Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$644

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$62

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-25

last 11-04 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

76% 100% +$8

Politics

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

6% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+42	$40	100¢	$42	+$2	11-04 05:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	11-04 05:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	53	$123	124	0	+124	No	+$0	07-29 16:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	25	$74	75	0	+75	No	+$1	09-16 17:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	45	$68	68	0	+68	No	+$0	09-16 17:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	16	$57	60	0	+60	Yes	+$3	10-28 17:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	17	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	07-29 16:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	14	$53	56	0	+56	No	+$3	10-28 17:55
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	9	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	09-30 21:24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	5	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	11-04 05:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	4	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	11-04 05:55
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	8	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	11-04 03:45
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	2	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	09-29 18:35
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$8	6	2	+4	No	+$0	09-10 13:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	10-26 17:19
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	5	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	11-03 03:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	5	$7	7	0	+6	No	+$0	10-30 23:33
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	5	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$0	11-03 03:15
Trump out as President by September 30?	5	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-12 02:44
ufc den2 bog 2026 08 01	2	$5	5	0	+5	Bogdan Grad	+$0	08-01 15:48
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	11-04 04:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-28 17:59
Trump out as President by August 31?	4	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-27 06:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-16 17:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-29 20:16
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	4	$3	2	1	+2	No	+$0	10-28 14:06
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	08-12 08:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-27 17:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	09-16 17:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-30 03:07
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-26 01:42
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-14 18:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 05:55:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f7f8b…
11-04 05:50:03	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f695f…
11-04 05:29:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf99c5c…
11-04 05:27:30	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4bf3a…
11-04 04:58:09	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18f419…
11-04 04:43:19	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x064869…
11-04 04:26:58	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe0630d…
11-04 03:45:24	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf3eba3…
11-04 03:40:40	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb59799…
11-04 03:34:42	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x286717…
11-04 03:27:27	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0413f2…
11-04 03:27:19	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc984b5…
11-04 03:18:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd96567…
11-04 03:10:25	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8b99e7…
11-04 03:10:22	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6cd0bb…
11-03 03:15:55	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x14c01c…
11-03 03:15:36	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb3a54…
10-31 16:33:28	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3d0c2…
10-31 16:31:36	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xc2d5ef…
10-31 06:51:12	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e8fb7…
10-30 23:39:01	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x905a94…
10-30 23:33:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe7a570…
10-29 20:42:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x6e110b…
10-29 20:38:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x91a933…
10-29 17:42:01	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x775974…
10-29 16:48:25	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x653a7d…
10-29 12:19:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x92f1c7…
10-28 19:59:31	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x08412f…
10-28 17:59:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfe1f31…
10-28 17:59:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x772306…
10-28 17:55:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbad2bd…
10-28 17:50:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf38da4…
10-28 17:48:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4de8f3…
10-28 17:47:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2f0e55…
10-28 15:45:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b07ab…
10-28 14:06:01	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x57fca9…
10-28 09:54:19	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6dec6a…
10-28 09:42:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x32b183…
10-28 07:20:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x20e49f…
10-28 03:27:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x15c8c2…
10-27 16:42:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x805d3c…
10-27 16:40:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x681c95…
10-27 16:39:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x8a38ec…
10-27 10:00:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xfdd8b0…
10-27 09:58:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x74cea5…
10-26 17:19:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xab1c26…
10-26 17:13:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xd66962…
10-26 17:12:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9cc028…
10-26 16:36:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xe94c3f…
10-26 14:58:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x1938bd…
10-26 14:48:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xad36b9…
10-26 14:46:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xce9972…
10-26 14:45:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xed5b19…
10-26 14:43:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x15b60a…
10-26 14:40:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x33d032…
10-26 14:39:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf24d46…
10-26 13:57:38	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x48be16…
10-26 12:40:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x579f01…
10-25 23:53:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1da7e1…
10-25 22:49:39	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x11cec7…
10-25 22:01:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xe204e4…
10-25 22:01:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xa8c741…
10-25 18:04:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xfc439e…
10-25 15:25:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x236944…
10-25 05:51:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfcbebd…
10-24 19:34:18	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc159d7…
10-24 16:04:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xafc5c2…
10-24 12:31:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xa147c9…
10-24 12:31:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x505887…
10-19 12:24:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x10c531…
10-15 06:14:28	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe56440…
10-12 06:32:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe9afef…
09-30 21:24:26	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa049dd…
09-30 20:38:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5ba54e…
09-30 20:38:29	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ee3db…
09-30 20:29:33	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf6e30…
09-30 20:25:35	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x517479…
09-29 18:35:24	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19f1e5…
09-19 06:22:55	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x324b80…
09-16 17:57:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3ffa1…
09-16 17:57:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x38d57e…
09-16 17:53:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47a61f…
09-16 17:48:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x858a63…
09-16 17:45:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e1b19…
09-16 17:37:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbcc8df…
09-16 17:35:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e4520…
09-16 17:29:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9373f0…
09-16 17:24:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4c4cf…
09-16 17:21:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c67c9…
09-16 17:20:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x60eb73…
09-16 17:17:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x472dfa…
09-16 17:09:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x66e406…
09-16 17:07:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf892a4…
09-16 17:04:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb4252c…
09-16 16:53:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb2750f…
09-16 16:48:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5db41b…
09-16 16:46:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xb97f6e…
09-16 16:44:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x96b71d…
09-16 16:41:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5700df…
09-16 16:39:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8913a6…