Several-Pass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$226

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-27 18:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 40% $-19

Crypto

17% — —

Politics

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No		+131	$130	99¢	$130	+$0	06-27 02:50
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No		+111	$83	86¢	$96	+$13	06-13 07:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	28	$2.1K	4,690	4,399	+291	open	—	04-21 12:00
spy up or down on april 21 2026	85	$1.5K	2,463	2,378	+84	open	—	04-21 11:03
spx up or down on april 21 2026	41	$1.2K	1,900	2,100	-200	open	—	04-21 11:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	32	$790	1,613	1,613	+0	open	—	04-21 08:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	14	$703	710	710	+0	Up	$-35	05-06 08:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$627	878	0	+878	open	—	05-06 10:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$498	0	500	-500	open	—	06-03 02:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$480	500	0	+500	open	—	05-06 09:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	3	$461	496	0	+496	open	—	05-06 09:13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?	6	$441	1,658	1,658	+0	open	—	06-03 07:05
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	2	$400	401	0	+401	open	—	01-28 16:51
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	18	$382	1,300	1,300	+0	Up	$-62	05-06 09:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	7	$378	3,779	3,779	+0	open	—	06-03 05:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	15	$301	739	118	+621	Yes	+$74	05-06 09:00
Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$212	0	213	-213	open	—	06-27 18:30
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$174	202	0	+202	open	—	02-27 11:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	7	$148	370	570	-200	No	+$17	05-06 08:58
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	1	$130	131	0	+131	open	—	06-27 02:50
spy closes above 710 on april 21 2026	2	$92	100	98	+2	open	—	04-21 07:02
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	1	$83	111	0	+111	open	—	06-13 07:41
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	9	$39	516	905	-390	Up	$-13	05-06 10:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$26	8,829	0	+8,829	open	—	02-27 11:12
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$8	2,057	2,057	+0	open	—	04-08 09:57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 18:30:56	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$212	0x7211e0…
06-27 02:50:47	StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xdaf2dc…
06-13 07:41:12	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	BUY	111	75¢	$83	0x23d619…
06-03 07:06:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x875092…
06-03 07:05:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?	Yes	SELL	58	15¢	$8	0x7a86df…
06-03 05:45:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x16ce14…
06-03 05:22:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?	Yes	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0x9b360e…
06-03 05:19:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1,340	5¢	$67	0x5ebe75…
06-03 05:17:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	Yes	SELL	570	5¢	$28	0xd9269e…
06-03 05:15:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	Yes	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0x9e0537…
06-03 05:09:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1,500	5¢	$75	0x166439…
06-03 04:23:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?	Yes	SELL	800	14¢	$112	0xe3f1b6…
06-03 04:23:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1,709	5¢	$85	0xa22774…
06-03 03:52:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?	Yes	SELL	94	13¢	$12	0x952994…
06-03 03:52:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?	Yes	SELL	706	13¢	$92	0x70e97e…
06-03 03:51:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x18ab9a…
06-03 02:50:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?	Yes	BUY	1,600	13¢	$208	0x3549e7…
06-03 02:47:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	Yes	BUY	2,279	5¢	$114	0xa782da…
06-03 02:43:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x9a73b4…
05-06 10:51:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	178	73¢	$130	0x37e9ca…
05-06 10:15:18	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	700	1¢	$7	0xe7d4b1…
05-06 09:45:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	700	71¢	$497	0xbcfa7e…
05-06 09:17:50	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb9b0de…
05-06 09:13:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xb78f11…
05-06 09:12:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x780455…
05-06 09:09:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x91d66a…
05-06 09:08:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	196	93¢	$182	0x4b7586…
05-06 09:02:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xe96240…
05-06 09:01:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	253	8¢	$20	0x6f90c4…
05-06 09:00:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	29	26¢	$8	0xb8892b…
05-06 09:00:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x5e711d…
05-06 09:00:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xeb66e6…
05-06 08:59:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x26abbe…
05-06 08:58:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	233	11¢	$26	0xd65b1c…
05-06 08:58:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xead390…
05-06 08:58:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xa8e03d…
05-06 08:57:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	93	7¢	$7	0x727d87…
05-06 08:56:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x61cb4c…
05-06 08:55:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xe7a0bf…
05-06 08:55:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x4f274b…
05-06 08:55:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x5af49a…
05-06 08:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x18c202…
05-06 08:55:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x1cc925…
05-06 08:54:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x11d761…
05-06 08:53:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	97	10¢	$10	0x2ea428…
05-06 08:53:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	250	10¢	$25	0xa93739…
05-06 08:53:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x179133…
05-06 08:53:02	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x8e6bc9…
05-06 08:52:32	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8ae5b0…
05-06 08:51:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x1270bb…
05-06 08:50:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x67f1a0…
05-06 08:50:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	199	20¢	$40	0xd67751…
05-06 08:50:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	116	20¢	$23	0xc0d50b…
05-06 08:50:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x3c2867…
05-06 08:50:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x2a939e…
05-06 08:50:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x284d69…
05-06 08:50:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xedb41b…
05-06 08:50:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xcb43ce…
05-06 08:50:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xb83742…
05-06 08:50:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	53	21¢	$11	0xe5f71b…
05-06 08:50:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	97	21¢	$20	0x5588eb…
05-06 08:48:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0xd338c2…
05-06 08:47:20	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x04ae27…
05-06 08:46:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0xe3ad01…
05-06 08:46:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	137	78¢	$107	0xd359cd…
05-06 08:46:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	43	22¢	$9	0xd359cd…
05-06 08:46:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x3c3c8a…
05-06 08:38:50	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8b9014…
05-06 08:38:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	63	78¢	$49	0x1b50a9…
05-06 08:33:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	16¢	$7	0x8db367…
05-06 08:32:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0x51d5cb…
05-06 08:32:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	260	17¢	$44	0x2c4538…
05-06 08:28:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xd391d6…
05-06 08:21:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	400	21¢	$84	0x405b3f…
05-06 08:19:32	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb92993…
05-06 08:11:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x1284c2…
05-06 08:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	19¢	$42	0xf06100…
05-06 08:00:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	81	78¢	$63	0x1207df…
05-06 08:00:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	119	78¢	$93	0x4a93d1…
05-06 07:58:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	28¢	$31	0x420def…
05-06 07:56:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xca44ca…
05-06 07:54:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	500	21¢	$105	0x42065c…
05-06 07:50:22	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6def96…
05-06 07:15:44	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xb59092…
05-06 04:13:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x583920…
05-06 03:22:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	28¢	$31	0xc297e5…
05-06 02:48:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x32ef5f…
05-06 02:03:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xf749bc…
04-21 12:00:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	186	25¢	$46	0x282f32…
04-21 11:58:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x843716…
04-21 11:55:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	25¢	$53	0x56ee79…
04-21 11:33:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	537	25¢	$134	0x883f98…
04-21 11:31:18	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x0de300…
04-21 11:19:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	24¢	$45	0xdc557b…
04-21 11:12:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x468e06…
04-21 11:03:44	spy up or down on april 21 2026	Down	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0xb57f55…
04-21 11:03:44	spy up or down on april 21 2026	Down	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x1c40cd…
04-21 11:03:42	spy up or down on april 21 2026	Down	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x881ba8…
04-21 11:03:10	spy up or down on april 21 2026	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x589459…
04-21 11:03:10	spy up or down on april 21 2026	Down	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x552b71…