Realized P&L
+$403
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
64.5%
Resolved
3,246
Trades
163,390
lifetime
Volume
$5.65M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$2.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-30 01:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 217 days
Categories
Other
48% 60% +$823
Sports
25% 67% +$843
Crypto
13% 68% -$407
Politics
12% 63% -$588
Tech
2% 52% -$321
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$54
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -200 -$194 98¢ $-196 -$2 06-10 09:42
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 08-15 21:00
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? No — -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 05-03 15:03
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 05-12 01:07
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 08-13 12:00
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$95 100¢ $-100 -$5 06-10 15:02
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$98 99¢ $-99 -$1 05-11 07:39
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No -100 -$96 99¢ $-99 -$3 05-06 16:35
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No -99 -$97 100¢ $-99 -$2 08-30 01:23
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 97¢ $-96 -$1 05-13 04:56
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? No -96 -$95 100¢ $-96 -$2 04-29 08:03
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -100 -$94 96¢ $-96 -$2 05-06 15:13
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$95 96¢ $-95 $0 05-21 11:10
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$94 95¢ $-95 -$1 06-01 17:25
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -100 -$80 94¢ $-94 -$14 05-18 17:23
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$99 95¢ $-94 +$4 06-10 08:08
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 95¢ $-94 +$2 05-31 21:58
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 94¢ $-94 +$3 07-06 01:18
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 93¢ $-93 +$4 06-10 09:43
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -86 -$85 99¢ $-85 +$0 06-15 01:09
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -82 -$74 97¢ $-80 -$5 06-10 09:43
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +68 $66 99¢ $68 +$2 06-14 02:09
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -40 -$39 90¢ $-36 +$3 06-01 16:31
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -33 -$33 96¢ $-32 +$1 06-08 00:07
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -23 -$22 92¢ $-21 +$1 06-12 11:21
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -11 -$10 78¢ $-8 +$2 04-30 21:57
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +8 $7 98¢ $8 +$1 07-02 01:31
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No -7 -$7 99¢ $-7 $0 05-11 02:22
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +4 $3 99¢ $4 +$1 06-06 10:01
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -2 $0 96¢ $-2 -$2 06-12 21:28