Realized P&L
+$29
Unrealized P&L
-$94
Hit rate
38.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,786
lifetime
Volume
$20.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$321
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 07-22 22:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
53% 20% +$12
Politics
27% 50% +$17
Tech
11%
Crypto
5%
Sports
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +351 $134 34¢ $121 $-13 07-21 21:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -273 $-49 30¢ $-81 $-31 07-17 16:03
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -258 $-25 14¢ $-35 $-10 07-06 13:03
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +340 $54 $24 $-30 06-12 17:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -166 $-20 12¢ $-21 $-1 07-19 16:55
Tuyo FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -61 $-7 19¢ $-12 $-5 06-01 16:17
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? Yes -82 $-13 12¢ $-9 +$3 06-17 14:50
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? Yes -30 $-4 22¢ $-6 $-2 07-22 07:11
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? Yes +52 $6 $4 $-2 07-20 14:08
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +10 $5 34¢ $3 $-2 06-20 14:37
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -21 $-4 14¢ $-3 +$1 06-17 09:16
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +20 $5 10¢ $2 $-3 06-18 12:51