Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$717

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.6%

Resolved

592

Trades

2,184

lifetime

Volume

$6.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 10-08 17:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

67% 20% -$515

Politics

24% 17% -$167

Tech

6% 29% -$16

Sports

2% 0% -$2

Crypto

1% 17% -$9

Pop-Culture

1% 20% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump insult mapquest this week	16	$90	372	372	+0	No	-$14	09-04 07:27
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	26	$83	194	194	+0	Yes	-$13	09-23 14:16
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	15	$51	80	80	+0	Yes	-$4	08-04 12:47
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	5	$51	150	150	+0	No	+$3	09-04 02:53
Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?	15	$43	116	116	+0	No	+$1	08-29 10:01
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026?	7	$36	100	100	+0	No	-$6	09-05 13:27
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	7	$36	48	48	+0	No	-$3	08-05 04:18
Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	7	$36	40	37	+3	No	-$2	10-07 17:20
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11B by September 30?	6	$34	80	80	+0	Yes	$0	09-02 07:57
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	9	$33	100	100	+0	No	-$2	08-03 17:06
iran full airspace closure by august 15	7	$32	60	60	+0	No	-$1	08-01 22:20
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?	8	$32	60	60	+0	No	-$3	09-25 23:35
Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	4	$32	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-10 12:00
iran oman hormuz agreement by september 21	5	$31	80	80	+0	No	-$10	08-30 03:21
Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	4	$31	100	100	+0	No	-$2	09-10 11:31
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	5	$29	40	40	+0	No	+$9	09-06 17:04
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	5	$29	35	33	+2	open	—	10-07 13:47
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?	10	$29	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	08-30 16:58
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by September 30, 2026?	8	$28	120	84	+36	No	-$3	09-27 15:11
Will Chris Bates win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year?	2	$28	20	20	+0	No	-$6	07-28 16:01
Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?	5	$25	45	45	+0	No	+$0	08-29 23:27
will spider man brand new day score at least 91 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175932158	4	$25	40	39	+1	No	+$0	07-30 19:29
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	09-30 16:24
Will Marcelo Aro win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	7	$24	60	60	+0	No	$0	08-26 22:39
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	7	$24	60	60	+0	No	+$1	08-20 20:08
Will Tyler Shough finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-01 00:22
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	4	$23	40	40	+0	Yes	-$5	08-04 22:11
will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	4	$23	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-02 00:12
will revoluts valuation hit high 105b by august 31 20260731174621603	4	$22	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	08-03 08:34
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 3?	7	$22	87	87	+0	Bolsonaro	-$1	09-27 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 17:07:48	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xab2f2d…
10-08 14:21:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xfe24d8…
10-08 14:10:33	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x8de042…
10-08 13:53:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xf3e919…
10-08 13:51:14	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 102.00 in October?	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x8884e6…
10-08 13:41:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x875c4d…
10-08 13:04:14	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xd253d1…
10-08 12:38:32	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x741e78…
10-08 09:58:59	Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September?	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x1f6bcb…
10-08 09:54:48	Will SI.gov launch by October 15?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0xab0fb2…
10-08 09:48:56	Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xe0e49b…
10-08 09:29:36	Will primmie play for FULL SENSE in 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xebabe0…
10-08 08:53:07	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8cc7d1…
10-08 08:53:07	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x8604b0…
10-08 08:53:07	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x11b579…
10-08 08:53:07	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x0fd7d5…
10-08 08:34:05	Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xe42af7…
10-08 08:34:05	Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x2a4f16…
10-08 08:34:05	Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x2a0b14…
10-08 08:09:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x01bc94…
10-08 07:26:37	Will 100 Thieves win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd7bf6d…
10-08 06:50:35	Will Iraq join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x17168e…
10-08 06:44:00	Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x15f135…
10-08 06:18:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xa13f5b…
10-08 06:12:47	Will SI.gov launch by October 15?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x286506…
10-08 06:10:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xfe21fb…
10-08 05:51:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x99ce42…
10-08 05:38:53	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	13¢	$4	0x294317…
10-08 05:33:11	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xc03ba2…
10-08 05:24:37	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x239e3d…
10-08 05:01:07	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x1c3dfd…
10-08 04:51:52	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0xde4357…
