Grand-Reasoning 0x54b561…924b31
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$56.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.71K
Hit rate
56.8%
Resolved
51
Trades
49,645
lifetime
Volume
$8.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$163
Open exposure
$7.15K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 13:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
44% 33% +$594
Other
36% 55% $-608
Sports
17% 49% +$56,639
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 981 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -4,814 $-3,466 84¢ $-4020 $-554 05-28 05:00
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -768 $-534 100¢ $-767 $-233 06-02 20:43
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +5,000 $995 15¢ $725 $-270 06-18 19:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,500 $946 41¢ $615 $-331 06-26 14:56
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -500 $-251 76¢ $-380 $-129 06-12 17:49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +2,000 $510 16¢ $330 $-180 06-17 22:53
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,992 $229 8¢ $169 $-60 06-17 04:17
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +500 $210 14¢ $70 $-140 06-01 13:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +160 $597 30¢ $47 $-550 06-19 19:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +5,101 $-157 0¢ $13 +$169 06-19 20:53
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +5,000 $724 0¢ $10 $-714 06-19 20:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -2,959 $-289 0¢ $-7 +$281 06-12 18:29