Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$289

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

21.0%

Resolved

Trades

748

lifetime

Volume

$21.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-21

last 10-18 14:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Politics

56% 33% -$242

Other

37% 34% -$36

Tech

5% 0% -$22

Crypto

2% 100% +$10

Sports

1% 33% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+0	$6	42¢	$0	-$6	07-06 07:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	98	$7.1K	5,378	5,378	+0	No	-$111	07-04 12:15
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	23	$1.1K	1,431	1,431	+0	open	—	08-02 13:33
jynxzi vs speed gaming challenge winner	26	$862	605	605	+0	Speed	+$3	08-25 19:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	12	$622	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	09-14 05:41
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	22	$583	581	581	+0	open	—	08-26 19:59
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	19	$545	1,624	1,624	+0	open	—	08-27 10:22
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	19	$459	548	548	+0	open	—	08-19 12:27
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	21	$453	572	572	+0	No	+$7	07-16 11:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$450	600	600	+0	open	—	07-06 07:34
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	12	$393	410	410	+0	open	—	09-03 08:02
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	16	$387	325	255	+70	open	—	10-02 16:44
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	17	$336	484	484	+0	Yes	-$37	07-31 14:04
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	24	$327	337	337	+0	open	—	08-11 05:25
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?	9	$311	253	253	+0	Yes	+$8	07-19 18:35
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	8	$306	408	408	+0	Yes	-$24	08-09 07:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	8	$277	229	229	+0	Yes	-$3	07-27 01:08
will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	5	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	07-31 04:00
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	18	$250	557	557	+0	open	—	09-16 20:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	8	$244	700	700	+0	open	—	09-12 18:20
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	8	$238	306	306	+0	open	—	09-23 07:34
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?	10	$232	506	506	+0	Yes	-$21	09-05 12:36
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	15	$222	205	205	+0	open	—	08-26 11:07
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	4	$218	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	07-13 16:44
Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	6	$212	320	320	+0	No	-$15	09-01 21:55
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	8	$206	200	200	+0	Yes	+$62	07-21 15:08
laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	6	$203	200	200	+0	Yes	+$5	09-08 21:28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	8	$203	450	450	+0	open	—	09-08 08:38
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	13	$179	189	189	+0	Yes	-$1	07-27 19:12
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	7	$168	500	500	+0	open	—	07-17 20:58
Will Casa Pia be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	2	$166	150	150	+0	open	—	09-26 04:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 14:31:05	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	53	7¢	$3	0xca1f17…
10-13 06:10:28	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x89de49…
10-05 18:45:22	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x96d09d…
10-02 16:44:15	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x4b55aa…
10-02 16:41:23	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x00ec6d…
10-02 14:01:21	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	68¢	$16	0x5bde8f…
10-02 09:39:21	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x2557fd…
10-01 07:15:35	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x323319…
10-01 06:45:45	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x451d2b…
10-01 06:24:06	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0xd1fc53…
09-30 23:18:11	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xa53438…
09-29 17:33:18	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xb62802…
09-29 13:21:42	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xa1dffd…
09-28 08:25:50	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x87fb58…
09-26 04:36:45	Will Casa Pia be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Yes	SELL	150	53¢	$80	0xd1c556…
09-26 04:34:38	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xad4b2e…
09-26 04:30:35	Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	8¢	$13	0xf1d74c…
09-25 18:54:53	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x536cc6…
09-25 11:12:26	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6adacd…
09-24 20:08:39	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x0dba92…
09-24 14:35:27	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	69¢	$83	0x06aa70…
09-24 09:13:20	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x407329…
09-24 04:38:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x993cb5…
09-24 04:20:14	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	53	11¢	$6	0x2f1d73…
09-24 04:13:02	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	10¢	$5	0x283bbd…
09-24 03:40:25	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xe10a82…
09-24 02:52:22	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xb37820…
09-24 02:33:58	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xde8eda…
09-24 01:32:46	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xb54169…
09-23 22:43:52	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb63dc8…
09-23 19:33:52	Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	10¢	$4	0x32898b…