10-08 04:22:08	Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x25a5f3…
10-08 04:09:25	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9.75B by October 31?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x5f4703…
10-08 02:20:02	Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x93fc36…
10-08 02:19:14	Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x1ef34a…
10-08 02:11:29	Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x3d441d…
10-08 01:53:13	Will Jake Guentzel record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xa71606…
10-08 00:33:40	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x2e2f16…
10-07 22:56:17	Will Steelers D/ST finish as a top-5 D/ST in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xe0704a…
10-07 22:31:04	Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xd1fc24…
10-07 20:46:41	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xd06073…
10-07 20:18:50	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 400,000 and 450,000?	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0xb95933…
10-07 19:50:44	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x3f86b2…
10-07 18:59:42	Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x27eb67…
10-07 18:55:24	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.95% in October?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xfce89a…
10-07 18:50:16	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x192fda…
10-07 18:49:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xedd3f1…
10-07 18:38:54	will xauusd dip to 4100 by october 5 2026 from october 7	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x91d231…
10-07 18:21:48	Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x92bc2c…
10-07 18:03:16	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xc8a0f0…
10-07 18:02:10	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by lava again?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0724e9…
10-07 17:20:32	Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xdc9a6e…
10-07 17:08:58	Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x683bb5…
10-07 17:08:11	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.95% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8e55c6…
10-07 16:39:07	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a creeper in a 5th timeframe?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xb6185d…
10-07 16:38:29	Will Eric Dane rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xf6c824…
10-07 16:08:55	Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x11147a…
10-07 15:50:49	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xa96147…
10-07 15:39:56	Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x5d87dd…
10-07 15:01:47	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa3dd43…
10-07 14:17:04	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xb0511e…
10-07 14:07:22	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x4dcc47…
10-07 13:54:43	Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xc5df94…
10-07 13:54:34	Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x5e5a97…
10-07 13:53:31	Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x543438…
10-07 13:51:26	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x05b9a9…
10-07 13:47:28	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x08e5f5…
10-07 13:15:59	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x08dcc6…
10-07 13:02:40	Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xba9257…
10-07 12:54:56	Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xe14ad2…
10-07 12:54:56	Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x3e3d0e…
10-07 12:54:19	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	No	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xc57326…
10-07 12:06:28	Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x0f3503…
10-07 11:15:32	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x26b9a0…
10-07 11:09:15	Will AlloX FDV be above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xcbb350…
10-07 10:18:51	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x2cc5ce…
10-07 08:49:08	Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xb73f0a…
10-07 08:49:08	Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x87bffb…
10-07 07:08:41	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x5ef669…
10-07 05:38:45	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xb77df8…
10-07 03:05:42	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x94f550…
10-07 02:11:12	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xe60e3e…
10-07 01:18:26	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	No	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xbf1135…
10-07 01:12:18	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x21fb65…
10-07 00:07:33	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	Yes	SELL	43	12¢	$5	0x1f7316…
10-06 23:49:40	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x24e3e6…
10-06 23:46:52	Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $423,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xffdb4b…
10-06 23:27:23	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb87bbd…
10-06 22:53:33	Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x8ccb28…
10-06 22:21:47	Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $423,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0xbfcd59…
10-06 21:42:14	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x3ac670…
10-06 19:52:54	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x87ceaf…
10-06 19:44:15	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb99792…
10-06 19:44:15	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x8a2301…
10-06 19:43:45	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb75c01…
10-06 19:25:15	Will any game last over 70 minutes at the BLAST Slam VIII Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x91a108…
10-06 19:14:08	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x1f4d10…
10-06 18:49:44	Will one team kill two Tormentors in a single game at the BLAST Slam VIII Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xb62f1f…
10-06 17:51:26	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x9a8448…