Impassioned-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

Trades

11,630

lifetime

Volume

$14.3M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.23K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-26 08:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$3,417

Politics

21% 50% $-33,233

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1,046	$1.44M	702,676	819,363	-116,688	open	—	07-04 19:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	500	$1.03M	540,636	542,180	-1,543	open	—	07-14 04:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1,274	$953.9K	545,745	453,494	+92,251	open	—	05-31 10:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	230	$776.8K	392,413	392,413	+0	open	—	07-07 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	759	$675.3K	651,075	103,734	+547,341	open	—	07-24 18:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	312	$606.5K	322,442	310,329	+12,113	open	—	05-16 14:44
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	227	$556.6K	460,774	96,683	+364,091	open	—	01-03 00:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	550	$521.0K	271,564	272,250	-686	open	—	04-28 16:53
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	233	$401.2K	188,329	220,348	-32,019	open	—	06-17 16:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	214	$383.1K	165,860	226,269	-60,409	open	—	06-23 16:27
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	159	$331.8K	255,000	78,694	+176,307	open	—	02-09 02:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	109	$299.4K	300,000	0	+300,000	open	—	03-03 17:30
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	325	$271.8K	150,455	126,833	+23,623	open	—	04-01 03:35
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	398	$270.8K	273,881	0	+273,881	open	—	03-30 13:48
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	24	$263.3K	294,484	0	+294,484	open	—	07-15 21:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	111	$241.2K	142,671	112,648	+30,023	open	—	05-28 19:27
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	32	$238.7K	248,118	0	+248,118	open	—	03-17 17:45
Netanyahu out by April 30?	167	$231.0K	117,413	117,409	+4	open	—	04-22 16:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$228.6K	230,416	0	+230,416	open	—	06-01 02:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	118	$208.6K	105,846	105,840	+6	open	—	04-23 11:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	71	$155.6K	60,099	100,510	-40,411	open	—	06-29 04:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	130	$155.2K	159,660	0	+159,660	open	—	01-29 18:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	88	$148.9K	76,412	74,338	+2,074	open	—	04-29 02:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	99	$139.7K	160,992	1,610	+159,382	open	—	07-25 02:59
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	56	$137.1K	137,413	0	+137,413	open	—	02-26 17:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	105	$134.7K	69,978	66,711	+3,268	open	—	06-14 21:27
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	95	$132.8K	138,300	10,000	+128,300	open	—	04-22 00:53
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	43	$130.9K	72,356	64,522	+7,834	open	—	07-14 17:58
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	91	$120.4K	125,375	0	+125,375	open	—	01-28 17:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	144	$117.1K	119,476	0	+119,476	open	—	04-30 06:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 08:36:27	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	4,158	99¢	$4,133	0x995c59…
07-25 19:07:43	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	840	99¢	$835	0xa681b0…
07-25 17:50:18	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2,894	99¢	$2,874	0xf6b1d1…
07-25 08:55:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10,400	48¢	$4,992	0xc28640…
07-25 05:28:21	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x5825af…
07-25 04:44:04	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x1b6eb0…
07-25 03:04:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,813	78¢	$1,414	0x8cea3c…
07-25 03:03:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	3,187	78¢	$2,486	0x740faf…
07-25 02:59:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,309	89¢	$1,165	0xd58d05…
07-25 02:25:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0xfc277e…
07-25 02:12:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	273	89¢	$243	0x6e0c57…
07-25 02:00:03	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	604	99¢	$600	0xa4de09…
07-25 01:58:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	85	89¢	$76	0x1af20c…
07-25 01:27:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	64	89¢	$57	0xc340f3…
07-25 01:24:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcca279…
07-25 01:24:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xddc676…
07-25 01:18:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5c07ed…
07-25 01:17:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x89916c…
07-25 00:59:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xf0d0fa…
07-25 00:58:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x4ebdd5…
07-25 00:44:15	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$993	0xca94a4…
07-25 00:33:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x2a2766…
07-25 00:05:09	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x30a2b4…
07-24 23:38:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x797335…
07-24 22:25:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x233979…
07-24 22:18:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7b4bd9…
07-24 22:17:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x7f6ffd…
07-24 22:03:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x5caf33…
07-24 21:17:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x22409c…
07-24 20:48:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x0a8b29…
07-24 20:47:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	65	89¢	$58	0x0b6a4c…
07-24 20:42:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x195260…
07-24 20:42:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0xe46a7c…
07-24 20:42:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x2356af…
07-24 20:42:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x4f7073…
07-24 20:42:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	73	89¢	$65	0xbf1722…
07-24 20:10:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc7123a…
07-24 19:29:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0xa79de5…
07-24 18:55:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe4f72c…
07-24 18:34:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	15,046	99¢	$14,956	0x3972a3…
07-24 18:31:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0x79b520…
07-24 18:31:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7d11ef…
07-24 18:29:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb37bba…
07-24 18:29:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x61bfed…
07-24 18:18:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	14,663	99¢	$14,575	0x5f60c0…
07-24 18:18:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x48293f…
07-24 18:18:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xffe4d0…
07-24 18:15:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d5ab0…
07-24 18:15:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	417	99¢	$414	0xe602dc…
07-24 18:08:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	909	89¢	$809	0x97f545…
07-24 17:57:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x336743…
07-24 17:57:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	292	99¢	$290	0x90d74f…
07-24 17:49:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb7c16d…
07-24 17:47:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe0ae3e…
07-24 17:40:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x752713…
07-24 17:40:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	302	99¢	$300	0x4949ba…
07-24 17:36:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	109	89¢	$97	0x48f049…
07-24 17:24:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7d916a…
07-24 17:23:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd83f7c…
07-24 17:23:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2fbfe2…
07-24 17:18:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf51c7b…
07-24 17:18:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x92feed…
07-24 17:02:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc98ae0…
07-24 17:02:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xeaaef2…
07-24 16:54:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeb21ac…
07-24 16:54:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe28afa…
07-24 16:47:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xd16d41…
07-24 16:46:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xca3134…
07-24 16:46:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xdc4c32…
07-24 16:46:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x2025c7…
07-24 16:46:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3,998	89¢	$3,558	0x07604d…
07-24 16:44:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe53416…
07-24 16:44:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe1b735…
07-24 16:41:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x94235e…
07-24 16:39:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee339b…
07-24 16:39:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2c06b…
07-24 16:39:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x80d230…
07-24 16:35:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x1b5fd5…
07-24 16:22:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	58	89¢	$51	0xbf636f…
07-24 16:21:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5,036	99¢	$5,001	0xf92389…
07-24 16:21:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x710327…
07-24 16:20:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x9e278d…
07-24 16:20:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x708cd7…
07-24 16:20:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	23,048	89¢	$20,513	0x99d151…
07-24 16:20:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf33fbf…
07-24 16:20:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	16,450	99¢	$16,334	0xe1ace4…
07-24 16:17:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0xa5bf03…
07-24 16:08:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5,000	88¢	$4,400	0x21618f…
07-24 15:22:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xaac2c0…
07-24 15:18:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0xf2c047…
07-24 15:18:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x7ecae0…
07-24 15:18:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10,000	88¢	$8,800	0xe40ff6…
07-24 15:18:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x618d9c…
07-24 14:51:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9dcfb1…
07-24 14:51:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x268a62…
07-24 13:38:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x6eaab2…
07-24 11:15:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	167	88¢	$147	0x1da23f…
07-24 10:45:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xff1f77…
07-24 10:26:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x1f3f85…
07-24 08:42:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,500	88¢	$1,320	0x5dfe4a…