Lasting-Postage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,963

lifetime

Volume

$23.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 08-13 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

52% 20% +$12

Politics

28% 50% +$17

Tech

13% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	17	$1.6K	2,174	1,623	+551	open	—	07-21 21:54
iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	25	$601	2,599	2,599	+0	open	—	07-28 23:04
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	38	$601	2,110	2,110	+0	open	—	08-11 07:38
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	21	$595	1,582	1,582	+0	open	—	06-07 14:38
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	24	$575	483	713	-230	open	—	08-11 01:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	11	$522	542	434	+108	open	—	08-06 02:13
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	12	$522	522	522	+0	open	—	07-10 23:42
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	26	$475	1,651	1,651	+0	open	—	07-19 16:55
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	54	$436	898	996	-98	open	—	06-04 23:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	15	$420	982	1,255	-273	open	—	08-02 07:57
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	8	$414	326	326	+0	open	—	07-07 23:52
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	23	$344	1,425	1,425	+0	open	—	07-31 08:50
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	32	$309	1,113	1,297	-185	open	—	05-25 09:22
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	7	$297	3,026	2,297	+729	open	—	05-17 20:42
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	16	$253	681	681	+0	open	—	07-10 15:35
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	13	$243	719	719	+0	open	—	07-13 04:18
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	8	$242	833	833	+0	open	—	06-05 15:07
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	13	$241	924	924	+0	open	—	06-05 19:47
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	19	$237	336	336	+0	open	—	07-18 19:39
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	15	$224	1,131	1,131	+0	open	—	04-13 16:21
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Shelton	12	$220	1,169	1,169	+0	open	—	05-18 16:22
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	13	$210	648	489	+159	open	—	07-24 19:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$207	840	840	+0	open	—	07-01 13:53
Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.50B?	15	$206	1,601	1,601	+0	open	—	05-17 13:56
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	7	$202	1,066	1,075	-9	open	—	05-16 20:06
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	6	$195	966	626	+340	open	—	07-26 13:24
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	8	$190	446	446	+0	open	—	07-10 16:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	5	$188	661	661	+0	open	—	06-08 12:28
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	17	$182	578	578	+0	open	—	08-08 23:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$180	487	487	+0	open	—	05-27 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 08:06:16	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	SELL	231	8¢	$18	0x3b4ee9…
08-13 07:03:15	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x85f8ec…
08-13 07:03:12	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x8401a3…
08-13 07:03:12	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x10edf8…
08-13 07:03:10	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xebe321…
08-13 06:50:40	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa7e612…
08-13 06:05:31	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xc890f7…
08-13 04:03:58	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0xd546bb…
08-13 04:02:43	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xb9c14b…
08-13 04:02:42	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x7011e1…
08-13 04:02:40	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x33f459…
08-13 03:29:33	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x4932cf…
08-12 20:18:43	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0xbc5f55…
08-12 20:02:42	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0xfc47aa…
08-12 20:01:28	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0xfcd34a…
08-12 13:31:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	207	16¢	$34	0x84a54f…
08-12 10:57:33	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	Yes	BUY	142	14¢	$20	0xde7a61…
08-12 09:47:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	207	20¢	$41	0xfc3ce9…
08-11 10:01:28	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0xa4f982…
08-11 10:01:15	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xf40943…
08-11 07:38:00	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x293983…
08-11 07:37:58	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xd2c09d…
08-11 07:37:48	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	230	16¢	$37	0x2edb52…
08-11 01:01:30	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	95	44¢	$42	0x0dd4ab…
08-11 01:01:21	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	95	44¢	$42	0xa62b23…
08-11 01:00:39	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	71	59¢	$42	0xee3901…
08-11 01:00:30	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	71	59¢	$42	0x4ef57b…
08-10 23:26:10	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x2d152e…
08-10 23:26:06	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x4a863b…
08-10 23:25:58	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0x5f9a22…
08-10 23:25:46	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x490194…
08-10 23:25:45	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0xff6409…
08-10 23:25:45	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb98f8d…
