Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

77.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$199

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-25

last 10-30 23:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

56% 95% +$1

Politics

34% 86% -$2

Sports

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+10	$8	72¢	$7	-$1	09-22 08:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+3	$3	94¢	$3	+$0	10-29 20:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	5	$27	24	7	+16	No	-$1	08-27 22:21
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	08-09 18:57
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	3	$16	10	10	-0	No	-$3	08-12 01:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	3	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-11 21:13
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$0	07-05 03:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 07:00
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	3	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	07-23 00:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	08-11 02:22
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	09-22 08:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$0	08-18 14:08
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$0	08-01 20:41
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-21 17:34
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	09-20 15:24
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	07-19 18:15
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	07-08 02:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-10 15:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-10 07:04
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	+$1	08-09 15:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-16 06:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-11 21:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	07-04 19:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-28 23:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-29 15:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	10-27 09:58
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	10-29 20:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	10-25 22:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-07 17:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-27 21:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-26 17:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	07-14 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:33:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b2d45…
10-29 20:42:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xebabb3…
10-27 09:58:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x957ca7…
10-25 22:01:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xee3b6c…
10-24 12:31:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xeb29c2…
10-24 12:31:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc4286b…
10-10 07:04:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb842f1…
09-22 08:31:30	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xef334f…
09-20 15:24:55	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x32c57e…
09-16 06:43:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5d6c5a…
09-16 03:45:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2f415b…
09-14 19:32:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x747f4b…
09-11 21:15:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x915a66…
09-11 21:13:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xee30ac…
09-11 21:00:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc048b3…
09-02 14:22:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x46e092…
08-30 05:27:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd90ab9…
08-27 22:21:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x503ba7…
08-25 22:14:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x712dea…
08-25 22:14:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x37b5cc…
08-25 20:10:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0xe92da6…
08-24 14:04:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x5fa188…
08-22 14:33:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98eed0…
08-21 17:34:45	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0d0538…
08-18 14:08:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x87a457…
08-12 07:00:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8aebbf…
08-12 01:25:06	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xc145ba…
08-12 01:19:49	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb19ad0…
08-12 01:09:43	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4db140…
08-11 02:22:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x2d0108…
08-10 15:26:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d30dd…
08-09 18:57:57	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x5a7648…
08-09 15:31:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x179b77…
08-04 07:08:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x66c4a8…
08-01 20:41:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x0e6bdf…
07-29 15:51:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcd930a…
07-29 08:26:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfbaa0f…
07-28 23:32:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe2078…
07-28 06:18:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8fa282…
07-27 22:44:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6561e7…
07-27 05:39:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec59ed…
07-23 00:11:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xed5e48…
07-22 12:00:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x96893c…
07-21 22:02:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd71462…
07-19 18:15:52	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac5f8f…
07-14 20:43:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4e501f…
07-08 02:26:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x160193…
07-07 17:27:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9456ab…
07-05 03:16:17	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x168b22…
07-04 19:46:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6fdc8d…
07-04 00:07:29	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x38ec8a…
07-03 11:42:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f939f…
07-01 14:25:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0799a3…
07-01 13:53:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x998ef9…
06-27 21:37:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd5e396…
06-26 17:16:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x106a1d…
06-25 16:12:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x29f014…