Impassioned-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

Trades

12,409

lifetime

Volume

$15.8M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.27K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-14 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$3,417

Politics

21% 50% $-33,233

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1,046	$1.44M	702,676	819,363	-116,688	open	—	07-04 19:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	889	$1.25M	651,075	677,095	-26,020	open	—	07-29 20:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	500	$1.03M	540,636	542,180	-1,543	open	—	07-14 04:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1,274	$953.9K	545,745	453,494	+92,251	open	—	05-31 10:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	230	$776.8K	392,413	392,413	+0	open	—	07-07 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	312	$606.5K	322,442	310,329	+12,113	open	—	05-16 14:44
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	227	$556.6K	460,774	96,683	+364,091	open	—	01-03 00:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	550	$521.0K	271,564	272,250	-686	open	—	04-28 16:53
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	45	$426.2K	372,484	86,910	+285,574	open	—	08-14 02:15
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	271	$410.6K	425,537	31,675	+393,863	open	—	08-13 12:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	233	$401.2K	188,329	220,348	-32,019	open	—	06-17 16:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	214	$383.1K	165,860	226,269	-60,409	open	—	06-23 16:27
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	159	$331.8K	255,000	78,694	+176,307	open	—	02-09 02:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	109	$299.4K	300,000	0	+300,000	open	—	03-03 17:30
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	325	$271.8K	150,455	126,833	+23,623	open	—	04-01 03:35
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	398	$270.8K	273,881	0	+273,881	open	—	03-30 13:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	111	$241.2K	142,671	112,648	+30,023	open	—	05-28 19:27
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	32	$238.7K	248,118	0	+248,118	open	—	03-17 17:45
Netanyahu out by April 30?	167	$231.0K	117,413	117,409	+4	open	—	04-22 16:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$228.6K	230,416	0	+230,416	open	—	06-01 02:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	118	$208.6K	105,846	105,840	+6	open	—	04-23 11:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	62	$198.8K	84,537	116,347	-31,810	open	—	08-09 22:42
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	92	$172.0K	79,617	98,395	-18,778	open	—	08-13 01:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	71	$155.6K	60,099	100,510	-40,411	open	—	06-29 04:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	130	$155.2K	159,660	0	+159,660	open	—	01-29 18:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	88	$148.9K	76,412	74,338	+2,074	open	—	04-29 02:55
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	56	$137.1K	137,413	0	+137,413	open	—	02-26 17:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	105	$134.7K	69,978	66,711	+3,268	open	—	06-14 21:27
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	95	$132.8K	138,300	10,000	+128,300	open	—	04-22 00:53
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	177	$120.5K	131,709	0	+131,709	open	—	08-13 19:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 19:48:31	us iran final nuclear deal by november 30 2026	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xbd7955…
08-14 23:00:27	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	9,966	94¢	$9,368	0xce48df…
08-14 20:32:54	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	10,000	94¢	$9,400	0x78063f…
08-14 18:30:39	us iran final nuclear deal by november 30 2026	No	BUY	922	88¢	$811	0xb0e385…
08-14 15:24:51	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x1980e2…
08-14 13:54:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	No	BUY	1,009	92¢	$928	0x3a5643…
08-14 02:15:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0x909774…
08-14 02:14:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	576	100¢	$574	0xd1182c…
08-14 02:00:42	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1,111	100¢	$1,107	0x833545…
08-14 01:59:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	2,222	100¢	$2,213	0x9f1473…
08-13 22:50:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	No	BUY	139	92¢	$128	0x91d30b…
08-13 21:44:27	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7e010e…
08-13 19:12:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x591eb5…
08-13 18:20:36	us iran final nuclear deal by november 30 2026	No	BUY	1,928	85¢	$1,639	0xf5495a…
08-13 18:20:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa9ffda…
08-13 18:20:19	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x3c8bae…
08-13 18:20:18	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0xc9dcee…
08-13 18:20:13	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdec994…
08-13 18:20:13	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x27830a…
08-13 18:20:12	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	298	79¢	$235	0xb4eeed…
08-13 18:20:10	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	137	80¢	$109	0x9da7c6…
08-13 18:20:09	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x88296c…
08-13 18:20:09	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	52	80¢	$42	0x1d368a…
08-13 18:20:07	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7d0a12…
08-13 18:20:07	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x6827db…
08-13 18:20:07	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	80	80¢	$64	0x5f2d84…
