Grandiose-Snuck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$237

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-14 13:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

71% 100% +$4

Politics

26% — —

Other

2% 0% $-6

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$6.1K	3,072	3,072	+0	open	—	03-14 06:36
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.1K	1,579	1,579	+0	open	—	03-18 06:41
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$2.9K	1,522	1,522	+0	open	—	02-28 06:43
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$105	107	0	+107	open	—	02-24 08:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$96	104	0	+104	open	—	05-26 02:21
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	03-09 13:06
will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	1	$59	63	0	+63	open	—	06-29 00:52
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$55	29	29	+0	open	—	03-30 05:45
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	02-23 00:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	07-03 06:21
will sp 500 spx hit 7300 high in march 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	03-24 03:08
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-16 02:34
will elon and doge cut less than 50b in federal spending in 2025	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	02-20 06:57
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$36	2,375	2,375	+0	open	—	01-21 06:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	07-14 13:18
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	01-03 11:58
iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	07-03 06:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$27	31	31	+0	open	—	07-14 13:15
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	03-02 11:24
will openai ipo by august 31 2026	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	06-29 00:51
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	1	$23	28	0	+28	open	—	02-13 11:26
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$22	26	0	+26	open	—	03-30 05:46
will russia strike kyiv on february 13 2026	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	02-13 11:25
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	1	$21	30	0	+30	open	—	04-04 03:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	03-24 03:09
odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 30 on friday 815 916 383	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	02-20 06:57
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	07-03 06:22
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	03-30 05:45
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$18	27	0	+27	open	—	02-03 07:20
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$18	22	0	+22	Yes	+$4	03-18 06:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 13:18:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8d67df…
07-14 13:15:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	31	21¢	$6	0x7ac7f5…
07-04 12:41:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x857cf7…
07-03 06:22:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x626831…
07-03 06:22:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xa17c92…
07-03 06:21:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xfd4288…
07-03 06:21:32	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x774017…
06-29 00:52:31	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	No	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0x981009…
06-29 00:51:14	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x2190e8…
06-29 00:49:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x6fab05…
06-29 00:48:52	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xee6b92…
05-26 02:21:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	104	92¢	$96	0x810b52…
05-13 07:08:54	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x99c920…
05-03 11:15:32	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0x8927c8…
04-26 13:04:40	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x713c35…
04-16 02:34:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xce6290…
04-14 08:51:45	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x499392…
04-14 08:51:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x51a351…
04-04 03:16:11	will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x22c56c…
03-30 05:46:08	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x2bebd4…
03-30 05:45:44	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xb96511…
03-30 05:45:22	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x66ec2e…
03-24 03:09:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x08ebdb…
03-24 03:08:39	will sp 500 spx hit 7300 high in march 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x636f4f…
03-23 08:43:29	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x558557…
03-18 06:43:23	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x169d43…
03-18 06:42:13	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0xe0e1ba…
03-18 06:41:09	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,579	99¢	$1,568	0x0c6eeb…
03-14 06:38:07	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x4227c7…
03-14 06:37:07	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,579	99¢	$1,570	0x0f11f9…
03-14 06:36:23	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,541	100¢	$1,538	0x621aae…
03-10 01:09:03	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,541	100¢	$1,533	0x43b12b…
03-09 13:07:35	will sp 500 spx hit 7300 high in march 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x32fd97…
03-09 13:07:13	highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 13c	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x66694a…
03-09 13:06:09	Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xa95f2d…
03-09 13:06:03	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,532	99¢	$1,521	0x984256…
03-02 11:24:19	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x5bfe15…
03-02 11:24:05	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,532	100¢	$1,524	0x4c5ff0…
03-01 10:37:45	Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xc6c51f…
03-01 10:37:03	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x777e12…
02-28 06:43:59	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	1,522	97¢	$1,479	0x5510a8…
02-27 14:39:51	nba cle det 2026 02 27	Pistons	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x38db5d…
02-27 12:19:49	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	1,522	93¢	$1,412	0x62ea20…
02-24 08:42:16	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xf5f167…
02-24 04:18:10	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x9a2049…
02-23 00:16:28	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x2ebf22…
02-20 06:57:38	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8d723a…
02-20 06:57:26	odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 30 on friday 815 916 383	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x398b8b…
02-20 06:57:06	will elon and doge cut less than 50b in federal spending in 2025	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xccdcce…
02-13 11:26:45	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0x9a0527…
02-13 11:25:57	will russia strike kyiv on february 13 2026	No	BUY	23	95¢	$21	0x6cfc2d…
02-03 07:21:20	will elon and doge cut less than 50b in federal spending in 2025	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xf02309…
02-03 07:20:58	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0x0d90e1…
01-21 06:57:36	Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	2,375	1¢	$17	0xdad215…
01-20 05:47:36	Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	2,375	1¢	$19	0xea9d9d…
01-03 11:58:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xc2c499…