Frail-Granny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

5,161

lifetime

Volume

$1.06M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$205

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-10 06:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

85% 83% $-1

Politics

8% — —

Sports

6% 67% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	107	$37.1K	19,468	22,721	-3,254	open	—	03-29 20:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	107	$31.9K	16,919	16,647	+273	open	—	04-30 06:48
will ukraine re enter novomykolaivka by march 31	14	$17.7K	13,135	4,826	+8,309	open	—	03-08 18:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	44	$16.4K	10,882	5,850	+5,032	open	—	06-01 20:35
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 125m and 150m views in its first 7 days	41	$15.6K	7,716	8,043	-327	open	—	02-14 12:49
will mrbeasts next video get less than 69 million views on day 4	58	$13.0K	7,407	5,658	+1,749	open	—	03-25 13:35
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	17	$12.9K	10,775	3,199	+7,576	open	—	03-22 15:16
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	51	$12.7K	9,861	7,212	+2,649	open	—	03-14 01:37
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 50m and 75m views in its first 7 days	39	$12.4K	6,269	6,269	+0	open	—	02-12 05:58
will sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	50	$12.0K	4,834	7,200	-2,366	open	—	02-10 12:51
will mrbeasts next video get 76 million or more views on day 6	123	$11.6K	7,000	4,853	+2,148	open	—	03-13 11:59
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	14	$11.6K	5,841	5,841	+0	open	—	02-20 19:30
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	36	$11.2K	8,255	3,089	+5,167	open	—	01-08 21:44
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2	25	$11.2K	6,099	5,099	+1,000	open	—	03-23 13:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	17	$11.1K	4,714	6,444	-1,730	open	—	05-14 19:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 437	25	$11.0K	5,557	5,487	+70	open	—	01-08 15:42
will mrbeasts next video get less than 20 million views on day 1 535	7	$10.9K	5,537	5,537	+0	open	—	03-07 20:08
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 974	54	$10.5K	4,520	6,028	-1,507	open	—	01-12 06:29
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	52	$10.5K	6,289	6,260	+30	open	—	03-12 16:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	27	$10.0K	5,628	4,414	+1,214	open	—	06-19 05:58
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	27	$9.9K	4,902	5,000	-98	open	—	02-10 22:52
will mrbeasts next video get less than 75 million views on day 5	22	$9.6K	5,227	5,227	+0	open	—	03-26 04:42
will mrbeasts next video get 38pt0 million or more views on day 5	42	$9.5K	5,320	4,160	+1,160	open	—	02-26 08:36
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	14	$9.3K	4,678	4,678	+0	open	—	05-11 06:27
will mrbeasts next video get between 46 and 49 million views on day 3	44	$9.3K	5,806	3,580	+2,226	open	—	03-09 21:32
will russia capture zaliznychne by february 28	5	$8.5K	4,543	3,940	+603	open	—	02-22 02:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 222	7	$8.4K	3,244	5,244	-2,000	open	—	01-08 15:58
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	55	$8.4K	8,915	8,598	+316	open	—	03-14 14:52
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get at least 150m views in its first 7 days	71	$8.2K	3,829	4,429	-600	open	—	02-14 01:53
will mrbeasts next video get between 38pt0 and 38pt5 million views on day 6	32	$8.2K	5,556	2,691	+2,865	open	—	02-27 04:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 06:51:39	will open dip to 1 75 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x1e3b11…
08-10 06:50:54	will open dip to 1 75 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xa45895…
08-10 06:16:54	will mrbeast hit 138pt5 billion views by august 31 20260731213821976	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa71df1…
08-10 06:00:48	will mrbeast hit 140pt5 billion views by august 31 20260731213821980	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x29daa5…
08-10 05:52:28	will kai or speed die to a slime 20260808122810984	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x170d3b…
08-10 02:23:22	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9d8a37…
08-10 00:23:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	314	57¢	$179	0x673fd4…
08-09 06:03:55	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x5de9fb…
08-09 06:03:12	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xcdd7a2…
08-09 06:00:18	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x7bf14a…
08-08 16:09:39	will mrbeast say subscribe or subscribed during his next youtube video 20260729175811875	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7a768…
08-08 16:09:30	will mrbeast say ai or artificial intelligence during his next youtube video 20260729175811877	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xde3462…
08-08 16:07:16	will mrbeast say subscribe or subscribed during his next youtube video 20260729175811875	No	BUY	1,802	100¢	$1,800	0x33d56d…
08-08 16:06:12	will mrbeast say chandler during his next youtube video 20260729175811873	No	BUY	302	100¢	$302	0x55bb27…
08-08 16:05:49	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xac1cb6…
08-08 16:05:04	will mrbeast say insane during his next youtube video 20260729175811868	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x46d562…
08-08 16:04:25	will mrbeast say wedding or married during his next youtube video 20260729175811864	No	BUY	54	88¢	$48	0xaa9018…
08-08 16:04:12	will mrbeast say wife during his next youtube video 20260729175811863	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0xd955ba…
08-08 16:03:28	will mrbeast say contestant during his next youtube video 20260729175811876	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa583c1…
08-08 16:03:07	will mrbeast say subscribe or subscribed during his next youtube video 20260729175811875	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0xcaa4cf…
08-08 16:02:18	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	No	BUY	701	98¢	$687	0x1e3f76…
08-08 16:01:46	will mrbeast say wife during his next youtube video 20260729175811863	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x7911e1…
08-08 16:01:15	will mrbeast say wedding or married during his next youtube video 20260729175811864	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa7b912…
08-08 15:58:01	will mrbeast say wedding or married during his next youtube video 20260729175811864	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0xeed294…
08-08 04:54:37	will mrbeast hit 516 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401397	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x56b7d3…
08-08 04:51:04	will mrbeast hit 516 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401397	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x8a21d8…
08-08 04:39:37	will mrbeast hit 516 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401397	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x9248ab…
08-08 04:08:21	will mrbeast say subscribe or subscribed during his next youtube video 20260729175811875	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x829ecc…
08-08 02:27:40	will mrbeast hit 515 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401396	Yes	BUY	263	96¢	$252	0x55ac95…
08-06 07:24:33	will solana dip to 50 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$13	0x8310cd…
08-06 04:37:02	will solana dip to 50 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0xdc4863…
08-05 01:28:26	atp tiafoe cilic 2026 08 04	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5db669…
08-05 01:17:41	atp tiafoe cilic 2026 08 04	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf6aa8c…
08-03 01:27:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	300	41¢	$123	0xf0834f…