08-13 18:20:07	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x29412d…
08-13 18:20:06	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	6,137	80¢	$4,909	0xfe1837…
08-13 18:20:03	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x5a6aba…
08-13 18:20:00	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa1e042…
08-13 18:19:58	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x838a10…
08-13 18:19:58	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x763e78…
08-13 18:19:58	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x31fc9d…
08-13 18:19:58	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	276	79¢	$218	0x16bc26…
08-13 18:19:57	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x8e9dae…
08-13 18:19:57	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	36	79¢	$29	0x049818…
08-13 18:19:55	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	2,162	79¢	$1,708	0xaee58b…
08-13 18:19:55	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0784c9…
08-13 18:19:12	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	900	92¢	$828	0x4b257c…
08-13 15:56:57	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x5b78c7…
08-13 15:56:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x711ea1…
08-13 15:56:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x018e61…
08-13 15:21:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbf3f5b…
08-13 15:21:19	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2bc366…
08-13 14:17:24	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x446097…
08-13 14:09:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xe88838…
08-13 14:09:10	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xd419b0…
08-13 14:09:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x14a6d0…
08-13 12:16:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	144	97¢	$140	0xb65df4…
08-13 12:15:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$973	0x790229…
08-13 12:11:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	20,000	97¢	$19,460	0xee3c8c…
08-13 11:56:36	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0xf3a7c1…
08-13 11:37:18	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0x366afb…
08-13 11:00:42	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xee760f…
08-13 10:56:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xf52f43…
08-13 10:56:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x24815a…
08-13 10:26:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xe12d00…
08-13 10:26:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xed9396…
08-13 10:25:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x96cca7…
08-13 10:22:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x166b76…
08-13 10:17:39	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	667	99¢	$657	0x4dc520…
08-13 10:04:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	667	99¢	$657	0x022584…
08-13 09:56:30	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa2c34b…
08-13 09:51:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x62b463…
08-13 09:25:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x7aa6db…
08-13 09:24:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xb58380…
08-13 09:24:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	667	99¢	$657	0x677c7f…
08-13 09:24:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x1db7a8…
08-13 09:20:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,500	97¢	$2,432	0xc7b81d…
08-13 09:14:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x0bfe00…
08-13 09:14:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x287d7d…
08-13 09:14:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xaffa69…
08-13 09:09:34	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x4ba4ca…
08-13 09:05:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6dc2d9…
08-13 08:49:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xad497d…
08-13 08:49:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x097935…
08-13 08:49:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xe78d1d…
08-13 08:48:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x7ac523…
08-13 08:48:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1d33b1…
08-13 08:48:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x6ad44c…
08-13 08:47:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x918c33…
08-13 08:47:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0xb9be7b…
08-13 08:47:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9009c1…
08-13 08:47:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x8ad3d8…
08-13 08:47:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xa71965…
08-13 08:46:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x911ee0…
08-13 08:46:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x6c9f25…
08-13 08:46:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x7be223…
08-13 08:46:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0xc0c50c…
08-13 08:45:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xacc81e…
08-13 08:45:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x020980…
08-13 08:45:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xc4225f…
08-13 08:45:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x2099c0…
08-13 08:45:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xce267d…
08-13 08:44:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xa88364…
08-13 08:43:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xd6c123…
08-13 08:43:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xaec638…
08-13 08:43:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x4a82f9…
08-13 08:43:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x46e65c…
08-13 08:43:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x444934…