Realized P&L
-$499
Unrealized P&L
-$49
Hit rate
55.2%
Resolved
580
Trades
1,554
lifetime
Volume
$25.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$53
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-26
last 10-03 03:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
60% 66% -$249
Crypto
23% 78% -$80
Politics
9% 31% -$30
Sports
5% 12% -$124
Tech
2% 33% -$16
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -42 -$21 94¢ $-39 -$18 06-04 08:36
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +50 $16 12¢ $6 -$10 07-31 00:17
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +4 $4 95¢ $4 $0 06-08 20:00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +41 $4 4¢ $1 -$2 10-01 17:54
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +1 $0 93¢ $1 +$0 07-30 20:21
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +1 $0 100¢ $1 +$1 07-05 02:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1 $5 34¢ $0 -$4 07-05 08:53
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1 $1 38¢ $0 $0 07-02 19:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1 $1 26¢ $0 -$1 06-28 03:46
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +2 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 06-13 08:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1 $3 8¢ $0 -$3 07-02 10:34
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No +1 $3 5¢ $0 -$3 06-09 23:34
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +1 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 07-06 00:16
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 07-04 16:28