Impassioned-Watch 0x0c0e27…d0434e
whale hot 26W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$544.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$23.3K
Hit rate
96.1%
Resolved
342
Trades
42,749
lifetime
Volume
$23.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$542
Open exposure
$1.40M
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 04:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
63% 88% +$468,489
Politics
27% 87% +$9,742
Crypto
7% 96% +$11,192
Sports
3% 95% +$54,980
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 408 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +475,209 $411,635 88¢ $415.8K +$4,173 10-11 14:17
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +319,515 $310,883 99¢ $317.1K +$6,236 10-26 23:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +237,139 $224,099 100¢ $236.3K +$12,210 10-26 00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +115,881 $106,026 94¢ $108.9K +$2,902 10-15 06:23
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +34,540 $34,032 100¢ $34.5K +$422 06-20 00:02
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +34,877 $34,249 98¢ $34.2K -$70 10-27 01:23
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +32,449 $25,641 89¢ $28.8K +$3,125 10-22 03:17
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +31,199 $21,840 68¢ $21.1K -$780 10-25 22:23
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by october 31 2026 No +15,463 $14,563 99¢ $15.4K +$815 10-25 23:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +15,211 $13,690 92¢ $14.1K +$380 10-27 03:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +13,277 $12,049 94¢ $12.5K +$498 10-15 05:29
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +12,856 $11,350 96¢ $12.3K +$973 10-22 01:47
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? No +11,321 $10,825 100¢ $11.3K +$451 10-26 21:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +11,556 $11,094 96¢ $11.2K +$58 10-27 01:26
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +11,654 $10,588 94¢ $10.9K +$308 10-12 11:05
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -26,000 -$8,452 38¢ $-9932 -$1,480 06-19 00:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +10,000 $9,650 96¢ $9.6K -$50 10-27 05:04
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -50,129 -$8,290 19¢ $-9600 -$1,310 06-19 00:32
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +9,104 $8,949 99¢ $9.0K +$50 10-26 23:54
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +10,520 $8,927 86¢ $9.0K +$68 10-27 01:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +8,464 $8,353 100¢ $8.4K +$77 10-25 23:53
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -14,207 -$7,401 58¢ $-8311 -$910 10-02 11:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -49,932 -$11,516 17¢ $-8264 +$3,252 06-30 16:38
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +21,286 $7,843 38¢ $8.2K +$352 10-20 22:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +7,766 $7,743 100¢ $7.8K +$23 10-27 01:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -44,540 -$4,093 16¢ $-7327 -$3,234 06-21 03:21
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -44,540 -$3,973 15¢ $-6525 -$2,552 06-22 12:42
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -50,128 -$2,627 13¢ $-6517 -$3,890 06-29 03:09
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +9,000 $6,300 68¢ $6.1K -$180 10-24 08:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -50,128 -$7,172 12¢ $-5815 +$1,358 07-02 01:09