Realized P&L (90d)
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
21
21 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$217
$217 lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$193
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 02:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
63%
Other
24%
Sports
8%
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -32 $-32 99¢ $-32 $-0 05-05 00:50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +28 $26 94¢ $26 +$0 05-05 00:39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +23 $21 92¢ $21 +$0 05-05 00:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No +15 $15 97¢ $15 $-0 05-05 23:15
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -12 $-12 99¢ $-12 $-0 05-06 00:33
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Yes +12 $12 98¢ $12 +$0 05-04 21:29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +18 $11 61¢ $11 $-0 05-05 21:00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -22 $-9 39¢ $-9 $-0 05-06 00:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +44 $8 17¢ $7 $-0 05-05 12:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +9 $7 79¢ $7 $-0 05-05 05:45
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Yes -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 05-04 20:39
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -7 $-6 85¢ $-6 $-0 05-06 02:18
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 05-06 02:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No -6 $-6 95¢ $-6 +$0 05-04 20:39
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? No +6 $6 91¢ $5 $-0 05-05 16:42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -6 $-5 83¢ $-5 $-0 05-04 21:04
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 05-05 00:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 05-06 01:14