08-03 00:10:59	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xdda8a6…
08-03 00:04:54	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	288	50¢	$145	0x3bf2f6…
08-02 16:15:27	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xb94098…
08-02 01:47:41	will mrbeast hit 140 billion views by august 31 20260731213821979	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xa175ca…
08-02 01:47:30	will mrbeast hit 141 billion views by august 31 20260731213821981	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xb23798…
08-02 01:43:41	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401400	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x795121…
08-02 01:43:33	will mrbeast hit 522 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401401	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x5635da…
08-01 10:12:33	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x16af55…
08-01 02:31:06	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013251723	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x47b1f9…
08-01 02:30:14	will mrbeast hit 141 billion views by august 31 20260731213821981	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0xed2703…
08-01 02:19:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xff81c2…
08-01 02:15:54	will no mrbeast gaming video be posted 20260713152829412	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7e56ce…
08-01 02:15:48	will mrbeast say chocolate during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829403	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3d1824…
08-01 02:15:39	will mrbeast say roblox during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723135	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7e3cce…
08-01 02:15:33	will mrbeast say roblox during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723135	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x019002…
08-01 01:58:51	will no mrbeast gaming video be posted 20260713152829412	Yes	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x6592dc…
08-01 01:58:45	will mrbeast say dream during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829411	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x936234…
08-01 01:58:27	will mrbeast say chandler during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829408	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0xde4adc…
08-01 01:58:15	will mrbeast say build during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829400	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xf09b75…
08-01 01:58:09	will mrbeast say trap during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829401	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x30b52b…
08-01 01:58:03	will mrbeast say chocolate during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829403	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x60b954…
08-01 01:57:56	will mrbeast say race during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829398	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x5b96ce…
08-01 01:57:48	will mrbeast say roblox during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723135	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x9b3316…
08-01 01:57:41	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723131	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xe2d9a6…
08-01 01:57:36	will mrbeast say minecraft during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723133	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x496de2…
08-01 01:57:32	will mrbeast say dollar 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829393	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb0e901…
08-01 01:56:11	carles puigdemont back in spain in 2026 20260625011546952	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe329e9…
08-01 01:37:50	will mrbeast say dollar 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829393	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0ac664…
08-01 01:37:23	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd22d78…
08-01 01:25:09	will mrbeast say best during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829407	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x80c4e5…
08-01 01:24:53	will mrbeast say dollar 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829393	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x3fe4e2…
08-01 01:24:02	will mrbeast say dollar 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829393	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x4e1456…
08-01 01:23:44	will mrbeast say dollar 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829393	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xfa1939…
08-01 01:23:39	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723131	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x625491…
08-01 00:57:32	val eg2 mibr 2026 07 31	MIBR	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x445f9a…
07-31 23:43:36	will mrbeast say dollar 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829393	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5d450…
07-31 23:43:32	will mrbeast say minecraft during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723133	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x464389…
07-30 13:08:23	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xdd795d…
07-30 12:56:51	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3a16e8…
07-30 00:50:54	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xbfc4a7…
07-30 00:50:44	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xd2d6ce…
07-30 00:49:53	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x28284d…
07-30 00:06:08	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x29417e…
07-27 02:49:28	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	230	20¢	$46	0xa69562…
07-26 23:59:00	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x440f13…
07-26 06:11:21	will solana dip to 50 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	400	27¢	$108	0x373689…
07-26 01:20:42	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0x5cb1d0…
07-24 16:27:43	will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x1bbc15…
07-24 16:27:36	will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x9917d5…
07-24 16:07:49	val ts3 t1 2026 07 25	T1	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xa28bd8…
07-24 16:03:25	val tl1 fnc1 2026 07 24	Fnatic	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x174018…
07-24 16:01:22	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xf1e6b3…
07-24 03:08:43	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	281	6¢	$17	0xa72da3…
07-24 02:54:52	btc updown 5m 1784861700	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xcf0307…
07-23 23:40:33	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xc69c21…
07-23 14:16:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	305	28¢	$85	0x0b7a1c…
07-23 14:06:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	28¢	$27	0x2e5eae…
07-23 02:24:07	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x393ef9…
07-23 02:24:03	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x4a5987…
07-23 02:19:58	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x9db00c…
07-23 02:19:54	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xb36564…
07-23 02:00:06	will no mrbeast gaming video be posted 20260713152829412	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7fcc2e…
07-22 22:40:13	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by september 30 2026 358	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe5099a…
07-22 22:38:55	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by september 30 2026 358	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0x216189…
07-22 22:38:24	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7ca66c…
07-22 22:38:01	will russia enter svitle by september 30	Yes	BUY	168	97¢	$163	0xb37d37…