Impassioned-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$101.9K

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

Trades

10,569

lifetime

Volume

$12.0M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.14K

Open exposure

$347.3K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-06 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$3,417

Politics

21% 50% $-33,233

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 543 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+193,615	$136,308	84¢	$163.6K	+$27,296	07-06 02:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	-125,376	$-198,341	100¢	$-125188	+$73,153	07-04 19:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	-32,602	$-31,050	96¢	$-31346	$-297	06-25 04:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+16,387	$12,551	88¢	$14.3K	+$1,787	06-20 14:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-7,124	$-6,126	88¢	$-6304	$-178	06-20 14:23
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?	No	-6,046	$-5,806	97¢	$-5847	$-40	06-24 12:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+773	$456	84¢	$645	+$189	06-01 03:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+97	$19	29¢	$28	+$8	07-05 00:00
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	-22	$-20	92¢	$-20	+$0	07-04 18:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1,046	$1.44M	702,676	819,363	-116,688	open	—	07-04 19:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1,274	$953.9K	545,745	453,494	+92,251	open	—	05-31 10:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	312	$606.5K	322,442	310,329	+12,113	open	—	05-16 14:44
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	227	$556.6K	460,774	96,683	+364,091	open	—	01-03 00:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	550	$521.0K	271,564	272,250	-686	open	—	04-28 16:53
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	222	$450.3K	392,413	65,049	+327,364	open	—	07-06 02:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	233	$401.2K	188,329	220,348	-32,019	open	—	06-17 16:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	214	$383.1K	165,860	226,269	-60,409	open	—	06-23 16:27
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	336	$360.2K	409,243	0	+409,243	open	—	07-06 01:11
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	159	$331.8K	255,000	78,694	+176,307	open	—	02-09 02:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	109	$299.4K	300,000	0	+300,000	open	—	03-03 17:30
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	325	$271.8K	150,455	126,833	+23,623	open	—	04-01 03:35
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	398	$270.8K	273,881	0	+273,881	open	—	03-30 13:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	111	$241.2K	142,671	112,648	+30,023	open	—	05-28 19:27
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	32	$238.7K	248,118	0	+248,118	open	—	03-17 17:45
Netanyahu out by April 30?	167	$231.0K	117,413	117,409	+4	open	—	04-22 16:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$228.6K	230,416	0	+230,416	open	—	06-01 02:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	118	$208.6K	105,846	105,840	+6	open	—	04-23 11:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	71	$155.6K	60,099	100,510	-40,411	open	—	06-29 04:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	130	$155.2K	159,660	0	+159,660	open	—	01-29 18:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	88	$148.9K	76,412	74,338	+2,074	open	—	04-29 02:55
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	56	$137.1K	137,413	0	+137,413	open	—	02-26 17:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	333	$136.3K	193,615	0	+193,615	open	—	07-06 02:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	105	$134.7K	69,978	66,711	+3,268	open	—	06-14 21:27
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	95	$132.8K	138,300	10,000	+128,300	open	—	04-22 00:53
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	91	$120.4K	125,375	0	+125,375	open	—	01-28 17:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	144	$117.1K	119,476	0	+119,476	open	—	04-30 06:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	129	$117.1K	60,000	59,998	+2	open	—	05-11 06:54
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	116	$112.3K	70,230	43,224	+27,006	open	—	04-22 19:58
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	107	$101.1K	102,246	0	+102,246	open	—	02-21 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 02:41:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	18,806	100¢	$18,750	0xcf7a00…
07-06 02:37:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9,231	85¢	$7,846	0x57aad3…
07-06 02:33:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x31cc45…
07-06 02:32:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x88ff01…
07-06 02:15:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x16e018…
07-06 02:02:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbd6ad5…
07-06 02:02:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x28e247…
07-06 01:34:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcbe791…
07-06 01:34:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfc45ca…
07-06 01:11:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xc1829f…
07-06 01:11:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xb963e2…
07-06 01:11:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	8,982	96¢	$8,622	0x880c4c…
07-06 00:17:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7c9ee0…
07-05 23:30:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x147af1…
07-05 23:30:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x70b700…
07-05 23:16:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfe38ba…
07-05 23:16:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa195f9…
07-05 23:16:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x555d0e…
07-05 23:01:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x10f557…
07-05 22:32:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa9c80a…
07-05 22:18:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb2d63c…
07-05 22:02:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8ced4a…
07-05 21:31:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x426a3b…
