Essential-Postage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

Trades

430

lifetime

Volume

$2.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 08-12 08:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

70% 0% $-11

Sports

18% 100% +$1

Tech

10% — —

Politics

2% 0% $-0

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	118	$685	1,240	1,240	+0	open	—	04-12 19:26
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	42	$224	400	374	+26	open	—	04-12 19:28
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	39	$175	1,028	965	+63	open	—	04-12 19:34
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	29	$175	144	137	+7	open	—	04-28 03:08
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	18	$158	155	100	+55	open	—	06-18 14:15
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	18	$98	102	66	+36	open	—	04-28 03:08
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$65	34	34	+0	open	—	04-12 18:35
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	12	$55	91	65	+26	open	—	08-10 16:33
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	11	$50	55	45	+11	open	—	06-18 00:42
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	6	$40	56	56	+0	open	—	04-16 19:42
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$40	69	69	+0	open	—	04-12 18:33
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	8	$39	74	74	+0	open	—	06-17 23:41
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	12	$37	53	20	+33	open	—	06-19 19:32
will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$32	96	96	+0	open	—	04-12 19:26
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	3	$30	36	25	+10	open	—	04-16 19:38
bitboy convicted	3	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	03-31 21:34
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$28	375	375	+0	open	—	04-11 23:42
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	3	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	04-10 03:54
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-10 04:26
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	04-10 04:06
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	5	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	$-0	05-02 20:29
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$20	270	270	+0	open	—	03-30 07:31
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	4	$20	36	19	+17	open	—	08-10 18:19
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	2	$14	22	22	+0	open	—	08-10 14:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$14	16	16	+0	open	—	08-11 16:01
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-10 05:05
Discord IPO before 2027?	4	$13	27	0	+27	open	—	08-12 08:49
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	04-10 05:03
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$12	10	9	+1	open	—	04-28 02:54
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	2	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	06-16 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 08:49:36	Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0xed0981…
08-11 16:01:21	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0xb302c9…
08-11 09:49:57	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xa036a4…
08-10 18:19:33	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x6c12b8…
08-10 18:18:49	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x3e9429…
08-10 18:12:55	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0xb47633…
08-10 16:33:16	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb5ffd7…
08-10 16:33:16	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x3e5e77…
08-10 16:32:30	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x233d5a…
08-10 14:34:45	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0xe571fe…
08-10 14:34:04	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x9b2c36…
08-10 14:22:24	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0x2d6257…
08-10 14:21:30	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x911151…
08-10 13:51:03	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x2e9155…
08-09 20:16:04	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	32¢	$4	0x78fff0…
08-09 20:16:03	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0xc912ec…
08-09 20:15:28	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0xb1caac…
08-09 16:43:10	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xe502ff…
08-07 13:29:43	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xcbf615…
08-07 13:29:16	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x36e52a…
08-07 12:42:51	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x91d0c6…
08-07 12:42:09	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x5c418e…
08-07 10:36:22	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x0fc29e…
08-07 10:35:46	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc29320…
08-07 04:31:21	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x68787b…
08-02 15:33:12	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x1b991b…
07-10 00:11:59	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xa79ecf…
07-09 15:01:19	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x2ba296…
06-19 19:32:23	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc88196…
06-18 14:15:29	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcfa545…
06-18 14:01:23	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd2fccd…
06-18 08:24:53	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xff9434…
06-18 00:42:16	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa8db9d…
06-18 00:23:29	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x11a14f…
06-18 00:22:38	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa928b3…
06-17 23:41:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x7b2133…
06-17 23:40:38	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xdd3306…
06-17 23:01:01	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x2d5069…
06-17 22:50:14	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8fa232…
06-17 22:43:56	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0xedbfad…
06-17 22:42:29	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x88070c…
06-17 22:27:25	Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x3a0d2c…
06-17 22:19:34	Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe2ff75…
06-17 22:04:20	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xe6d6e8…
06-17 22:01:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xac339c…
06-17 21:54:17	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd3db9e…
06-17 21:10:52	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0xfe1439…
06-17 18:17:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x5b2458…
06-17 16:40:37	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$5	0x8336fe…
06-17 16:39:50	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8ee368…
06-17 16:25:23	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x972bd0…
06-17 15:44:29	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x800beb…
06-17 15:25:28	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x29c4a2…
06-17 14:36:08	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x985470…
06-17 13:37:52	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc816f6…
06-17 13:37:44	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x0580df…
06-17 13:37:37	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x08c811…
06-17 13:37:29	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x34cf00…
06-17 13:03:23	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0xdc2b1c…
06-17 12:00:11	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfda3a3…
06-17 10:58:29	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xacf746…
06-17 07:44:14	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb7760b…
06-16 19:37:43	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xb4083f…
06-16 17:45:28	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xc481bf…
06-16 13:00:07	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2ee089…
06-16 09:52:39	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7c478e…
06-16 06:17:40	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xc56123…
06-16 06:17:36	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x9070c2…
06-16 06:17:31	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x281600…
06-16 06:17:27	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x381b0d…
06-16 06:17:22	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xed6c5c…
06-16 06:07:21	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x0cb17a…
06-16 03:07:58	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x2aac8e…
06-16 03:06:27	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4887b3…
06-16 03:05:06	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa2a036…
06-16 03:02:28	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x58ef20…
06-15 23:24:22	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x58724d…
06-15 23:17:37	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x999908…
06-15 23:17:34	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x18ea49…
06-15 23:17:33	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xa61ec4…
06-15 21:51:51	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x0501b9…
06-15 17:02:57	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x317c02…
06-15 14:06:42	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc6c80c…
06-15 13:02:01	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0xbeb833…
06-15 13:00:40	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x189d57…
06-15 11:57:34	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x90a7aa…
06-15 09:27:15	Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x54a26a…
06-15 06:37:42	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8c1682…
06-15 04:23:18	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x499c6c…
06-15 04:15:34	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x0f3a74…
06-10 22:59:30	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xd408a4…
06-10 15:38:01	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x1de5a8…
06-08 23:44:45	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7a7ec5…
06-08 20:27:39	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0147a9…
06-08 19:55:12	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x9a7296…
06-08 19:18:00	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x403cc8…
06-08 19:16:51	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6f79a3…
06-08 18:52:34	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x67161e…
06-08 14:52:24	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x955fb3…
06-08 14:51:18	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xcdfef2…