Realized P&L
-$625
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
480
Trades
1,265
lifetime
Volume
$14.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-03
last 11-01 21:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
99% 30% -$615
Politics
0% 2% -$6
Sports
0% 7% -$3
Crypto
0% 0% $0
Tech
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-29 17:52
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 09-15 18:00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-13 01:04
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-17 09:44
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-15 12:54
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-15 20:34
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-08 01:52
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-06 20:15
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-21 21:18
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-15 02:29
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-24 04:17
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-05 23:20
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-12 16:50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-17 14:20
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-10 05:10
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-10 21:51
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-06 15:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-10 11:16
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-13 21:17
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-08 01:55
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-06 19:47
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-08 09:04
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-17 02:56
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-23 00:57
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-30 22:52
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-31 10:50
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-19 22:22
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +15 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-16 23:56
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-19 00:46
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-09 17:29