12:15:15	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	770	72¢	$554	0x72d51b…
08-06 08:54:14	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x757f2d…
08-06 03:15:08	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xbe9ad5…
08-06 03:07:09	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	192	88¢	$169	0xed5a2c…
08-06 02:36:42	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x178954…
08-06 01:15:38	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x506b6e…
08-06 00:18:42	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x8c758c…
08-05 22:33:23	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x38240b…
08-05 21:52:17	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xcde13a…
08-05 21:49:41	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	58	88¢	$51	0xc6c381…
08-05 20:41:36	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x9a38b9…
08-05 20:39:05	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x1f03ac…
08-05 15:20:18	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x816465…
08-05 15:07:05	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	751	88¢	$661	0x5e9a30…
08-05 15:04:47	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x64f1b6…
08-05 11:03:44	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x1e0b5b…
08-05 05:51:53	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x0fb564…
08-05 05:39:09	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	260	88¢	$229	0x8b022f…
08-05 05:38:12	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	900	88¢	$792	0x104d5c…
08-05 05:00:38	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	3,113	88¢	$2,739	0xcd73ea…
08-04 09:16:57	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0xd61e98…
08-04 08:48:03	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	19	88¢	$16	0x0b4b87…
08-04 06:38:09	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	424	88¢	$373	0x284b17…
08-03 12:04:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6,351	78¢	$4,945	0xa6fe07…
08-03 12:04:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	466,942	78¢	$364,741	0x8e836f…
08-02 03:31:50	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xfdbb53…
08-02 03:26:26	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	674	88¢	$593	0x196d43…
08-02 02:08:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	347,003	77¢	$267,192	0x7ec79e…
08-01 09:59:05	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	178	72¢	$128	0xb7a96d…
07-30 11:16:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	74¢	$370	0x81a395…
07-30 11:16:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	68,474	74¢	$50,671	0x8125ba…
07-30 05:54:14	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1,153	100¢	$1,151	0x4737fa…
07-30 05:26:15	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x1aeb62…
07-30 03:07:32	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x3e6bb0…
07-30 02:31:44	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x82e991…
07-30 02:07:05	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	5,330	100¢	$5,319	0xae0962…
07-30 01:44:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7,316	69¢	$5,048	0xb46914…
07-30 01:34:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50,000	70¢	$35,000	0xb178d0…
07-28 02:53:49	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	17,766	100¢	$17,731	0xf5894d…
07-28 02:01:58	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3cfd9e…
07-28 01:36:58	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	5,810	100¢	$5,798	0x87eb2b…
07-27 15:55:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	30,907	78¢	$24,108	0x30ef5b…
07-27 15:48:13	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf8e171…
07-27 15:47:36	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3e98bd…
07-27 12:48:00	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	5,503	100¢	$5,492	0xe78baf…
07-27 12:46:40	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	11,111	100¢	$11,089	0x79c8a9…
07-27 12:18:18	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xaa924c…
07-27 10:44:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,444	79¢	$1,931	0x670886…
07-27 10:42:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,200	79¢	$948	0x147903…
07-27 10:32:01	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x38921d…
07-27 10:25:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,244	79¢	$983	0xfd6e8c…
07-27 04:51:24	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x01c4ff…
07-27 04:51:22	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x8fd7e2…
07-27 04:51:22	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x51bdee…
07-27 04:46:16	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6134e3…
07-27 04:15:09	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xed7f34…
07-27 04:15:09	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x298740…
07-27 04:14:01	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc352bf…
07-27 03:46:54	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x674c3b…
07-27 02:18:22	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x89ee13…
07-27 01:38:19	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbaacfd…
07-26 18:23:42	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa2645a…
07-26 12:01:19	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc422e0…
07-26 07:10:30	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	58	100¢	$57	0x17a947…
07-26 06:17:48	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb03f18…
07-26 05:21:45	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0x961690…
07-26 04:06:01	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xc0102f…
07-25 13:34:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xc99f1f…
07-25 13:34:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	120	71¢	$85	0xdd6eb1…
07-25 13:21:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x2dd44c…
07-25 13:09:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10,000	71¢	$7,100	0x142fa3…
07-25 13:09:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	20,000	71¢	$14,200	0x1cb5a4…
07-25 12:59:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	332	71¢	$236	0x72ad43…
07-25 10:21:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0x3ac724…
07-25 10:17:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x3f7bab…
07-25 10:16:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x332dd3…
07-25 09:40:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x21f1af…
07-25 09:38:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	43	71¢	$31	0x9a18cb…
07-25 09:33:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x5c50f0…
07-25 09:22:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0xf6c5b6…
07-25 09:04:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x81fc45…
07-25 09:04:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	13	71¢	$10	0x0969cb…
07-23 06:41:15	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	7,662	100¢	$7,631	0x47e175…
07-23 06:39:39	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	10,299	100¢	$10,268	0x9d18a0…
07-22 23:56:54	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x5a8af9…
07-22 23:42:21	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x132715…
07-22 23:26:57	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2b10e0…
07-22 12:47:30	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x01bdf9…
07-22 11:03:21	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0x34b989…
07-20 20:05:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xad8a9f…
07-20 20:05:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13,000	73¢	$9,490	0x6d9588…
07-20 20:03:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x8c4284…
07-20 19:59:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	500	73¢	$365	0x279532…
07-20 19:40:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	56	73¢	$41	0x6dcfd5…
07-20 19:40:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	65	73¢	$48	0x698a21…