09-23 14:35:49	Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x881745…
09-23 14:02:31	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x950790…
09-23 12:24:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4caa31…
09-23 07:34:35	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	131	42¢	$55	0x08926e…
09-22 09:57:40	Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x08dc33…
09-21 16:00:28	Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xd05113…
09-21 01:55:46	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	43¢	$9	0x42c338…
09-20 14:57:25	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	101	25¢	$25	0x896410…
09-19 09:09:30	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	153	36¢	$55	0x262433…
09-19 01:59:31	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0x658782…
09-19 01:31:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xa87828…
09-19 01:31:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	39¢	$18	0x643649…
09-19 01:31:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	83	39¢	$32	0x014e1f…
09-18 07:22:07	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xf4e1b5…
09-18 04:56:15	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	19¢	$28	0x336a52…
09-18 00:13:04	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x226579…
09-17 19:44:04	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	23¢	$34	0x347e2e…
09-17 19:10:33	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	25¢	$38	0x786a96…
09-17 11:29:46	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	105	22¢	$23	0x07d7ed…
09-17 04:46:43	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x8e9b91…
09-16 20:00:03	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	14¢	$11	0xa7d495…
09-16 19:22:34	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xd439f7…
09-16 19:22:34	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	23¢	$6	0x65f077…
09-16 19:22:34	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x572320…
09-16 19:22:34	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	46	23¢	$11	0x004134…
09-16 19:16:30	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	14¢	$10	0x6a1649…
09-16 19:16:30	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	13¢	$7	0x071744…
09-16 11:11:55	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	206	11¢	$23	0x5d10df…
09-16 09:41:22	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc87e98…
09-16 09:27:25	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	104	25¢	$26	0xa7f3e6…
09-16 09:26:28	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0xa7d692…
09-16 07:24:10	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x72b5fd…
09-16 05:21:45	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	57	34¢	$19	0x040bc2…
09-16 05:21:40	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0xdfa461…
09-16 05:21:40	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0x68a25d…
09-16 05:17:27	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0xe998ba…
09-16 03:00:33	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	98	25¢	$24	0x71f6e5…
09-16 03:00:33	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x3e977f…
09-15 23:28:25	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x909164…
09-15 23:00:30	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xf666e4…
09-15 22:14:18	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xaa05fd…
09-15 20:13:16	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xe312af…
09-15 18:23:39	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xf77d77…
09-15 15:54:30	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xbe98d9…
09-15 14:05:16	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0x550b84…
09-15 01:33:10	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xc2d7ec…
09-14 06:55:46	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 26 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xa0f033…
09-14 06:55:46	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 26 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x3626dd…
09-14 05:41:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	401	20¢	$80	0xfbaf86…
09-14 05:37:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 26 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xef696b…
09-14 05:36:52	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 26 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x41144f…
09-13 04:33:15	Will Casa Pia be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Yes	BUY	150	58¢	$87	0xb9e495…
09-12 18:45:10	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xdb3c43…
09-12 18:45:10	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0xa1c63d…
09-12 18:45:10	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	24¢	$12	0x5024b8…
09-12 18:20:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x43f267…
09-12 14:43:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xfdbab7…
09-12 14:38:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x18c03e…
09-12 13:26:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0x14e08a…
09-12 13:12:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xe880a9…
09-12 11:44:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xc4f4ba…
09-12 10:48:54	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xda62c6…
09-12 09:28:04	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xcbd54b…
09-12 09:28:01	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	24¢	$16	0x5ad1d4…
09-11 22:56:49	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x146905…
09-11 17:41:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	243	26¢	$63	0x5599d9…
09-11 17:41:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x4f1650…
09-11 17:26:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x5ee8ba…
09-11 17:26:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0x106d3c…