Realized P&L (30d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$837
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
2
Trades (30d)
24
24 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$18.2K
$18.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$757
Open exposure
$17.5K
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 05:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
98% 100% +$3
Politics
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? No -7,138 $-6,125 98¢ $-7027 $-902 05-05 17:44
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $57.50 Week of May 4 2026? No -6,000 $-5,976 95¢ $-5700 +$276 05-06 03:44
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May? No +1,452 $1,358 96¢ $1.4K +$33 05-05 02:20
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? No +1,400 $1,324 95¢ $1.3K +$1 05-04 21:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? Yes -12,947 $-168 $-343 $-175 05-05 17:34
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in May? No +285 $277 96¢ $275 $-2 05-05 02:25
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw? Yes -1,000 $-230 25¢ $-250 $-20 05-05 20:01
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in May? No +200 $181 88¢ $176 $-5 05-05 03:09
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 in May? No +171 $165 95¢ $163 $-2 05-05 03:10
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15? No +166 $139 97¢ $161 +$22 05-05 18:53
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? Yes -2,000 $-140 $-150 $-10 05-06 05:34
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of May 4 2026? No +150 $141 94¢ $142 +$1 05-04 22:49
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes -3,575 $-112 $-141 $-29 05-05 05:30
Will gas hit (Low) $4.25 by May 31? Yes -300 $-68 26¢ $-76 $-8 05-05 05:05
Will gas hit (Low) $4.20 by May 31? Yes -400 $-53 19¢ $-76 $-23 05-05 05:05
Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by May 31? Yes -1,000 $-42 $-42 +$0 05-05 05:05
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in May 2026? Yes -100 $-7 $-5 +$2 05-05 06:59
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Yes -20 $-5 18¢ $-4 +$1 05-05 18:48
Will Jason Hart be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? Yes -440 $-2 $-1 +$0 05-06 05:39
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes -500 $-3 $-1 +$2 05-05 20:24
Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? Yes -200 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-06 05:39