Realized P&L
+$4.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.38K
Hit rate
75.2%
Resolved
205
Trades
2,399
lifetime
Volume
$419.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$175
Open exposure
$38.8K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
62% 67% +$3,494
Politics
30% 58% +$4,755
Crypto
4% 64% -$2,953
Tech
3% 80% +$876
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1,128
Sports
0% 0% -$321
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +13,362 $9,419 86¢ $11.6K +$2,140 11-05 02:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +17,028 $8,756 40¢ $6.9K -$1,860 11-12 18:03
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +3,908 $2,680 88¢ $3.4K +$739 11-05 19:37
China coup attempt before 2027? No -3,369 -$3,256 98¢ $-3306 -$50 07-01 06:50
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +3,033 $2,257 98¢ $3.0K +$715 10-29 13:32
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,620 88¢ $1.7K +$130 11-13 14:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,599 -$1,509 92¢ $-1479 +$30 08-30 20:21
Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027? No +2,000 $1,280 74¢ $1.5K +$190 11-13 14:46
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -1,115 -$538 99¢ $-1101 -$563 09-23 15:26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +1,000 $794 96¢ $963 +$169 11-01 23:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,000 $800 94¢ $935 +$135 08-09 14:56
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -700 -$1,120 97¢ $-678 +$442 10-30 09:13
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8,052 $752 7¢ $600 -$152 11-12 10:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$570 95¢ $-476 +$94 08-24 18:38
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +900 $520 49¢ $443 -$77 08-11 04:49
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? Yes +463 $260 58¢ $268 +$8 11-13 14:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting? Yes +441 $163 36¢ $159 -$4 11-13 14:43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1,000 $490 16¢ $155 -$335 11-05 02:59
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +889 $565 8¢ $76 -$489 04-30 05:31
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -1,125 -$34 2¢ $-25 +$8 10-28 00:53
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -7,806 -$31 0¢ $-12 +$20 06-19 15:24
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -4,508 -$41 0¢ $-11 +$30 10-14 16:16
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -6,860 -$42 0¢ $-10 +$32 07-30 15:22
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes -357 -$14 2¢ $-8 +$7 11-03 17:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +0 -$25 4¢ $0 +$25 10-30 18:28