07-05 21:31:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4b085b…
07-05 21:15:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x74ded6…
07-05 21:15:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x507446…
07-05 21:03:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x45b27c…
07-05 19:21:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	2,250	100¢	$2,243	0x4c6a7a…
07-05 19:09:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x437451…
07-05 19:07:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	1,323	100¢	$1,319	0x3b7de5…
07-05 18:58:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	784	100¢	$782	0xc8d028…
07-05 17:42:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x3a8cb7…
07-05 17:02:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3444a9…
07-05 16:41:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	199	84¢	$167	0x6ed169…
07-05 16:40:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb377be…
07-05 15:37:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	174	96¢	$167	0x03a9d9…
07-05 14:58:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x431297…
07-05 14:54:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf1008f…
07-05 14:54:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xfb4640…
07-05 14:54:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf94597…
07-05 14:54:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbdc36d…
07-05 14:54:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	15,000	100¢	$14,955	0x7ba822…
07-05 14:54:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6c3f4e…
07-05 14:54:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x32c162…
07-05 14:54:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xcdc043…
07-05 14:54:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	5,139	100¢	$5,123	0x8f3336…
07-05 14:54:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0e3b02…
07-05 03:57:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	8,683	96¢	$8,336	0x282230…
07-05 01:47:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x5e0420…
07-05 01:47:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x51bad7…
07-05 01:47:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	575	96¢	$552	0xd8ab86…
07-05 01:47:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xd38963…
07-05 01:47:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xc7964e…
07-05 01:47:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	14,918	96¢	$14,322	0xb486f8…
07-05 01:47:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	994	96¢	$955	0xfc340e…
07-05 01:47:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,985	0x1224fb…
07-05 01:46:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	12,197	100¢	$12,160	0x487023…
07-05 01:38:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	4,066	100¢	$4,053	0xcf577d…
07-05 00:00:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xa9f29d…
07-04 23:06:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	67	20¢	$13	0x1b62e6…
07-04 21:57:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xdb5c37…
07-04 20:29:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,702	82¢	$2,216	0x826689…
07-04 20:27:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	17,000	82¢	$13,940	0x2800df…
07-04 20:27:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,592	95¢	$2,462	0x0772ef…
07-04 20:26:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf175cd…
07-04 20:23:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	111	82¢	$91	0x07368b…
07-04 20:20:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0xefac75…
07-04 20:19:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x37b1ab…
07-04 20:17:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,584	37¢	$586	0x345250…
07-04 20:17:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x8996bf…
07-04 20:10:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	53	82¢	$44	0x1c09c3…
07-04 20:08:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x4a0ed0…
07-04 19:59:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	83	82¢	$68	0xe22486…
07-04 19:50:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc55ccc…
07-04 19:50:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	71,000	81¢	$57,510	0xd0be98…
07-04 19:48:47	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	273	96¢	$262	0x648aaa…
07-04 19:48:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1,251	96¢	$1,201	0xf91741…
07-04 19:47:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	30,000	96¢	$28,800	0x1d6cdf…
07-04 19:46:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	91,515	100¢	$91,240	0xed3db2…
07-04 19:45:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	39	45¢	$18	0xd0f4b8…
07-04 19:45:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x9d01bf…
07-04 19:45:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x29a952…
07-04 19:45:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x17f1af…
07-04 19:44:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	66	82¢	$54	0x1f51e4…
07-04 19:44:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	27,149	82¢	$22,262	0x1d6510…
07-04 19:22:32	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x844edb…
07-04 19:10:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3eb530…
07-04 19:02:28	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x11fad5…
07-04 18:56:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x96081c…
07-04 18:36:14	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc1c00c…
07-04 18:12:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x5d3b0b…
07-04 18:09:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0xae7206…
07-04 18:08:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xeb35e4…
07-04 18:00:50	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0xc0fbe5…
07-04 17:48:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x71e6dd…
07-04 17:48:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xa0f723…
07-04 17:45:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x136057…
07-04 17:45:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xb19c99…
07-04 17:44:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,440	79¢	$1,928	0xd3865d…
07-04 17:42:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf77375…