Magnificent-Membrane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.90K

Unrealized P&L

-$249

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

329

Trades

4,761

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$78

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-28

last 11-01 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 77% -$104

Politics

24% 57% -$1,813

Other

5% 100% +$33

Sports

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+230	$63	12¢	$26	-$37	11-01 01:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,179	$221	2¢	$25	-$196	11-01 18:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+150	$24	16¢	$25	+$1	11-01 15:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+710	$19	0¢	$2	-$17	10-18 22:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	25	$1.3K	1,730	50	+1,680	Yes	-$1,243	06-11 18:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	192	$1.1K	4,204	3,024	+1,179	open	—	11-01 18:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	14	$601	630	0	+630	No	+$29	06-04 12:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	221	$587	975	745	+230	open	—	11-01 01:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	22	$558	307	307	+0	No	+$30	06-30 11:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	16	$509	3,221	221	+3,000	Yes	-$83	06-17 17:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?	96	$508	435	435	+0	Yes	-$14	07-24 13:51
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	130	$497	641	641	+0	No	+$3	07-17 05:42
will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	125	$352	399	399	+0	No	+$1	08-11 19:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	2	$346	200	200	+0	No	+$26	06-15 11:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	134	$328	712	562	+150	open	—	11-01 15:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	215	$322	976	911	+65	No	-$17	08-28 19:14
bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 9am et	78	$263	741	686	+55	Down	-$5	07-28 13:52
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026	36	$250	190	115	+75	Yes	+$20	07-13 11:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	2	$233	311	61	+250	Yes	-$153	06-01 14:36
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	12	$213	371	0	+371	Yes	-$213	06-03 16:08
bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 6am et	85	$212	230	230	+0	Up	-$2	07-07 10:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	5	$207	110	110	+0	No	+$4	06-15 11:14
bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	42	$206	160	160	+0	Down	+$51	07-14 13:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$199	1,050	50	+1,000	Yes	-$119	06-16 12:19
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	9	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$3	06-10 08:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	5	$182	400	150	+250	Yes	-$70	06-11 14:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	77	$182	4,200	3,490	+710	open	—	10-18 22:31
bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 11am et	71	$179	365	365	+0	Down	+$10	07-13 15:45
bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 1pm et	110	$152	917	637	+280	Down	-$57	07-28 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 09:35 UTC	21	$135	150	105	+45	Down	-$2	07-06 09:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 16:35 UTC	18	$126	200	0	+200	Up	-$26	07-02 16:39
bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 12pm et	62	$125	890	890	+0	Down	-$2	07-13 16:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	137	$125	1,020	762	+258	No	-$24	08-25 13:47
will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	32	$112	81	81	+0	Yes	+$3	08-19 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 18:29:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x87bcb1…
11-01 17:29:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xb00cac…
11-01 15:38:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x16ec51…
11-01 05:48:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xb5a355…
11-01 05:46:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xf5c582…
11-01 01:20:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x801682…
10-31 23:02:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x82285d…
10-31 21:50:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xeefac4…
10-31 21:04:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xe51f4c…
10-30 19:07:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xf8b01a…
10-30 19:07:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x0661a3…
10-26 13:58:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x5c3a88…
10-26 13:55:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xe90fd9…
10-26 13:32:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x4e58d9…
10-26 09:20:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xebd120…
10-25 11:08:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x09e0ea…
10-25 09:15:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x2ac1b5…
10-24 20:32:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x78b052…
10-24 18:06:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x991d80…
10-24 17:18:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xb0f179…
10-22 03:57:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xe90d7a…
10-21 16:38:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3ff84f…
10-21 16:38:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x6ad870…
10-21 16:09:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6155df…
10-21 14:43:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x3904c0…
10-20 15:42:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xc722cb…
10-19 14:48:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x661698…
10-18 22:31:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x49b3cc…
10-18 20:15:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xe2180f…
10-17 16:48:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xb3c3d2…
10-15 11:57:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xfae79d…
10-15 03:34:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x8fd4f4…
10-15 00:09:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x89ab5f…
10-13 10:58:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x0583c4…
10-11 10:02:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x05ea54…
10-10 01:18:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xe13b34…
10-09 15:50:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x5a7053…
10-09 15:50:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xf101f7…
10-09 15:50:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xcf78ff…
10-09 15:50:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xade113…
10-09 15:50:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x9b38ee…
10-09 15:50:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x982ab8…
10-09 15:50:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x960be1…
10-09 15:50:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x5257a7…
10-09 15:50:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x4ce42d…
10-09 14:19:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x429ad3…
10-09 10:21:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xcde4fc…
10-08 21:43:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x890414…
10-08 19:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x54b8cc…
10-08 19:23:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x938105…
10-08 19:00:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x6291cc…
10-08 18:23:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xd25d95…
10-08 17:26:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xc4c032…
10-08 17:25:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x92b21d…
10-08 16:30:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xb9c674…
10-08 16:30:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x77fabc…
10-08 15:29:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x428943…
10-08 06:34:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x28ed5b…
10-08 04:29:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x95bd7c…
10-07 04:13:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xd6bbbe…
10-07 00:59:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x050107…
10-05 10:04:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xca739e…
10-04 16:14:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xbfb23f…
10-03 23:42:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x1740e1…
10-01 14:33:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xe1bac0…
09-27 20:14:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xd1eff2…
09-26 13:44:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x6a2d45…
09-26 13:40:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf12a9d…
09-25 00:27:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x63f402…
09-24 19:12:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xa4b40f…
09-24 16:16:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$2	0xfa5ece…
09-24 09:57:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x2d0b6b…
09-24 09:56:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x0a6a60…
09-24 03:42:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x49c8b7…
09-23 11:42:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xe42ca2…
09-23 05:53:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x291481…
09-22 22:13:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x6d91fc…
09-22 15:57:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x0a113c…
09-22 15:24:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xfc13b1…
09-22 00:34:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x433e22…
09-19 20:36:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x7d6397…
09-19 20:11:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x41ff13…
09-19 08:44:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5c3aaf…
09-19 02:07:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9e1c25…
09-18 14:24:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xfef117…
09-18 14:22:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x43ca9a…
09-18 14:15:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x2c7b34…
09-18 13:41:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xd291d7…
09-18 13:38:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x24861c…
09-18 08:12:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x4c49d1…
09-18 03:52:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x413d02…
09-17 17:20:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xeda02e…
09-17 17:18:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xee66e9…
09-17 12:35:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x9ca32e…
09-17 06:46:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x0e7f2c…
09-17 02:06:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x9b7408…
09-17 01:55:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf016cf…
09-16 21:17:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x2d4747…
09-15 23:08:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xd65e71…
09-15 23:07:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xb464ff…