08-09 17:23:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	231	19¢	$44	0xaacbad…
08-09 17:23:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	231	19¢	$44	0x8aec47…
08-08 23:23:58	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	23	15¢	$3	0xdf3e1d…
08-08 23:09:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x09776b…
08-08 23:08:45	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	43	15¢	$6	0x6f5af2…
08-08 23:07:04	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x597cd2…
08-08 23:07:03	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	182	15¢	$27	0x471ca8…
08-08 23:07:03	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x0e981d…
08-08 23:06:54	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	266	15¢	$40	0xf02932…
08-08 19:44:01	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	252	10¢	$25	0x2311fa…
08-08 19:31:45	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	10¢	$3	0x6b4fc1…
08-08 19:31:34	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	277	10¢	$28	0x4acadf…
08-08 17:08:25	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xb1bc86…
08-08 01:33:18	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0x77c379…
08-07 23:28:22	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xa2a9e0…
08-07 11:43:22	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0x4b4781…
08-07 01:14:21	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	56	56¢	$31	0x2d0550…
08-07 01:14:06	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	56	56¢	$31	0x79cf8d…
08-07 01:12:01	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x28dbd6…
08-06 13:44:17	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	74¢	$40	0xb02107…
08-06 02:13:56	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	108	24¢	$26	0xcb4354…
08-05 23:50:20	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x287332…
08-05 23:27:08	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x8ce87b…
08-05 20:22:35	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf5091b…
08-05 18:32:42	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	133	5¢	$6	0xac2e56…
08-05 11:25:12	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	83	17¢	$14	0x543eba…
08-05 09:43:12	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	90	17¢	$15	0xf7453e…
08-05 09:10:14	will jl appear as an analyst at an s tier cs tournament in 2026	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0x97cb8d…
08-05 04:59:36	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	SELL	48	12¢	$6	0x8b1b4f…
08-05 04:59:30	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x033553…
08-05 04:59:24	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0xee6222…
08-05 04:59:17	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x9610ee…
08-05 04:59:17	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	48	12¢	$6	0x661adf…
08-05 04:59:15	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x5f291d…
08-05 04:00:12	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xe52ca0…
08-05 04:00:12	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xd557c8…
08-05 04:00:12	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x86e3b0…
08-05 03:54:45	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xc55c45…
08-05 03:39:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x454aa5…
08-05 03:39:09	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xe2b582…
08-05 03:39:05	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x79d025…
08-05 03:38:56	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x1575b4…
08-04 14:57:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	222	9¢	$20	0x0de367…
08-04 14:56:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xa09b83…
08-03 23:16:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	225	12¢	$27	0xe524f9…
08-03 23:16:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	225	12¢	$27	0x0e6e68…
08-03 18:04:50	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	61	65¢	$40	0x8f1974…
08-03 18:04:39	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	61	65¢	$40	0x15d2f0…
08-03 12:02:00	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes	SELL	360	8¢	$29	0x524e77…
08-03 00:54:03	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	SELL	68	9¢	$6	0xa100e7…
08-03 00:53:48	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	BUY	68	9¢	$6	0xf4ba04…
08-02 07:57:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	218	19¢	$41	0xc54b1d…
08-02 02:10:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	218	22¢	$48	0x68075d…
08-01 19:30:00	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x1b74f8…
08-01 12:00:57	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	Yes	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0x6353f7…
08-01 12:00:47	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	Yes	BUY	230	15¢	$34	0x3bd0d2…
07-31 14:38:54	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	210	9¢	$19	0x84f310…
07-31 14:38:39	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	9¢	$19	0x18f357…
07-31 12:37:50	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	58	26¢	$15	0x83813e…
07-31 08:50:56	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x521f0c…
07-31 08:50:42	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x0d6e38…
07-31 07:57:15	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	43	22¢	$9	0x0edd37…
07-31 05:47:59	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x64467c…
07-31 04:52:50	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0xca660b…
07-30 23:08:26	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0x7f907e…
07-30 14:57:23	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	123	17¢	$21	0x4eb59f…
07-30 11:51:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	54	23¢	$12	0x80f4c7…