Grand-Reasoning 0x54b561…924b31
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$56.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.13K
Hit rate
56.8%
Resolved
51
Trades
53,151
lifetime
Volume
$8.84M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$166
Open exposure
$6.66K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 20:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
41% 33% +$594
Other
40% 55% $-608
Sports
17% 49% +$56,639
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 982 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -4,814 $-3,466 76¢ $-3683 $-217 05-28 05:00
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +8,000 $1,355 14¢ $1.1K $-275 07-01 19:25
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -500 $-251 81¢ $-405 $-154 06-12 17:49
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $380 12¢ $375 $-5 07-19 17:44
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -800 $-355 36¢ $-288 +$67 07-19 20:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +2,000 $510 12¢ $250 $-260 06-17 22:53
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +2,992 $299 8¢ $224 $-75 07-08 18:34
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -500 $-113 32¢ $-158 $-45 07-14 16:30
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -200 $-120 60¢ $-119 +$1 07-18 01:18
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +500 $210 8¢ $40 $-170 06-01 13:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -102 $-32 32¢ $-33 $-2 07-18 05:37